Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x006c0f5354e15734cb4af010b5c783efda4de35dc24c0e5e00a047cdf025b6bd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $416,125
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $347,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,125 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd49f…4507backed Yes | 7c | 60,151$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 122 | 10.7%13 W · 109 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 8c | 52,088$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.49 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d4…3593backed Yes | 11c | 14,069$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,506.99 | 357 | 19.6%70 W · 287 L | -13.8wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16a4…66adbacked Yes | 10c | 12,780$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Yes | 12c | 12,341$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.71 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb87b…3626backed Yes | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 245 | 26.5%65 W · 180 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43e3…43f7backed Yes | 6c | 8,333$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 232 | 30.2%70 W · 162 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -31%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7735…4740backed Yes | 8c | 5,437$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.4 | 672 | 9.2%62 W · 610 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe214…c5cebacked Yes | 14c | 4,162$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.7 | 224 | 37.1%83 W · 141 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8546…4e69backed Yes | 9c | 3,912$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.71 | 31 | 19.4%6 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes | 7c | 3,690$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 119 | 14.3%17 W · 102 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes | 15c | 3,371$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 41 | 7.3%3 W · 38 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c0…fe99backed Yes | 9c | 3,333$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 53 | 28.3%15 W · 38 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Yes | 10c | 3,099$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 94 | 56.4%53 W · 41 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…989abacked Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7306…0a93backed Yes | 7c | 2,857$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…4e36backed Yes | 12c | 2,569$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.44 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62a4…c680backed Yes | 12c | 2,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 183 | 21.3%39 W · 144 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c2…3a29backed Yes | 10c | 2,429$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc82f…66a7backed Yes | 11c | 2,417$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 332 | 35.5%118 W · 214 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…6392backed Yes | 7c | 2,143$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc423…03b9backed Yes | 3c | 2,099$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.29 | 409 | 12%49 W · 360 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9629…972bbacked Yes | 12c | 2,089$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.17 | 218 | 7.3%16 W · 202 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 365 | 39.7%145 W · 220 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…e196backed Yes | 2c | 1,807$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 172 | 29.1%50 W · 122 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes | 12c | 1,667$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 127 | 15%19 W · 108 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | +14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb907…539abacked Yes | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 18.7%20 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…589bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,658$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.48 | 12 | 0%0 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc990…6a32backed Yes | 7c | 1,614$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113 | 23 | 4.3%1 W · 22 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 13cpaid | -76.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b20…ef6ebacked Yes | 6c | 1,550$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…cf64backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes | 12c | 1,500$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 485 | 26.8%130 W · 355 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…2217backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 252 | 28.2%71 W · 181 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c1e…2569backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 356 | 12.6%45 W · 311 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae2b…90eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 206 | 33%68 W · 138 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,429$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67a5…3516backed Yes | 8c | 1,275$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 224 | 41.5%93 W · 131 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes | 11c | 1,250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 254 | 18.1%46 W · 208 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd2…e477backed Yes | 7c | 1,153$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes | 7c | 1,143$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 42 | 11.9%5 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802d…55b5backed Yes | 13c | 1,113$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed Yes | 15c | 1,100$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x152f…a549backed Yes | 12c | 1,083$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 18cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes | 12c | 1,033$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +4.6wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04e9…055bbacked Yes | 8c | 1,010$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 86 | 10.5%9 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 316 | 11.4%36 W · 280 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 6c | 1,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…d852backed Yes | 12c | 983.33$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05fe…358bbacked Yes | 7c | 938.46$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 115 | 20%23 W · 92 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a3f4backed Yes | 11c | 909.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bd0…c562backed Yes | 6c | 850$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 73 | 28.8%21 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…71d2backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 68 | 10.3%7 W · 61 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e7…f81cbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 93 | 10.8%10 W · 83 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…90aebacked Yes | 12c | 831.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -78.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d7…ba1ebacked Yes | 12c | 800$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b0…588fbacked Yes | 9c | 778.54$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 213 | 21.1%45 W · 168 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e87…7baabacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes | 7c | 749$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.81 | 459 | 32.5%149 W · 310 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f61…8687backed Yes | 7c | 744.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 135 | 11.1%15 W · 120 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Yes | 6c | 733.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a0a…31c8backed Yes | 13c | 719.08$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 356 | 21.9%78 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…91c6backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 291 | 41.6%121 W · 170 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9793…789cbacked Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -89.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes | 7c | 701.6$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.51 | 539 | 20.6%111 W · 428 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x675d…383abacked Yes | 9c | 700$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5a…6962backed Yes | 7c | 688.14$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.17 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 6c | 668.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.1 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes | 15c | 666.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 135 | 27.4%37 W · 98 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 103 | 5.8%6 W · 97 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -66%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…b4a9backed Yes | 15c | 652.13$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 4cpaid | +282.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a8…3592backed Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +10.5wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Yes | 7c | 609.18$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes | 7c | 592.63$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.98 | 1,206 | 32.7%394 W · 812 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a7…77bdbacked Yes | 7c | 572.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1158…0dc0backed Yes | 7c | 571.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 82 | 20.7%17 W · 65 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…0fc0backed Yes | 14c | 571.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 321 | 45.5%146 W · 175 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…7f2abacked Yes | 12c | 546.92$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.63 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd2…5dedbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 32 | 18.8%6 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 264 | 24.6%65 W · 199 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea0…577dbacked Yes | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 11.9%15 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 47 | 25.5%12 W · 35 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…9679backed Yes | 10c | 453.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…4e3bbacked Yes | 7c | 452.71$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.69 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…cf44backed Yes | 7c | 450$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 187 | 23.5%44 W · 143 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x408b…fe74backed Yes | 14c | 433.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc82…5af0backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 309 | 28.8%89 W · 220 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8a…2ad7backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 70 | 25.7%18 W · 52 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…15c0backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1859backed Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b21…b8debacked Yes | 7c | 428.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 89 | 12.4%11 W · 78 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…6156backed Yes | 12c | 426.67$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 38 | 5.3%2 W · 36 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 9cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes | 6c | 423$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 347 | 51%177 W · 170 L | +19.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835e…c209backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 55 | 14.5%8 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6403…046bbacked Yes | 6c | 416.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f1…da32backed Yes | 10c | 404.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 1 Spain?Yes won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 2 Spain?No won
- Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 3 Spain?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.