TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 1 - 0 Spain?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$416,125
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$347,097

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $416,125 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 218 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd49f…4507backed Yes7c60,151$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c52,088$4,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,400.498,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61d4…3593backed Yes11c14,069$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,506.9935719.6%70 W · 287 L-13.8wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes10c12,780$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes12c12,341$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,503.712,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb87b…3626backed Yes13c10,000$1,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,30024526.5%65 W · 180 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43e3…43f7backed Yes6c8,333$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023230.2%70 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick29cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes7c7,143$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5007429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes8c5,437$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$448.46729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe214…c5cebacked Yes14c4,162$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.722437.1%83 W · 141 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8546…4e69backed Yes9c3,912$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$347.713119.4%6 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-68.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7c0f…9f39backed Yes7c3,690$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25011914.3%17 W · 102 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+18.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945d…4c3dbacked Yes15c3,371$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500417.3%3 W · 38 L-1.8wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-67.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x42c0…fe99backed Yes9c3,333$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005328.3%15 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Yes10c3,099$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009456.4%53 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb72b…989abacked Yes12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36010456.7%59 W · 45 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7306…0a93backed Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006235.5%22 W · 40 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7528…4e36backed Yes12c2,569$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305.446743.3%29 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes12c2,500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c2…3a29backed Yes10c2,429$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2506747.8%32 W · 35 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes11c2,417$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e7c…6392backed Yes7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503411.8%4 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick10cpaid-14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Yes3c2,099$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.2940912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes12c2,089$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.172187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb476…6eacbacked Yes15c2,000$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29036539.7%145 W · 220 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0386…e196backed Yes2c1,807$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.1317229.1%50 W · 122 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbeb…2ba4backed Yes12c1,667$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20012715%19 W · 108 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick16cpaid+14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Yes6c1,667$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010718.7%20 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce39…589bbacked Yes6c1,658$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.48120%0 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc990…6a32backed Yes7c1,614$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b20…ef6ebacked Yes6c1,550$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004422.7%10 W · 34 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1764…cf64backed Yes6c1,500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9060%0 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes12c1,500$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc128…2217backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10025228.2%71 W · 181 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-22.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c1e…2569backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10080%0 W · 8 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4a…b3c5backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035612.6%45 W · 311 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+16.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020633%68 W · 138 L-7.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050214.5%73 W · 429 L+2.3wins0.00per pick14cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67a5…3516backed Yes8c1,275$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10222441.5%93 W · 131 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47ff…7ccbbacked Yes11c1,250$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.525418.1%46 W · 208 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+21%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfcd2…e477backed Yes7c1,153$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.745343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8966…1e9fbacked Yes7c1,143$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$804211.9%5 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-58.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x802d…55b5backed Yes13c1,113$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501225%3 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-55.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9279…4748backed Yes15c1,100$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x152f…a549backed Yes12c1,083$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1305712.3%7 W · 50 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-28.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd92b…f80bbacked Yes12c1,033$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1244845.8%22 W · 26 L+4.6wins+0.10per pick36cpaid-7.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04e9…055bbacked Yes8c1,010$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.88610.5%9 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes6c1,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6015911.9%19 W · 140 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick11cpaid-11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fb3…d852backed Yes12c983.33$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1182630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-30.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x05fe…358bbacked Yes7c938.46$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6611520%23 W · 92 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb91…a3f4backed Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007839.7%31 W · 47 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick33cpaid+13.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5bd0…c562backed Yes6c850$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$517328.8%21 W · 52 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7726…71d2backed Yes12c833.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006810.3%7 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x71e7…f81cbacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509310.8%10 W · 83 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e59…90aebacked Yes12c831.3$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-78.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9d7…ba1ebacked Yes12c800$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9640%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x95b0…588fbacked Yes9c778.54$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7021321.1%45 W · 168 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e87…7baabacked Yes13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x15fc…e2b0backed Yes7c749$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.8145932.5%149 W · 310 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid+2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f61…8687backed Yes7c744.38$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5013511.1%15 W · 120 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb36…a357backed Yes6c733.33$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick12cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a0a…31c8backed Yes13c719.08$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.4860%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…42ccbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035621.9%78 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6aae…91c6backed Yes14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10029141.6%121 W · 170 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9793…789cbacked Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes7c701.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5153920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x675d…383abacked Yes9c700$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe5a…6962backed Yes7c688.14$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.177211.1%8 W · 64 L-0.1wins0.00per pick11cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes6c668.28$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.11,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e32…4e3ebacked Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013527.4%37 W · 98 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1fd2…21ebbacked Yes6c666.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401035.8%6 W · 97 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick11cpaid-66%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbc34…b4a9backed Yes15c652.13$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.82616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick4cpaid+282.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb9a8…3592backed Yes8c625$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010043%43 W · 57 L+10.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+57.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes7c609.18$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6456022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Yes7c592.63$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.981,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48a7…77bdbacked Yes7c572.82$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-21.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1158…0dc0backed Yes7c571.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408220.7%17 W · 65 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd614…0fc0backed Yes14c571.43$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8032145.5%146 W · 175 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc70…7f2abacked Yes12c546.92$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.63850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-11.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5fd2…5dedbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303218.8%6 W · 26 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-19.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63f3…ebc0backed Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3026424.6%65 W · 199 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ea0…577dbacked Yes6c500$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3012611.9%15 W · 111 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick10cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d7…ebaabacked Yes10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50773.9%3 W · 74 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c3f…ff4bbacked Yes13c500$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654725.5%12 W · 35 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+60.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a86…9679backed Yes10c453.57$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d56…4e3bbacked Yes7c452.71$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6940%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bfb…cf44backed Yes7c450$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.518723.5%44 W · 143 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x408b…fe74backed Yes14c433.93$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.751020%2 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-55.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc82…5af0backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3030928.8%89 W · 220 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e8a…2ad7backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307025.7%18 W · 52 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick19cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5d…15c0backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3010918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5b21…b8debacked Yes7c428.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308912.4%11 W · 78 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick16cpaid+10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7572…6156backed Yes12c426.67$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.2385.3%2 W · 36 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb4d…bb58backed Yes6c423$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.3834751%177 W · 170 L+19.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x835e…c209backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505514.5%8 W · 47 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-31.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6403…046bbacked Yes6c416.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253716.2%6 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-45.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Yes12c416.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa3f1…da32backed Yes10c404.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405424.1%13 W · 41 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick28cpaid+0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.