TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 0 - 3 Spain?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$216,810
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$193,945

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,810 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 110 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd3e7…ea94backed Yes5c40,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes4c21,292$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$851.6942710.3%44 W · 383 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-42.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes5c18,943$928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.858,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes4c5,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20047032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6320…7e94backed Yes4c4,567$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.6738817.5%68 W · 320 L-6.7wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11be…7712backed Yes5c4,000$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20022620.4%46 W · 180 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick19cpaid+21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c3f…100cbacked Yes4c3,267$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.955817.2%10 W · 48 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+51.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7aae…3132backed Yes5c3,100$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1553414.7%5 W · 29 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick19cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ca1…3378backed Yes4c3,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1205630.4%17 W · 39 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-33%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes4c2,841$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.514,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes1c2,745$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.314,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…5ec8backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008320.5%17 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21e7…4041backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001266.3%8 W · 118 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-75.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e72…0306backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003318.2%6 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick11cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5648…a6c4backed Yes5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002078.2%17 W · 190 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c05…1d1dbacked Yes5c1,780$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891030%3 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+25.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Yes1c1,598$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1975335.6%268 W · 485 L+0.3wins0.00per pick36cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes5c1,249$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.941,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6c8…b9e6backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5021837.6%82 W · 136 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5947…c7dcbacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012443.5%54 W · 70 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x597e…cd70backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509943.4%43 W · 56 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes4c1,000$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13d6…5cc7backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508223.2%19 W · 63 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick29cpaid-47.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x04c9…f1fabacked Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509727.8%27 W · 70 L+9.0wins+0.09per pick19cpaid+81.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7119…f143backed Yes5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504027.5%11 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…02fdbacked Yes5c982.48$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5018128.7%52 W · 129 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4d…5f4abacked Yes5c980$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498121%17 W · 64 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-36%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9785…2419backed Yes5c962.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.141565.8%9 W · 147 L-4.7wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfe8…67d4backed Yes5c962.8$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1410230.4%31 W · 71 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes5c914$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.76729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ddd…5ca4backed Yes5c891.4$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.572010%2 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Yes5c859.59$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408431%26 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6475…8028backed Yes5c850$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.54124.4%10 W · 31 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd8…eecabacked Yes4c825.98$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3121029%61 W · 149 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick28cpaid+21.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes4c779.92$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.452,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8da1…a0d3backed Yes5c760$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$382799.7%27 W · 252 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes4c749.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3072722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes5c700$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03d2…9fd2backed Yes4c666.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3060%0 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a44…b156backed Yes5c651.8$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.593312.1%4 W · 29 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-59.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3020725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x018a…3b37backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305337.7%20 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3025937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes5c600$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3033915.9%54 W · 285 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes4c533$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.323,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x545f…bedebacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511430.7%35 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbc3c…3403backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255416.7%9 W · 45 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick21cpaid+45%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4bdb…0371backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259017.8%16 W · 74 L-0.2wins0.00per pick18cpaid-23%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x770d…ca11backed Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254325.6%11 W · 32 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-51.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2528143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x920f…10d5backed Yes4c500$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012245.1%55 W · 67 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2530321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdae2…0ddebacked Yes5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246327%17 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-31.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec5c…4526backed Yes5c483.4$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.17468.7%4 W · 42 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick17cpaid-66.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe174…084ebacked Yes4c433.15$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187323.3%17 W · 56 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick18cpaid-2.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Yes4c422.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.891,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fc7…7fbabacked Yes5c420$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21822.4%2 W · 80 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick4cpaid-22.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bd8…f260backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2037919.5%74 W · 305 L-10.5wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3a90…d8debacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201637.5%6 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd69…f53abacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20667.6%5 W · 61 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick9cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5816…8167backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2016920.1%34 W · 135 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick16cpaid+47.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02d3…5554backed Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2034524.1%83 W · 262 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x066b…e07ebacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.2wins+0.08per pick13cpaid+31.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d4…c45abacked Yes5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2028716.4%47 W · 240 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-2.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfd…038bbacked Yes4c399.98$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1636423.6%86 W · 278 L+12.1wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x702a…26f9backed Yes5c319.15$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15385.3%2 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.09per pick14cpaid-66.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes5c312.2$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6136627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6b…fbdbbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157123.9%17 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick19cpaid+19%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6fbc…4b80backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick34cpaid-21.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbea2…b81abacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154810.4%5 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37b2…8681backed Yes4c300$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1214244.4%63 W · 79 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd141…205cbacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15498.2%4 W · 45 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-1.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0328…1fd0backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157646.1%35 W · 41 L+4.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x23a1…275ebacked Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1560%0 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48c5…2233backed Yes5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15170%0 W · 17 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8652…c889backed Yes5c283.8$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.194228.6%12 W · 30 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick20cpaid+36.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x801f…24a6backed Yes5c280$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1417115.2%26 W · 145 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick14cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa846…d435backed Yes5c273.6$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6890%0 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xccbb…3bedbacked Yes5c270$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.58116%13 W · 68 L0.0wins0.00per pick16cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x336a…e0ecbacked Yes5c265.31$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132429.2%7 W · 17 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+37.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e6…9e43backed Yes5c260$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1310223.5%24 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Yes5c233.8$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6995037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17bb…6506backed Yes5c220$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117635.5%27 W · 49 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcfea…bc75backed Yes5c205.6$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.28128.3%1 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick8cpaid-35.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1591…3cc4backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103016.7%5 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-69.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb460…041fbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104219%8 W · 34 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-36.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf3e…3918backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1012546.4%58 W · 67 L+6.5wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d67…1fa5backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010234.3%35 W · 67 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+19.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x647b…5750backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103234.4%11 W · 21 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+14.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d6e…6807backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105815.5%9 W · 49 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick14cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023633.9%80 W · 156 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a98…f9d9backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102817.9%5 W · 23 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick16cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x056a…22f7backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020814.4%30 W · 178 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1666…a860backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10100%0 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x18de…c02fbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107116.9%12 W · 59 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-41.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e93…a48ebacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102425%6 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+39.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70bd…3ecfbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1016230.2%49 W · 113 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1411…631dbacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107711.7%9 W · 68 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick9cpaid+54.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82b3…0c0ebacked Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1013531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6c7…1d58backed Yes5c200$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011341.6%47 W · 66 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.