TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 1 Spain?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$776,433
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$692,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $776,433 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 399 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Yes7c158,877$11,557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,556.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd49f…4507backed Yes8c62,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00012210.7%13 W · 109 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Yes7c55,482$3,752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,751.922,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x89cd…4d7dbacked Yes7c30,655$2,146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,145.8530214.6%44 W · 258 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick15cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16a4…66adbacked Yes8c20,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,60017518.3%32 W · 143 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Yes8c13,045$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.525124.7%62 W · 189 L+14.5wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+17.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeee5…3d51backed Yes8c12,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005719.3%11 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ca2…073bbacked Yes7c8,394$588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$587.567429.7%22 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde0a…f102backed Yes8c7,193$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$565.4456410.5%59 W · 505 L-1.5wins0.00per pick11cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf072…467abacked Yes8c6,250$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5009446.8%44 W · 50 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9629…972bbacked Yes7c6,120$428 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$428.422187.3%16 W · 202 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Yes8c5,984$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$466.421,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5954…7d41backed Yes7c5,026$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.8211218.8%21 W · 91 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7735…4740backed Yes7c4,319$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.26729.2%62 W · 610 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick10cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f20…b29fbacked Yes7c4,286$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300515.9%3 W · 48 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-48%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34e7…0558backed Yes7c4,286$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002828.6%8 W · 20 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid-25.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Yes7c4,284$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.882,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…fde0backed Yes8c4,219$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$337.5656022.7%127 W · 433 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick24cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82f…66a7backed Yes7c3,917$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27533235.5%118 W · 214 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…3066backed Yes8c3,750$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003522.9%8 W · 27 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x62a4…c680backed Yes7c3,571$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018321.3%39 W · 144 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-31.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes8c3,125$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25036247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9bcb…8626backed Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001035.8%6 W · 97 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick8cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes7c2,857$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028528.8%82 W · 203 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick27cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9f2…b4ebbacked Yes7c2,843$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0120725.6%53 W · 154 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick23cpaid-16.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc990…6a32backed Yes8c2,688$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215234.3%1 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick13cpaid-76.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a3a…f9c8backed Yes8c2,661$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21220816.3%34 W · 174 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4926…e7cdbacked Yes0c2,600$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10590%0 W · 59 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8c…b750backed Yes8c2,522$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.598010%8 W · 72 L+0.1wins0.00per pick10cpaid+43.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf28…b40ebacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003218.8%6 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick24cpaid-58.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51fc…128dbacked Yes8c2,500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008452.4%44 W · 40 L+3.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8299…f69ebacked Yes8c2,419$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.5333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick22cpaid-41.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x662a…77b7backed Yes7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15026618%48 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5605…83e2backed Yes7c2,110$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.735110.8%38 W · 313 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick10cpaid+13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f12…143bbacked Yes8c1,903$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.215026.7%40 W · 110 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe6e…074ebacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509111%10 W · 81 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick9cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e8e…9665backed Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15028444.4%126 W · 158 L+1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Yes8c1,875$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4816…d390backed Yes8c1,800$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441414.3%2 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-77.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x57cc…0fa7backed Yes7c1,750$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.532042.2%135 W · 185 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed8…7c2fbacked Yes7c1,714$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12048526.8%130 W · 355 L+0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd966…8136backed Yes4c1,655$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.6934924.4%85 W · 264 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Yes7c1,590$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.318929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6d…f161backed Yes5c1,574$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805311.3%6 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Yes6c1,565$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.81,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9706…bc33backed Yes7c1,530$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022626.5%60 W · 166 L+0.9wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc754…7c8bbacked Yes7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1055012%6 W · 44 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick8cpaid+113.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes7c1,500$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10517636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7493…fe92backed Yes8c1,500$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12024626%64 W · 182 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick25cpaid+10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf3b0…d5d8backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-31.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadc2…96ebbacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008421.4%18 W · 66 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick19cpaid+10.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x671a…cf16backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006266.7%42 W · 584 L-0.6wins0.00per pick7cpaid-23.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e69…a4b5backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ddc…e1aabacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10011811.9%14 W · 104 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1685…cb4ebacked Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x20cd…ed48backed Yes7c1,429$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10090%0 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x443a…ba14backed Yes7c1,400$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986214.5%9 W · 53 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick12cpaid+26.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc73a…1a1abacked Yes8c1,375$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11012727.6%35 W · 92 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9793…789cbacked Yes7c1,310$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.62306.7%2 W · 28 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick10cpaid-89.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d2…f19abacked Yes8c1,304$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick4cpaid+709.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd08c…b6b7backed Yes8c1,290$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003821.1%8 W · 30 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b35…4a36backed Yes7c1,286$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$901756.3%11 W · 164 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick9cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x999f…4ae5backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100685.9%4 W · 64 L-4.3wins-0.06per pick12cpaid-69.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc886…4f48backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005313.2%7 W · 46 L-5.4wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-59.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6500backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54e7…34febacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4703…3ba6backed Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100634.8%3 W · 60 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick7cpaid+10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x752e…bfacbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-70.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdaf3…bd6fbacked Yes8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+118.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x04e9…055bbacked Yes7c1,248$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.848610.5%9 W · 77 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Yes7c1,231$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.1763035.7%225 W · 405 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfcd2…e477backed Yes7c1,214$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855343.4%23 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…dd0cbacked Yes7c1,210$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.7853920.6%111 W · 428 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-38.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes3c1,198$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.132,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes7c1,138$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.65140%0 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009125.3%23 W · 68 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba88…fd2bbacked Yes8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.027919%15 W · 64 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ac1…bf6cbacked Yes7c1,100$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick17cpaid+74%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09c7…2f89backed Yes8c1,100$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88254%1 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick10cpaid+90.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7da0…b710backed Yes7c1,050$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf381…40c2backed Yes8c1,000$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018027.8%50 W · 130 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8935…745cbacked Yes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1021433.2%71 W · 143 L-6.5wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8e9…f1bcbacked Yes9c943.18$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.497115.5%11 W · 60 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+11.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde70…66e7backed Yes4c928.42$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.6130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1e7…3a36backed Yes7c900$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6311915.1%18 W · 101 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75dc…6a1dbacked Yes7c853.82$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7733510.1%34 W · 301 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-35.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Yes6c848$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2458530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Yes6c833.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5036631.1%114 W · 252 L+18.2wins+0.05per pick26cpaid+34.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1286…da74backed Yes7c828.57$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5820427.5%56 W · 148 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-14%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…3354backed Yes6c816.07$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5031728.1%89 W · 228 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick25cpaid+7.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79f5…552dbacked Yes7c811.86$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.8336627.3%100 W · 266 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x056a…22f7backed Yes8c791.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6020814.4%30 W · 178 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick13cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b7c…c37bbacked Yes7c785.71$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5580%0 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x45c7…a35dbacked Yes3c782.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.057622.4%17 W · 59 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick20cpaid-37.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Yes7c753.66$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.8371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1008…aa9abacked Yes8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606219.4%12 W · 50 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-27.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61ac…4781backed Yes8c750$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6052522.5%118 W · 407 L+0.5wins0.00per pick22cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73d7…360dbacked Yes4c740.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306923.2%16 W · 53 L+8.5wins+0.12per pick11cpaid+79.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb9a2…2712backed Yes8c721.74$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8570%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.