TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0f6d…f161

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: MLB, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 52 out of 100; worst La Liga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT5311.3%6 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-29.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Exact Score: Argentina 0 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.86
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$115
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 0 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$733.33
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Exact Score: Spain 0 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Exact Score: France 3 - 0 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Exact Score: France 1 - 3 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$224.23
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.98
Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
San Diego Padres vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Detroit Tigers vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$12.78
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$21.18
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.93
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104%+$34.02
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$36.39
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$31.22
Detroit Tigers vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$31.77
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$71.15
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Chicago Cubs vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.25
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$21.25
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$64.54
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$37.14
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-05-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$30.56
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$12.63
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+38.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+34.8%+$12.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.