MLB · resolved market
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5335a76c202c1cb4be259f631950709d65985fbedab743f5fe60eb41be7193b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof St. Louis Cardinals, Athletics
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,028,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,070,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,028,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 391 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed Athletics | 54c | 182,941$98,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98,788.16 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,000 | 411 | 49.1%202 W · 209 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 66,050$30,084 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,965.46 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 61,055$28,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,969.97 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Athletics | 34c | 57,094$19,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,601.41 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Athletics | 66c | 43,478$28,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,695.65 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Athletics | 53c | 43,402$23,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,002.93 | 239 | 48.5%116 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef1b…8697backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 43,281$15,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,184.14 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Athletics | 64c | 30,550$19,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,585.95 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,200 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Athletics | 47c | 25,401$12,027 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,026.61 | 135 | 34.1%46 W · 89 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Athletics | 20c | 24,453$4,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,877.95 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ea…7f3bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 30c | 19,342$5,760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,581.98 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 17,454$8,778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,676.04 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 16,397$7,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,640.14 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 14,928$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,613.2 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…ddcdbacked Athletics | 41c | 13,000$5,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,330 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Athletics | 50c | 12,307$6,198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,197.9 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 38c | 10,913$4,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,097.34 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 10,133$4,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,457.69 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 10,100$4,649 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,451.02 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0a…a9bebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c20…66a9backed Athletics | 71c | 9,402$6,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,674.72 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Athletics | 53c | 7,879$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,176.1 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 39c | 7,811$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,731.1 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd2a…315ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 7,569$4,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,291.45 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Athletics | 51c | 7,300$3,690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,690.11 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Athletics | 50c | 6,201$3,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,100.34 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f8…3452backed St. Louis Cardinals | 78c | 6,000$4,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,327.63 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 5,771$3,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,135.12 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed St. Louis Cardinals | 44c | 5,093$2,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,844.5 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 4,830$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,117.85 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 4,666$2,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.08 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Athletics | 53c | 4,606$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.66 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Athletics | 53c | 4,606$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,446.66 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Athletics | 52c | 4,000$2,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066.79 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed St. Louis Cardinals | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Athletics | 51c | 3,819$1,948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,947.87 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Athletics | 51c | 3,529$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 289 | 44.3%128 W · 161 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Athletics | 54c | 3,480$1,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.2 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed St. Louis Cardinals | 67c | 3,241$2,173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,068.56 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 3,116$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.35 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Athletics | 28c | 3,093$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.07 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked St. Louis Cardinals | 63c | 2,790$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.59 | 1,723 | 50.3%867 W · 856 L | +55.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 2,500$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,350 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 2,500$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,710.04 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…9b86backed Athletics | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Athletics | 26c | 2,300$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.79 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 2,090$1,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.87 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 2,015$1,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.75 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed St. Louis Cardinals | 29c | 2,012$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,422.7 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bec…07a8backed Athletics | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e1…8f69backed Athletics | 47c | 2,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa73a…656abacked Athletics | 54c | 1,854$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.57 | 577 | 58.1%335 W · 242 L | +28.5wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 40c | 1,820$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.13 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Athletics | 39c | 1,731$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$677.77 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,716$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918.23 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Athletics | 58c | 1,665$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.56 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 1,547$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.69 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Athletics | 50c | 1,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 444 | 51.1%227 W · 217 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ad…45f9backed Athletics | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Athletics | 26c | 1,409$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.21 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 1,408$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.81 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 1,339$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.08 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 79c | 1,266$1,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.48 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed St. Louis Cardinals | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.47 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 71c | 1,142$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.09 | 532 | 61.8%329 W · 203 L | +20.6wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,111$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$611.11 | 192 | 46.9%90 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,106$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$585.98 | 346 | 50.9%176 W · 170 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Athletics | 2c | 1,080$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.07 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4957…ef96backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.83 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed St. Louis Cardinals | 19c | 1,047$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.18 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Athletics | 51c | 1,019$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.68 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Athletics | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.05 | 162 | 48.8%79 W · 83 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Athletics | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 208 | 48.1%100 W · 108 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed Athletics | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…a92abacked Athletics | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 237 | 54%128 W · 109 L | +8.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eec…df90backed St. Louis Cardinals | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Athletics | 53c | 979.96$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.58 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Athletics | 54c | 922.8$498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.31 | 345 | 50.7%175 W · 170 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 75c | 914.79$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.41 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Athletics | 19c | 863.47$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.06 | 777 | 52.1%405 W · 372 L | +36.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7268…78abbacked Athletics | 29c | 830.75$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.5 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2003…af6fbacked Athletics | 23c | 820.43$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.9 | 124 | 46%57 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Athletics | 28c | 819.6$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.99 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 46c | 813.56$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.06 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f07…9d0fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 35c | 800$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 275 | 52.4%144 W · 131 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Athletics | 57c | 778.69$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.47 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed St. Louis Cardinals | 47c | 750$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.5 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Athletics | 71c | 704.23$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 347 | 56.5%196 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed St. Louis Cardinals | 32c | 700.69$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.67 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Athletics | 53c | 690$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.7 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 42c | 655.9$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.64 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…ba42backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 653.8$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.58 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e59…2a66backed Athletics | 24c | 630.65$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.15 | 218 | 41.3%90 W · 128 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…fbdcbacked Athletics | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda44…2b09backed St. Louis Cardinals | 48c | 600$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athleticsthis page
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Athletics won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.