MLB · resolved market
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x059dd173738c293f5acd384d04f3b4d38efc52b2c9496809184d3a5b7657b783
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- St. Louis Cardinalsof Athletics, St. Louis Cardinals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,695
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,695 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae0f…f647backed Athletics | 79c | 9,839$7,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,748.14 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 8,857$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,617.14 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 4,030$1,733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,296.95 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed St. Louis Cardinals | 21c | 3,675$778 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,896.81 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed St. Louis Cardinals | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,200 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed St. Louis Cardinals | 23c | 2,104$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,624.12 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Athletics | 78c | 2,010$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.79 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Athletics | 49c | 1,596$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.45 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Athletics | 62c | 1,138$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.56 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 795.12$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.88 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a5…cd84backed St. Louis Cardinals | 25c | 727.8$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.8 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Athletics | 72c | 603$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.4 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Athletics | 64c | 575$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 22c | 547.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.74 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2728…4f96backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.16 | 534 | 48.9%261 W · 273 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4a…5ba6backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b4…a662backed Athletics | 14c | 289.64$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.55 | 1,133 | 57.2%648 W · 485 L | +35.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Athletics | 14c | 265.75$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.21 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38fa…87b5backed St. Louis Cardinals | 57c | 207$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.01 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 31c | 193$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.17 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Athletics | 69c | 193$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.17 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Athletics | 63c | 175.64$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.65 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 162.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.69 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed St. Louis Cardinals | 27c | 139.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.17 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…39dabacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 135.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 185 | 47.6%88 W · 97 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27cf…979abacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 135.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…995fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 135.12$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.13 | 131 | 44.3%58 W · 73 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b3…4756backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 127.3$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.2 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed St. Louis Cardinals | 14c | 121.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.43 | 1,218 | 55.6%677 W · 541 L | +94.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Athletics | 63c | 100$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 373 | 57.4%214 W · 159 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Athletics | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,753 | 50.8%890 W · 863 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Athletics | 17c | 99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.83 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…42b0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 76.15$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.15 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Athletics | 67c | 74.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.02 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Athletics | 61c | 72.83$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.14 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed St. Louis Cardinals | 49c | 59.18$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 639 | 43.3%277 W · 362 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 33c | 55.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.36 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c2…b14dbacked Athletics | 28c | 55.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.28 | 1,149 | 48.9%562 W · 587 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked St. Louis Cardinals | 26c | 52.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 1,269 | 47.4%602 W · 667 L | -31.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3d…efefbacked Athletics | 79c | 50.38$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Athletics | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.06 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed St. Louis Cardinals | 34c | 49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Athletics | 63c | 48.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 726 | 48.1%349 W · 377 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffb8…f402backed Athletics | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5a…59b9backed St. Louis Cardinals | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3537…3419backed St. Louis Cardinals | 43c | 40.28$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.96 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Athletics | 59c | 35.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.22 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Athletics | 47c | 34.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.52 | 486 | 53.7%261 W · 225 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed St. Louis Cardinals | 37c | 34.24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…5487backed St. Louis Cardinals | 77c | 28.12$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.61 | 153 | 49.7%76 W · 77 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41d8…7233backed St. Louis Cardinals | 70c | 18.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.43 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…a9a5backed Athletics | 70c | 16.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 268 | 53.4%143 W · 125 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Athletics (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Athletics (-2.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: Athletics (-3.5)St. Louis Cardinals won
- Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)Athletics won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsSt. Louis Cardinals won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 10.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 12.5Under won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 5.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 6.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 7.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 8.5Over won
- St. Louis Cardinals vs. Athletics: O/U 9.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. AthleticsYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.