TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x87bb…42b0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Tennis, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 55 out of 100; worst NHL at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$248
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.55
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$106.49
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$121.88
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.94
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+280.7%+$56.15
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$128.25
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$115.42
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$44.44
Chicago Cubs vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$140.19
Seattle Mariners vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.9
Minnesota Twins vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$100.74
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$404Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$404.13
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$144.25
Minnesota Twins vs. Washington Nationalsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
KBO: Hanwha Eagles vs. Kia Tigersbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
All 17 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-63%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Liberty vs. Washington Mysticsbacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$234Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$209.81
Seattle Storm vs. Connecticut Sunbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+104.2%+$137.26
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Washington Mystics vs. Toronto Tempobacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$293Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$292.63
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+34.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+70.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Real Madrid CF 3 - 0 Real Oviedo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$237.08
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$245Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$69.1
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Avalanche vs. Wildbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-05-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$192.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Racing Club de Lens vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$252.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Auckland FC vs. Adelaide United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$271.34
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.