MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7329b3fe87dbb4fcb1d937a29631a5c2fe171bec6343cf8b23fff1cc66759cbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof San Diego Padres, Milwaukee Brewers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $710,039
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $750,453
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $710,039 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 318 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5966…f804backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 108,951$49,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49,028 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 80,997$44,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,448.76 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 66,243$37,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,948.45 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…5486backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 65,270$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.27 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 61,631$35,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,631.05 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed San Diego Padres | 36c | 47,695$17,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,174.39 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 34,575$15,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,527.63 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 18,494$8,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,137.49 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcbf…d37fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 18,099$10,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,963.49 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 17,590$7,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,580.24 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 13,648$7,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,057.04 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 12,834$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,518.66 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 11,196$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 11,102$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,995.76 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16e5…6373backed Milwaukee Brewers | 64c | 10,454$6,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,763.29 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 10,363$4,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,456.11 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 10,100$5,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,541.04 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.98 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 9,970$5,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,486.32 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 9,864$5,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,438.93 | 124 | 57.3%71 W · 53 L | +7.7wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 8,923$3,837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,836.78 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked San Diego Padres | 3c | 8,808$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.04 | 1,151 | 49.2%566 W · 585 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 8,135$4,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,558.71 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 7,977$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.97 | 1,106 | 48.7%539 W · 567 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 7,970$3,279 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,278.97 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8df7…36c4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 7,783$4,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 7,582$4,567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,015.35 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 5,556$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500.2 | 142 | 52.1%74 W · 68 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 5,191$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.92 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 4,224$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,774.14 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10e0…c736backed San Diego Padres | 16c | 3,662$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 179 | 51.4%92 W · 87 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 3,500$1,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,505 | 246 | 51.6%127 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 3,500$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,540 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,979$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.18 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee84…becbbacked San Diego Padres | 3c | 2,914$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.11 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d1a…4c01backed San Diego Padres | 0c | 2,850$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c8…d8a4backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Milwaukee Brewers | 67c | 2,647$1,787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.34 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.57 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe7…b13cbacked San Diego Padres | 10c | 2,451$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 21cpaid | +161.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57a…b8c3backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,300$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -36%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,222$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.46 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked San Diego Padres | 1c | 2,100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 2,093$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900.76 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 1,822$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$748.97 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 1,820$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.8 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,745$1,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$740.66 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 9c | 1,733$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.81 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,724$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.14 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 71c | 1,518$1,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 1,424$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.19 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 1,411$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.73 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 1,278$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$557.66 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x992b…5053backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 1,137$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.75 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 1,092$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.31 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c67…1075backed Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 1,040$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.4 | 51 | 72.5%37 W · 14 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70e9…836abacked San Diego Padres | 17c | 1,000$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.1 | 213 | 23.5%50 W · 163 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x066e…ceb2backed San Diego Padres | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 252 | 40.1%101 W · 151 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked San Diego Padres | 12c | 935.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 161 | 35.4%57 W · 104 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 933$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.86 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 889.66$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.66 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Milwaukee Brewers | 66c | 808.95$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.06 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked San Diego Padres | 3c | 800$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…7260backed Milwaukee Brewers | 74c | 779.34$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 749.98$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.99 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 62c | 717.98$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.03 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 698$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.12 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc313…e128backed San Diego Padres | 5c | 682.17$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 379 | 41.2%156 W · 223 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 615.45$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.54 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cd3…5896backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 564.98$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.59 | 174 | 46%80 W · 94 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 78c | 534.68$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.28 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a2…b5b7backed San Diego Padres | 43c | 530.28$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x797f…f08abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 521.96$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.44 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 510.81$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.54 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…184cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 507$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.08 | 284 | 53.9%153 W · 131 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked San Diego Padres | 30c | 501.38$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.41 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 177 | 68.9%122 W · 55 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00ed…0a9fbacked San Diego Padres | 41c | 476.85$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.51 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked San Diego Padres | 42c | 476.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 462.38$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.2 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 452.87$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.05 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b0…858cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 446.43$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.43 | 205 | 52.7%108 W · 97 L | +12.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x299d…18e9backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 435$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.7 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Milwaukee Brewers | 59c | 413.29$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.45 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 401.03$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.54 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 383.26$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.64 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 366.27$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.16 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480e…90c7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 56c | 357.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.14 | 188 | 60.1%113 W · 75 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked San Diego Padres | 44c | 350$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 210 | 57.6%121 W · 89 L | +13.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 343$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…fbdcbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 325$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.5 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 80c | 317.92$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.65 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 58c | 299.99$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87bb…42b0backed Milwaukee Brewers | 57c | 298.25$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.25 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…11b3backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 270$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.8 | 111 | 34.2%38 W · 73 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 10.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 11.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 5.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 6.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5Over won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 8.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-3.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-5.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee BrewersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.