TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd9ee…89a4

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
96
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 64 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT4240.5%17 W · 25 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+412%+$2,060.11
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,387Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,386.9
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,440Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,440
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,500
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,200
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,703.7
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+115.3%+$2,305.56
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$956.8
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.64
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$963Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$963.4
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$481Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$480.8
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$968Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,135.88
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$484Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$484.4
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,952Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+66.9%+$1,305.42
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,068Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,068.32
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.5
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,951Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,951.4
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080.2
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$869Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$869.22
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,363Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,363.07
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,062Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,061.72
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT3666.7%24 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+49.7%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
MLB — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,072Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,072.46
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,000
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,561.22
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+107%+$1,070.43
Athletics vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$1,277.78
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.95
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,380.95
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$1,051.22
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$586.96
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$694.92
San Francisco Giants vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$306.45
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+42.4%+$424.19
San Diego Padres vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$1,519.05
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Chicago Cubs vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$863Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+220.6%+$1,903.41
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$974Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.6
San Diego Padres vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,936Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+115.9%+$2,244.16
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$1,019.3
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+203%+$779.47
San Diego Padres vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$439.41
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+26.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-35.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$902Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$901.62
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.