MLB · resolved market
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5e1fa2bbcf6df4cefa88b67a185433e7e5097b9daeb8ffeb10caabbfa06cf19a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- San Diego Padresof San Diego Padres, Seattle Mariners
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $464,699
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $485,851
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $464,699 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xef1b…8697backed Seattle Mariners | 22c | 49,499$10,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,998.59 | 140 | 42.9%60 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…d62abacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 35,483$16,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,482.76 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed San Diego Padres | 75c | 34,944$26,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,872.06 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 26,646$14,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,655.06 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 16,255$7,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,940.23 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6db5…e279backed Seattle Mariners | 10c | 15,263$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.2 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked San Diego Padres | 76c | 15,080$11,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,680.93 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Seattle Mariners | 11c | 13,892$1,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,545.45 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 12,794$1,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,491.56 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd331…733cbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 12,166$6,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,691.4 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Seattle Mariners | 11c | 10,965$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,159.27 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 9,461$4,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,203.66 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc517…89f5backed Seattle Mariners | 37c | 8,746$3,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,231.13 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 8,296$4,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,467.08 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 7,801$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,238.66 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked San Diego Padres | 45c | 6,771$3,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,724.24 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Seattle Mariners | 13c | 5,728$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.35 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x359c…3272backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 5,650$3,108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,107.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed San Diego Padres | 44c | 5,621$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,120.87 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Seattle Mariners | 10c | 5,372$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.54 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Seattle Mariners | 8c | 5,369$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.55 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Seattle Mariners | 49c | 5,161$2,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,536.31 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Seattle Mariners | 26c | 4,575$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Seattle Mariners | 10c | 3,911$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.47 | 1,379 | 50.6%698 W · 681 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x060b…548ebacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 3,804$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Seattle Mariners | 0c | 3,800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Seattle Mariners | 30c | 3,720$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,126.91 | 1,510 | 39%589 W · 921 L | -16.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,981$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.78 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Seattle Mariners | 10c | 2,850$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Seattle Mariners | 28c | 2,778$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.32 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed San Diego Padres | 72c | 2,649$1,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.86 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 2,631$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,420.74 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xed88…e838backed San Diego Padres | 42c | 2,550$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed San Diego Padres | 67c | 2,550$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$837.47 | 338 | 64.2%217 W · 121 L | +23.1wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,446$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.31 | 322 | 51.6%166 W · 156 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d4a3backed Seattle Mariners | 2c | 2,144$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.08 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 2,000$1,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,090 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 1,887$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.78 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…3fcbbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,831$1,007 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.05 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cef…fa91backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,822$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,002.88 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 1,793$1,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.09 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Seattle Mariners | 40c | 1,740$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$695.84 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Seattle Mariners | 7c | 1,452$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 445 | 56.9%253 W · 192 L | +27.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 1,385$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.57 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Seattle Mariners | 46c | 1,384$639 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$638.67 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Seattle Mariners | 6c | 1,343$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.58 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,321$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.55 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked San Diego Padres | 49c | 1,310$641 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.6 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed San Diego Padres | 78c | 1,283$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.32 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbf9c…3648backed Seattle Mariners | 10c | 1,273$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.55 | 1,733 | 49%849 W · 884 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Seattle Mariners | 18c | 1,219$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.71 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed San Diego Padres | 77c | 1,186$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.38 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,150$621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 1,100$594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$594 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 323 | 50.5%163 W · 160 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 1,088$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 218 | 56%122 W · 96 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ee…89a4backed San Diego Padres | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.96 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc1a9…e2dbbacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 1,060$613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447.53 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…6079backed Seattle Mariners | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 999.99$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.99 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fd…f43ebacked San Diego Padres | 58c | 996.14$578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.38 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a93…c3eabacked San Diego Padres | 46c | 934.78$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.78 | 265 | 45.7%121 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 893.77$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.63 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Seattle Mariners | 36c | 830.53$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.88 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 800.02$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Seattle Mariners | 11c | 800$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 266 | 18.4%49 W · 217 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 717$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.52 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec7…2b6bbacked Seattle Mariners | 34c | 710.94$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.72 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed San Diego Padres | 79c | 651.63$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.63 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed San Diego Padres | 65c | 613.01$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Seattle Mariners | 33c | 606.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 594.96$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 591$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.14 | 132 | 47.7%63 W · 69 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4395…8fd0backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 575.61$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.61 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f0b…5577backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 573.12$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.22 | 294 | 49.7%146 W · 148 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a59…a57ebacked Seattle Mariners | 15c | 518$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.14 | 677 | 42.2%286 W · 391 L | -36.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed San Diego Padres | 41c | 500$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Seattle Mariners | 12c | 500$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 268 | 57.8%155 W · 113 L | +26.3wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Seattle Mariners | 25c | 470.08$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.91 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e1…0458backed Seattle Mariners | 20c | 469.11$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.3 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 413$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.02 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Seattle Mariners | 38c | 412.81$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.02 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Seattle Mariners | 22c | 408.44$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Seattle Mariners | 13c | 372.36$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee01…b01fbacked Seattle Mariners | 55c | 357.82$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…f8fdbacked Seattle Mariners | 26c | 343.82$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 142 | 43%61 W · 81 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 326$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.56 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Seattle Mariners | 56c | 315.42$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 1,014 | 47.7%484 W · 530 L | -28.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Seattle Mariners | 45c | 300$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.47 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed San Diego Padres | 45c | 300$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…c5e1backed San Diego Padres | 71c | 300$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee3…cab9backed Seattle Mariners | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 162 | 32.1%52 W · 110 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Seattle Mariners | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Seattle Mariners | 54c | 289.92$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.56 | 143 | 40.6%58 W · 85 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…66cebacked Seattle Mariners | 13c | 284.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.13 | 660 | 56.2%371 W · 289 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Seattle Mariners | 55c | 277.38$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.56 | 288 | 50.3%145 W · 143 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersthis page
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 2.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 3.5Under won
- San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)San Diego Padres won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: San Diego Padres vs. Seattle MarinersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.