TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0c6…d4a3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
33
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NHL, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 54 out of 100; worst WNBA at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick24cpaid-33.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.42
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 11.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.22
San Francisco Giants vs. Athleticsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.2
San Diego Padres vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Seattle Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.08
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.71
Kansas City Royals vs. St. Louis Cardinals: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.22
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.14
Chicago Cubs vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.07
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.34
New York Yankees vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.09
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$28.99
Boston Red Sox vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$15.9
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$179.28
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.45
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.75
Los Angeles Angels vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.91
All 17 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick7cpaid-0.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid-40.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+91.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$30.45
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$12.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+87.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: paiN vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Abacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+95.6%+$68.84
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs paiN (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+80.2%+$84.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$54.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.88
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.54
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.