MLB · resolved market
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x226c8cf1eb8c8409cc328a18735c507c72a7626c07f93b1c70b6aaddfd9c11f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Houston Astrosof Texas Rangers, Houston Astros
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,103
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,377
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,103 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee84…becbbacked Texas Rangers | 0c | 25,000$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 218 | 52.8%115 W · 103 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Texas Rangers | 15c | 18,450$2,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,750.77 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 16,594$8,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,462.86 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Houston Astros | 77c | 13,705$10,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,147.68 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Houston Astros | 78c | 8,963$7,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,963.06 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 8,048$4,024 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,023.96 | 381 | 48.6%185 W · 196 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Texas Rangers | 26c | 6,812$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.71 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9f…26e8backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 6,081$3,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,101.31 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Texas Rangers | 21c | 5,593$1,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.76 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 4,902$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas Rangers | 24c | 4,828$1,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,171.42 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…3992backed Houston Astros | 56c | 4,676$2,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.36 | 156 | 59%92 W · 64 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Texas Rangers | 21c | 4,466$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.98 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc1…b33cbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 4,187$2,367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.26 | 260 | 56.9%148 W · 112 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 4,000$1,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Houston Astros | 49c | 3,960$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.58 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c6…d4a3backed Texas Rangers | 1c | 3,929$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.34 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 3,677$1,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,192.08 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Texas Rangers | 24c | 3,543$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$838.71 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d57…18ddbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 3,429$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656.12 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 2,204$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,101.34 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb416…4588backed Texas Rangers | 20c | 2,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Houston Astros | 66c | 1,883$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.84 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Texas Rangers | 31c | 1,811$566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.87 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8370…0d16backed Texas Rangers | 20c | 1,774$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$357.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Texas Rangers | 16c | 1,635$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.53 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 1,354$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.19 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Houston Astros | 53c | 1,345$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.2 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 1,340$665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$675.18 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4e…1fb8backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 1,184$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.78 | 3,792 | 45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L | -5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Houston Astros | 60c | 1,171$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.57 | 1,499 | 58.9%883 W · 616 L | +75.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Houston Astros | 49c | 1,063$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.64 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…5ff5backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 1,005$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.42 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Houston Astros | 57c | 970.85$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.88 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Texas Rangers | 22c | 947.07$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.73 | 791 | 47.9%379 W · 412 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Houston Astros | 49c | 886.26$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.99 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…2d3cbacked Texas Rangers | 48c | 881.78$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Houston Astros | 74c | 825.35$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.55 | 1,075 | 58.3%627 W · 448 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Texas Rangers | 24c | 730$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.83 | 2,545 | 45.9%1,168 W · 1,377 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Texas Rangers | 40c | 717.75$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.62 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Houston Astros | 49c | 700$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed Houston Astros | 73c | 680$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Texas Rangers | 35c | 650.56$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.87 | 503 | 37.2%187 W · 316 L | -42.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Texas Rangers | 32c | 625$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 384 | 44.3%170 W · 214 L | -13.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Houston Astros | 65c | 615.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.38 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Houston Astros | 79c | 595.9$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.32 | 52 | 73.1%38 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Houston Astros | 60c | 567.67$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.69 | 95 | 35.8%34 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb97…7ae1backed Texas Rangers | 24c | 564.54$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.46 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -6.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 564$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 467 | 49.5%231 W · 236 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed Houston Astros | 49c | 550$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.5 | 1,010 | 51.2%517 W · 493 L | +36.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Houston Astros | 75c | 543.58$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.01 | 1,121 | 44.1%494 W · 627 L | -32.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0817…b071backed Texas Rangers | 9c | 504.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 39 | 12.8%5 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Houston Astros | 49c | 500$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 827 | 41.1%340 W · 487 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 468.02$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ae…7aa6backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 378.43$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Texas Rangers | 49c | 377.96$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.2 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Texas Rangers | 22c | 363.64$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Texas Rangers | 27c | 352.11$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.88 | 181 | 49.2%89 W · 92 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc468…530fbacked Houston Astros | 75c | 348.77$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.83 | 332 | 74.1%246 W · 86 L | +28.8wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Houston Astros | 49c | 318.53$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.45 | 398 | 50.3%200 W · 198 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Houston Astros | 49c | 299.99$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.99 | 346 | 48.6%168 W · 178 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…5f5abacked Texas Rangers | 46c | 282$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.72 | 603 | 48.6%293 W · 310 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 258$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 319 | 49.5%158 W · 161 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Texas Rangers | 24c | 256.33$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.38 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked Houston Astros | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x406d…fd9fbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 235.04$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.52 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…24e9backed Houston Astros | 50c | 233.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Texas Rangers | 34c | 229$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.85 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Texas Rangers | 34c | 222.67$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.63 | 996 | 24.6%245 W · 751 L | -70.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a0…c225backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 219.57$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.79 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 216.58$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.48 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…118dbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 213.38$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.69 | 514 | 49.2%253 W · 261 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…3fa2backed Houston Astros | 55c | 212.73$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.73 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…754cbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 211.14$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Texas Rangers | 44c | 210$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.4 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Texas Rangers | 10c | 207$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d6f…be20backed Houston Astros | 60c | 206.19$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 234 | 54.7%128 W · 106 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Houston Astros | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Texas Rangers | 50c | 193.38$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.69 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Houston Astros | 54c | 190$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.3 | 786 | 49.1%386 W · 400 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Texas Rangers | 33c | 187.75$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.01 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x218f…741ebacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 182.94$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4184…d16cbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 182.39$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.02 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd96a…d8cebacked Texas Rangers | 19c | 179.5$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.08 | 335 | 15.5%52 W · 283 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 167$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 767 | 52.3%401 W · 366 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5740…4179backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 163.36$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb411…3ec3backed Houston Astros | 51c | 161.75$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…77febacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 155.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0f4…6fa9backed Texas Rangers | 30c | 147.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.08 | 1,777 | 58.4%1,037 W · 740 L | +91.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 261 | 48.3%126 W · 135 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6b…8a98backed Texas Rangers | 50c | 140$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 476 | 52.9%252 W · 224 L | +17.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…836abacked Texas Rangers | 47c | 132.72$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.38 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4866…0682backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 130.19$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.28per pick | 50cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1269…abfabacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 129.02$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked Texas Rangers | 28c | 124.67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.43 | 418 | 36.4%152 W · 266 L | -31.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeede…1c7bbacked Houston Astros | 50c | 120$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066a…de3fbacked Texas Rangers | 51c | 118.67$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Texas Rangers | 22c | 115.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 1,299 | 50.9%661 W · 638 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…9566backed Texas Rangers | 51c | 109.51$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosthis page
- Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-1.5)Houston Astros won
- Spread: Texas Rangers (-4.5)Houston Astros won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 10.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 11.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 5.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 6.5Under won
- Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astros: O/U 8.5Under won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Houston AstrosNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.