TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xccf7…836a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
71
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NFL, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NFL at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2748.1%13 W · 14 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$390Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+92.6%+$361.07
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$24.51
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+300%+$710.96
Raptors vs. Nets: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+75.4%+$62.94
Bucks vs. Mavericksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+219.9%+$259.8
Cavaliers vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+194.1%+$177.21
Lakers vs. Hornets: 1H Moneylinebacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+81.8%+$44.89
Rockets vs. Bucksbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$474Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$473.52
Rockets vs. Spursbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Celtics vs. Magicbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$40
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$409Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$409.39
Heat vs. Clippers: 1H Moneylinebacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+150%+$60
Heat vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$289Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST+53.8%+$155.45
Spurs vs. Sunsbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hawks vs. Cavaliersbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$16.81
76ers vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Raptors vs. Mavericksbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$183.09
Pacers vs. Timberwolvesbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Celtics vs. Pistonsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.07
Hawks vs. Magicbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$138.1
Bucks vs. Raptorsbacked Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,559Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+120.3%+$1,875.3
Nuggets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+138.8%+$416.48
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$489Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$489.17
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.7
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$439Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$439.08
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$38.48
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$357.27
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+203%+$197.39
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+103.5%+$56.46
Texas Rangers vs. Houston Astrosbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.38
Colorado Rockies vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.79
Will Trump attend the 2025 MLB World Series Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$579Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$578.54
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,204Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+35.4%+$426.48
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$287.93
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$67.94
Brewers vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$21.5
All 13 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+8.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$475Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+28.2%+$133.88
Kentucky vs. Auburnbacked Kentucky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT+72.5%+$209.96
USC vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Missouri vs. Vanderbiltbacked Missouri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,817Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,817.43
Ole Miss vs. Oklahomabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,903Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+92.2%+$1,754.05
Rutgers vs. Purdue Boilermakersbacked Rutgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$354.55
Utah State vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$35.33
BYU vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.58
Georgia vs. Auburnbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$66
Oklahoma vs. Texasbacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.46
Iowa State vs. Coloradobacked Iowa State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$60.38
Northern Illinois vs. Eastern Michiganbacked Eastern Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$23.41
All 12 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.27per pick45cpaid+51.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NFL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Chiefsbacked Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+69.5%+$8.33
Chiefs vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$449Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+173.4%+$779.13
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+29.1%+$86.46
Seahawks vs. Commandersbacked Commanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$602Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 3, 2025, EST-100%-$602.29
Buccaneers vs. Lionsbacked Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Steelers vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$226Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+69.6%+$157.62
Bears vs. Commandersbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+220.2%+$488.94
All 7 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Oct 29, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 12, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick59cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Flyers vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$115.8
Golden Knights vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+66.7%+$39.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$206Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.65
Will Curaçao win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.03
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 11, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Appalachian State Mountaineers vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked Appalachian State Mountaineers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$11.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.