College Football · resolved market
BYU vs. Arizona
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1152b361960c9f3a9a177254ba594012e1458b94dd720cfe258d7176f3bf9a38
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- BYUof BYU, Arizona
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,150,161
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,165,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,150,161 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 169 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed BYU | 57c | 524,854$297,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227,070.38 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Arizona | 43c | 274,701$118,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118,122.01 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…edbdbacked Arizona | 75c | 121,610$90,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90,719.96 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 61cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Arizona | 43c | 78,892$33,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,923.37 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Arizona | 44c | 75,218$33,096 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,095.92 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked BYU | 38c | 61,170$23,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,777.35 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Arizona | 44c | 60,000$26,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,400 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed BYU | 31c | 42,373$13,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,110.5 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Arizona | 44c | 40,465$17,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,804.39 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed BYU | 57c | 27,500$15,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,825.37 | 272 | 46%125 W · 147 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Arizona | 43c | 20,093$8,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,683.28 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed BYU | 28c | 18,762$5,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,475.07 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Arizona | 24c | 16,705$3,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,955.29 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked BYU | 53c | 12,919$6,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,073.61 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Arizona | 43c | 11,330$4,872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,871.79 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked BYU | 47c | 10,454$4,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,592.88 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Arizona | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 73 | 42.5%31 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa21…1438backed BYU | 61c | 7,878$4,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,078.26 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Arizona | 43c | 7,500$3,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,225 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Arizona | 45c | 5,831$2,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,605.84 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked BYU | 42c | 5,415$2,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.44 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Arizona | 53c | 5,172$2,723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,723.33 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed Arizona | 49c | 5,082$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…2ba2backed BYU | 55c | 4,700$2,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,115 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b86…0669backed Arizona | 43c | 4,651$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.99 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed BYU | 47c | 4,624$2,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,439.59 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…300ebacked Arizona | 61c | 4,500$2,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,745 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed BYU | 58c | 4,345$2,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.31 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Arizona | 52c | 4,281$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.9 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec65…cf87backed BYU | 54c | 4,110$2,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Arizona | 45c | 3,474$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,556.18 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed BYU | 54c | 3,295$1,779 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,515.7 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Arizona | 17c | 3,169$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.73 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked BYU | 39c | 3,077$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,876.92 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ae…4318backed Arizona | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Arizona | 43c | 2,700$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,161 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85e…2aebbacked BYU | 38c | 2,658$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,657.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Arizona | 44c | 2,500$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.18 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed BYU | 49c | 2,473$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.59 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Arizona | 42c | 2,450$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96e1…50aabacked BYU | 67c | 2,392$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$783.09 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed BYU | 45c | 2,343$1,048 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.47 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Arizona | 43c | 2,305$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.35 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15a9…677ebacked BYU | 23c | 2,016$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,543.83 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21d8…ad91backed BYU | 57c | 1,930$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$829.82 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Arizona | 43c | 1,914$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.92 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9733…f034backed Arizona | 45c | 1,749$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.98 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Arizona | 45c | 1,661$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.58 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa408…e305backed BYU | 40c | 1,505$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$903.09 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked BYU | 36c | 1,448$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.42 | 571 | 44.7%255 W · 316 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e0…4983backed BYU | 29c | 1,363$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$963.2 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 37cpaid | +39%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Arizona | 43c | 1,300$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.99 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17bd…7afcbacked Arizona | 41c | 1,260$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.86 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked BYU | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c51…af7ebacked BYU | 59c | 1,250$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.5 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2619…9f4ebacked Arizona | 45c | 1,204$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.7 | 179 | 54.2%97 W · 82 L | +11.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d03…369abacked Arizona | 45c | 1,200$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$534 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…5862backed BYU | 36c | 1,175$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Arizona | 43c | 1,142$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.09 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…fcfebacked Arizona | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb7…05f6backed BYU | 50c | 1,000$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$495 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Arizona | 43c | 999.97$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.99 | 107 | 42.1%45 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Arizona | 29c | 992.43$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.82 | 276 | 48.9%135 W · 141 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f82…d6abbacked BYU | 59c | 619.51$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.51 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Arizona | 30c | 600$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.06 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Arizona | 43c | 600$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ff3…7d00backed BYU | 18c | 600$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.5 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked BYU | 39c | 519.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd3…d057backed BYU | 17c | 486.18$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.46 | 40 | 22.5%9 W · 31 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xccf7…836abacked Arizona | 37c | 478$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.58 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x355c…e6d4backed BYU | 57c | 438.6$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.6 | 103 | 47.6%49 W · 54 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked Arizona | 31c | 423$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8520…2a3cbacked Arizona | 51c | 411.76$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6722…278cbacked Arizona | 32c | 400$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed BYU | 49c | 356.93$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.66 | 398 | 47.7%190 W · 208 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…503fbacked Arizona | 46c | 332.8$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…590dbacked Arizona | 25c | 322.28$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 49 | 28.6%14 W · 35 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Arizona | 44c | 318.5$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.14 | 384 | 50.5%194 W · 190 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd724…b805backed Arizona | 19c | 316.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.98 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +5.9wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed BYU | 10c | 312.89$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf6…513abacked Arizona | 45c | 300$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.5 | 143 | 55.2%79 W · 64 L | +12.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed BYU | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.71 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed BYU | 65c | 273.45$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.71 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +75%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…c0c6backed Arizona | 65c | 267.35$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2b…5752backed Arizona | 69c | 259.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.76 | 66 | 30.3%20 W · 46 L | -5.8wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda4f…e43bbacked BYU | 42c | 258.14$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.72 | 52 | 69.2%36 W · 16 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85fb…7c3abacked BYU | 77c | 258.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.08 | 10 | 90%9 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.17per pick | 73cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Arizona | 46c | 239.13$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed BYU | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.77 | 86 | 27.9%24 W · 62 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Arizona | 44c | 230$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab9f…570cbacked BYU | 48c | 229.57$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Arizona | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…fb15backed Arizona | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a90…8218backed BYU | 48c | 203.82$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.47 | 61 | 62.3%38 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014d…144cbacked Arizona | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc2c…355fbacked Arizona | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked BYU | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae3…bc70backed BYU | 50c | 200$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fec…c965backed Arizona | 43c | 187.76$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.74 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -39%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x114a…8aa2backed Arizona | 44c | 181.82$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- BYU vs. Arizonathis page
- BYU vs. Arizona: O/U 47.5Over won
- BYU vs. Arizona: O/U 48.5Over won
- Spread: BYU (-1.5)BYU won
- Spread: BYU (-2.5)BYU won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.