TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf36f…fb15

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
227
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Tennis, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Tennis at 62 out of 100; worst NHL at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST8650%43 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 86 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Rams (-3.5)backed Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST-100%-$105
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$120
49ers vs. Seahawks: O/U 45.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$127
Spread: Broncos (-1.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Bills vs. Broncos: O/U 46.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST+117.4%+$81
Spread: Eagles (-6.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Texans (-11.5)backed Texans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$80
Titans vs. Jaguars: O/U 45.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+88.7%+$101.98
Spread: Bears (-3.5)backed Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Seahawks vs. 49ers: O/U 47.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Giants vs. Raiders: O/U 41.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+104.1%+$102
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$92
Spread: Patriots (-13.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Spread: 49ers (-5.5)backed 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+100%+$100
49ers vs. Colts: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$104.55
Spread: Vikings (-2.5)backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Chiefs vs. Titans: O/U 37.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)backed Buccaneers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST-100%-$120
Spread: Bengals (-4.5)backed Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: Cowboys (-5.5)backed Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Panthers vs. Saints: O/U 40.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$200
Packers vs. Broncos: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+96.1%+$99.92
Spread: Bears (-7.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Cardinals vs. Texans: O/U 42.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Eagles vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 9, 2025, EST+122.2%+$122.22
Showing 25 of 86 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST3737.8%14 W · 23 L-4.7wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-26%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
College Football — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Missouri vs. Arkansasbacked Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$70
Clemson vs. South Carolinabacked South Carolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$123
Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)backed Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+108.3%+$108.33
San Diego State vs. New Mexicobacked San Diego State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 28, 2025, EST-100%-$120.36
O/U 38.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$105
O/U 51.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+100%+$99.98
Spread: Duke (-3.5)backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Spread: Southern Miss (-3.5)backed Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$89.3
Spread: Michigan (-10.5)backed Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Notre Dame vs. Pittsburgh: O/U 54.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: West Virginia (-6.5)backed West Virginia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Jacksonville State vs. UTEPbacked UTEP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Texas Tech Red Raiders (-11.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+85.2%+$100.52
Spread: SMU Mustangs (-10.5)backed Boston College · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Southern Miss (-4.5)backed Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+78.6%+$99.88
Spread: USC (-14.5)backed USC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
O/U 42.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$112.89
Spread: Tennessee (-2.5)backed Tennessee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$104.55
South Carolina vs. Ole Miss: O/U 55.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.57
Spread: Arkansas (-4.5)backed Arkansas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.55
Spread: Georgia (-7.5)backed Florida Gators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+87.7%+$99.08
Spread: Liberty (-3.5)backed Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+104.1%+$104.55
Army vs. Air Forcebacked Air Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Memphis (-13.5)backed Memphis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$100.8
Spread: Syracuse (-2.5)backed Syracuse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST3135.5%11 W · 20 L-5.6wins-0.18per pick53cpaid-34.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
NHL — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blackhawks vs. Kings: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Kraken vs. Blackhawksbacked Blackhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$109
Islanders vs. Red Wingsbacked Red Wings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$123
Capitals vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$127.12
Oilers vs. Capitalsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+85.2%+$100.52
Blues vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$127.68
Flyers vs. Bluesbacked Blues · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$128
Stars vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Flyers vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$125
Senators vs. Bruins: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$127
Senators vs. Bruins: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$75
Blues vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$133
Jets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+81.8%+$99.82
Hurricanes vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Canucks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$108
Stars vs. Panthersbacked Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$99.79
Red Wings vs. Ducksbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$100.21
Stars vs. Lightningbacked Stars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$108.16
Flames vs. Senators: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$99.82
Predators vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$100.76
Maple Leafs vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$97.96
Jets vs. Wildbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Blue Jackets vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$109
Golden Knights vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$100.57
Flames vs. Jetsbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$100.57
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Dec 5, 2025, EST2564%16 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+23.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$102
Spread: Jazz (-4.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+92.3%+$100.8
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Spread: Suns (-4.5)backed Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST-100%-$105
Spread: Mavericks (-3.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$110
Hawks vs. Spursbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$97
Spread: Magic (-5.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+88.7%+$100.21
Hornets vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+112.8%+$101.49
Spread: Timberwolves (-11.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Spread: Hawks (-1.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST+92.3%+$100.62
Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)backed Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+96.1%+$100.45
Spread: Bucks (-2.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Bucks (-4.5)backed Bucks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Spread: Raptors (-2.5)backed Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+96.1%+$99.92
Spread: Celtics (-10.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Grizzlies vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Bulls (-4.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$101.98
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$98.18
Spread: Suns (-1.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$99
Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT+84.5%+$101.4
Spread: Mavericks (-9.5)backed Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$108
Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)backed Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$104.04
Bucks vs. Raptors: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$117Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+71.5%+$83.49
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Oct 19, 2025, EDT1478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.2wins+0.30per pick48cpaid+69.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Tennis — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: David Goffin vs Marin Cilicbacked Cilic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+69.5%+$98.4
European Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Jiri Leheckabacked Perricard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Ugo Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$319.2
Swiss Indoors Basel, Qualification: Alexander Shevchenko vs Quentin Halysbacked Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$15.05
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+164.8%+$161.8
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Holger Rune vs Tomas Etcheverrybacked Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$74
European Open: Jiri Lehecka vs Benjamin Bonzibacked Lehecka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Ugo Humbert vs Lorenzo Sonegobacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$33.14
European Open: Botic van de Zandschulp vs Eliot Spizzirribacked Spizzirri · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Ugo Humbert vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Tomas Etcheverry vs Miomir Kecmanovicbacked Kecmanovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
European Open: Marcos Giron vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokinabacked Fokina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+130.4%+$208.7
European Open: Raphael Collignon vs Francisco Comesanabacked Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$16.87
European Open: Zizou Bergs vs Raphael Collignonbacked Bergs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$145
All 14 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Nov 29, 2025, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SMU Mustangs vs. Mississippi State Bulldogsbacked Mississippi State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Baylor Bears vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+88.7%+$23.5
Oregon Ducks vs. San Diego State Aztecsbacked Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$127.68
Spread: Baylor Bears (-3.5)backed Baylor Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+100%+$100
Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Hawaii Rainbow Warriorsbacked Hawaii Rainbow Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 21, 2025, EST-100%-$140
Spread: South Dakota Coyotes (-3.5)backed South Dakota Coyotes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+88.7%+$100
Spread: Eastern Michigan Eagles (-4.5)backed Eastern Michigan Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$118
Spread: West Virginia Mountaineers (-6.5)backed Pittsburgh Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$105
San Jose State Spartans vs. Michigan State Spartans: O/U 141.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$107
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST60%0 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 29, 2025, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Nov 25, 2025, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+166.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Oct 10, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lisboa vs. Crodenbacked Lisboa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
Oliveira vs. Gamrotbacked Gamrot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$110.24
Diniz vs. Pintobacked Diniz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$113
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2025-10-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT+100%+$100
Fenerbahçe SK vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$118.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+125.9%+$122.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+108.3%+$54.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 12, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.