TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NFL · resolved market

Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Panthersof Buccaneers, Panthers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,391
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$239,345

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,391 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NFL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x16b2…a881backed Panthers46c135,874$62,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72,965.1286547.9%414 W · 451 L-6.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcc9…26fbbacked Buccaneers53c62,093$32,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,909.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Buccaneers55c33,708$18,374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,374.1319152.9%101 W · 90 L+0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Buccaneers55c32,609$17,930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,930.4147348.4%229 W · 244 L+1.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Buccaneers54c32,367$17,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,478.086451.6%33 W · 31 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Buccaneers54c30,527$16,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,484.116860.7%102 W · 66 L+18.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4335…fc2fbacked Buccaneers53c30,000$15,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,90011168.5%76 W · 35 L+18.5wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+34.3%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x11e2…26ccbacked Panthers47c20,000$9,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,6009442.6%40 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x445e…9be0backed Panthers46c17,900$8,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,666.126650.8%135 W · 131 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Panthers45c14,136$6,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,774.825956.8%147 W · 112 L+14.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Panthers47c11,252$5,278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,973.521,19649.9%597 W · 599 L+1.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Panthers45c6,099$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,354.2575852.5%398 W · 360 L+21.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Panthers45c4,454$2,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,449.756852.3%297 W · 271 L+26.3wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1375…a070backed Buccaneers54c3,785$2,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,043.79560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb97…a686backed Panthers46c3,715$1,709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,006.12450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee14…8055backed Panthers45c3,000$1,350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6506250%31 W · 31 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Panthers46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08013959%82 W · 57 L+12.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2128…4c6dbacked Panthers47c1,620$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$861.691770.6%12 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.27per pick43cpaid+66.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Buccaneers54c1,087$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5875754.4%31 W · 26 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Buccaneers59c1,057$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.1660049.3%296 W · 304 L+21.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Buccaneers53c1,037$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.611,06551.3%546 W · 519 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x63a9…9a69backed Panthers44c909.07$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$509.081637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe370…a2c1backed Panthers46c880$405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Panthers46c828$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.1228447.5%135 W · 149 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Buccaneers54c826.52$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4507361.6%45 W · 28 L+7.8wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+27.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Panthers53c765.6$403 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.3964747.3%306 W · 341 L+42.5wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+56.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Panthers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2658650%43 W · 43 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2c2…4de7backed Panthers47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26522446.4%104 W · 120 L+11.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+9.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x09d2…cc27backed Panthers39c500$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3035044%22 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Panthers46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27016360.1%98 W · 65 L+16.9wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+22.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Panthers46c500$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27010142.6%43 W · 58 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Panthers38c499.99$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.9910537.1%39 W · 66 L+4.3wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a18…1a42backed Buccaneers50c498.84$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Panthers51c493.41$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.6150242.4%213 W · 289 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Panthers46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21612356.9%70 W · 53 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa97e…7753backed Panthers46c400$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21610461.5%64 W · 40 L+12.5wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+25.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbd94…0b01backed Buccaneers53c400$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21216139.1%63 W · 98 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa82b…5220backed Panthers47c400$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21213935.3%49 W · 90 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-12.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed Buccaneers65c384$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.619651.5%101 W · 95 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefda…1108backed Buccaneers54c380$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Buccaneers54c370$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.814949%73 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Panthers35c363$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.952744.4%12 W · 15 L+2.4wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-4.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3846…c908backed Panthers47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.54647.8%22 W · 24 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3b8…aa05backed Buccaneers54c340$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Panthers46c320$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.810752.3%56 W · 51 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Panthers46c303.93$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.1277052.7%406 W · 364 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Panthers46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16210958.7%64 W · 45 L+9.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Panthers46c300$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16215556.8%88 W · 67 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+19.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x544e…2d9fbacked Buccaneers54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1622560%15 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d3a…35eabacked Buccaneers54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf36f…fb15backed Buccaneers54c222.22$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1208650%43 W · 43 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b80…657fbacked Buccaneers53c213$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.8915746.5%73 W · 84 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036a…4c9abacked Panthers47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.775648.2%27 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x31ce…88cdbacked Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10813357.1%76 W · 57 L+9.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10815453.9%83 W · 71 L+10.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeb01…2783backed Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10812459.7%74 W · 50 L+12.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x96f4…8081backed Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10811658.6%68 W · 48 L+10.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa204…e66fbacked Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810964.2%70 W · 39 L+15.4wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+30.1%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x8bdf…8adabacked Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810464.4%67 W · 37 L+15.3wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+31.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10812458.1%72 W · 52 L+10.6wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+16.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9adf…3f2fbacked Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810361.2%63 W · 40 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf99a…5487backed Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810565.7%69 W · 36 L+16.6wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+33.8%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089162.6%57 W · 34 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.9%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe9ea…810abacked Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089164.8%59 W · 32 L+12.5wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+28.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10811463.2%72 W · 42 L+14.5wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+26.6%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810161.4%62 W · 39 L+11.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+24.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810761.7%66 W · 41 L+12.0wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+21.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10811265.2%73 W · 39 L+16.1wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+29.8%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x6b82…2d2abacked Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810864.8%70 W · 38 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+29.4%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810757.9%62 W · 45 L+8.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4edd…b1a1backed Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1089862.2%61 W · 37 L+11.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+26.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed Panthers46c200$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10810861.1%66 W · 42 L+11.4wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+23.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed Buccaneers53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10610454.8%57 W · 47 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Panthers46c195.83$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.759659.4%57 W · 39 L+8.5wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+21.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2203…e5a1backed Buccaneers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0495…c68fbacked Buccaneers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013845.7%63 W · 75 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfd…ca1bbacked Buccaneers54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005149%25 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Panthers47c170$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.8368446.1%315 W · 369 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Panthers45c160.04$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0217656.3%99 W · 77 L+16.3wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5689…78b7backed Buccaneers54c160$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c78…1af0backed Buccaneers55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752770.4%19 W · 8 L+5.6wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+53.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1e0c…fe6dbacked Buccaneers54c129$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ae4…1df2backed Buccaneers54c120$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653250%16 W · 16 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Panthers45c114.94$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.153253%282 W · 250 L+19.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ae7…cf61backed Panthers48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4451…c6afbacked Panthers47c100$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$534032.5%13 W · 27 L-4.9wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-29.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb0cb…85babacked Panthers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Panthers46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549651%49 W · 47 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb82d…5d1ebacked Panthers46c96$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.841533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Panthers45c91.4$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.8234652.9%183 W · 163 L+16.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf9d…3ea9backed Buccaneers66c91.36$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6026660.9%162 W · 104 L+13.0wins+0.05per pick56cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Buccaneers56c91$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9635648%171 W · 185 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x07d8…3667backed Buccaneers55c89.82$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.4757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Panthers46c86$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.4436341.9%152 W · 211 L-13.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe44b…6e0abacked Buccaneers54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4016940.8%69 W · 100 L-7.9wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Panthers31c60$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.732043.8%140 W · 180 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb03…d693backed Buccaneers56c55.8$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.251844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x30cf…7a72backed Buccaneers54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Panthers45c51.71$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.446752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8b44…ccfabacked Buccaneers54c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2711454.4%62 W · 52 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.