NFL · resolved market
Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 45.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x29334c05dafc31cf1f200d4c567055bc353ac18d9a0f532a3de57f28bf7fe50a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $47,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,295
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $47,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Under | 51c | 10,003$5,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.37 | 544 | 51.7%281 W · 263 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 10,000$5,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,900 | 513 | 52.2%268 W · 245 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 7,766$3,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,846.56 | 865 | 47.9%414 W · 451 L | -6.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 831 | 47.8%397 W · 434 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 50c | 7,350$3,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,675 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 7,279$3,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,565.96 | 1,196 | 49.9%597 W · 599 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Under | 52c | 5,225$2,708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,517.25 | 191 | 52.9%101 W · 90 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Over | 49c | 4,498$2,204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,204.06 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Over | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef5…325ebacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Over | 49c | 1,778$871 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.38 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 49c | 1,249$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.01 | 1,065 | 51.3%546 W · 519 L | +25.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Over | 49c | 1,114$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.86 | 532 | 53%282 W · 250 L | +19.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 52c | 994.87$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.41 | 502 | 42.4%213 W · 289 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 918.93$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.66 | 736 | 51.2%377 W · 359 L | +25.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Over | 50c | 868$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.9 | 473 | 48.4%229 W · 244 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Over | 46c | 693.86$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.65 | 650 | 48.3%314 W · 336 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62d1…c018backed Over | 50c | 675.5$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.75 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Under | 52c | 491.35$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.76 | 136 | 41.2%56 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 50c | 415$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.5 | 568 | 52.3%297 W · 271 L | +26.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 48c | 258$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.84 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Over | 50c | 250$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 243 | 52.7%128 W · 115 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c9b…a556backed Under | 53c | 236.32$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.32 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202d…f8dabacked Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fa…5365backed Under | 51c | 200$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.31per pick | 51cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Under | 51c | 145.16$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.13 | 141 | 54.6%77 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 46c | 142.79$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.52 | 758 | 52.5%398 W · 360 L | +21.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 38c | 130.3$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.91 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +17.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 54c | 122.03$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 356 | 48%171 W · 185 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9249…4f16backed Under | 52c | 115.42$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.4 | 176 | 47.7%84 W · 92 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 170 | 47.1%80 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0cb…85babacked Over | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 47c | 84.12$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 81 | 46.9%38 W · 43 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e0…a3a6backed Under | 52c | 78$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.44 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58bc…eac2backed Under | 52c | 75$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Under | 47c | 70$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 320 | 43.8%140 W · 180 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5681…b253backed Over | 50c | 66$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa548…1fd5backed Over | 50c | 62$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Over | 60c | 60$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.13 | 323 | 47.4%153 W · 170 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c2d…2570backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd354…71e3backed Over | 50c | 57.9$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 36c | 55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 488 | 47.5%232 W · 256 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 72c | 53$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.96 | 647 | 47.3%306 W · 341 L | +42.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc684…2228backed Over | 51c | 52.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.68 | 281 | 51.6%145 W · 136 L | +20.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Under | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 297 | 51.5%153 W · 144 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6919…d27bbacked Under | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 294 | 39.5%116 W · 178 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6365…df4ebacked Under | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.02 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 46.04$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.1 | 163 | 49.7%81 W · 82 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.07 | 684 | 46.1%315 W · 369 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3888…0755backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09d2…cc27backed Under | 36c | 32.46$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.86 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x09db…7384backed Over | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Over | 47c | 27.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.83 | 600 | 49.3%296 W · 304 L | +21.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc07…e9f2backed Over | 48c | 21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -59%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…4437backed Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked Under | 71c | 18.13$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.33 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 45.5this page
- Buccaneers vs. PanthersPanthers won
- Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 44.5Under won
- Buccaneers vs. Panthers: O/U 46.5Under won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-1.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-2.5)Panthers won
- Spread: Buccaneers (-3.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.