TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf48d…fe48

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
369
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 64 out of 100 (+0.13 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 64 out of 100; worst MLB at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST14949%73 W · 76 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NFL — the 149 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seahawks (-5.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+117.4%+$189
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$96
Spread: Seahawks (-4.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$245Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$245
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$50.16
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+92.3%+$184.8
Spread: Patriots (-3.5)backed Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+112.8%+$113.95
Spread: Seahawks (-7.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+122.2%+$110
Bills vs. Broncosbacked Bills · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$146Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$146.05
Chargers vs. Patriotsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$52.5
Spread: Patriots (-4.5)backed Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$150.79
49ers vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$284.99
Packers vs. Bearsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$172.8
Spread: Packers (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$168.3
Spread: Bears (-1.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$32.09
Ravens vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+215.3%+$239
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)backed Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+104.1%+$153
Spread: Seahawks (-1.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$151Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$128.8
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+88.7%+$44.65
Spread: Rams (-7.5)backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+88.7%+$110.45
Rams vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+310%+$77.88
Spread: Jaguars (-6.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+81.8%+$139.5
Jaguars vs. Coltsbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$30.6
Steelers vs. Brownsbacked Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+177.8%+$115.2
Spread: Steelers (-4.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+96.1%+$9.8
Spread: Steelers (-3.5)backed Browns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+88.7%+$111.67
Showing 25 of 149 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT12649.2%62 W · 64 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+7.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 126 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+88.5%+$174.5
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.98
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.58
Spread: Michigan Wolverines (-7.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$174.86
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.43
Spread: Arizona Wildcats (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.5
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$100.8
Spread: Iowa State Cyclones (-4.5)backed Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.27
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Iowa State Cyclonesbacked Tennessee Volunteers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$80.6
Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-1.5)backed Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.2
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Michigan State Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.6
Spread: Duke Blue Devils (-6.5)backed Duke Blue Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.9
Spread: Nebraska Cornhuskers (-1.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+100%+$123.91
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-7.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.83
Spread: Purdue Boilermakers (-6.5)backed Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.45
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs. Alabama Crimson Tidebacked Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.66
Spread: Alabama Crimson Tide (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.79
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked UCLA Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Tennessee Volunteers vs. Virginia Cavaliersbacked Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.48
Spread: Florida Gators (-10.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$99.44
Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-1.5)backed Virginia Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.31
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$205.89
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+101.2%+$35.9
Spread: UMBC Retrievers (-1.5)backed Howard Bison · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+90.7%+$80.13
Showing 25 of 126 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST4454.5%24 W · 20 L+3.4wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+25.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 44 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$18.75
Oregon vs. Indianabacked Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$40.69
Spread: Indiana (-4.5)backed Oregon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$113.4
Miami vs. Ole Missbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+63.9%+$97.5
Arizona vs. SMU Mustangsbacked SMU Mustangs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+194.1%+$39.6
Spread: Georgia (-6.5)backed Ole Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+124.3%+$131.33
Spread: Indiana (-6.5)backed Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+81.8%+$90
Spread: Oregon (-1.5)backed Texas Tech Red Raiders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$60.5
Miami vs. Ohio Statebacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+284.6%+$59.2
Spread: Ohio State (-9.5)backed Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+85.2%+$69
Iowa vs. Vanderbiltbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+156.4%+$54.9
California vs. Hawaiibacked Hawaii · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST+92.3%+$93.6
Spread: Ole Miss (-17.5)backed Tulane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$50.35
Miami vs. Texas A&Mbacked Miami · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST+127.3%+$50.4
Army vs. Navybacked Navy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+138.1%+$116
Spread: Virginia (-3.5)backed Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+100%+$90
Duke vs. Virginiabacked Duke · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+163.2%+$65.1
Spread: Georgia (-2.5)backed Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$90.1
Georgia vs. Alabamabacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Spread: Illinois (-7.5)backed Northwestern · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+92.3%+$120
Spread: Tennessee (-3.5)backed Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+75.4%+$79.55
Oklahoma vs. Tennesseebacked Oklahoma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+132.6%+$65.55
Spread: Ohio State (-18.5)backed Penn State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Spread: Texas A&M (-2.5)backed LSU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$61.2
Showing 25 of 44 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT3560%21 W · 14 L+7.6wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+39.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
NBA — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$109.2
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.1
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$132.54
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.65
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$67.62
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$93.6
Spread: Celtics (-7.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.05
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.25
Spread: Rockets (-5.5)backed Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.53
Spread: Celtics (-13.5)backed 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$159
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$56
Spread: Cavaliers (-7.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$98.7
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$98.69
Lakers vs. Warriorsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$51.91
Will the Indiana Pacers win the 2025 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$469Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$468.62
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2025, EDT+191.5%+$650.4
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT+125.9%+$139.31
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+191.3%+$295.5
NBA Playoffs: Pacers vs. Knicks (To Advance)backed Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT+143.9%+$143.96
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$13
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$75
Knicks vs. Pacersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$59.4
Thunder vs. Timberwolvesbacked T-Wolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+132.6%+$132.81
Pacers vs. Knicksbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$34.65
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Oct 6, 2025, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-55.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$99
Dodgers vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Rockies vs. Rangersbacked Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.88
Pirates vs. Metsbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$74
Reds vs. Astrosbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2025, EDT+122.2%+$82.49
All 5 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Golf — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+109.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+112.8%+$106
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$264Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+89.4%+$236
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$61.37
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Oilers vs. Panthersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.