TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Golf · resolved market

Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 Open Championship?

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Golfevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,479
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$48,595

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,479 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Golf is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Golf
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd2d5…df2fbacked Yes4c16,527$600 inLost-$60050%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd8b…d89dbacked Yes3c5,282$174 inLost-$174.3220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57cd…82acbacked Yes2c2,000$47 inLost-$4740%0 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40c4…adbebacked Yes3c2,000$58 inLost-$581910.5%2 W · 17 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick7cpaid-53.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Yes3c1,000$33 inLost-$33140%0 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3798…c24bbacked Yes3c1,000$33 inLost-$33911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8039…6b4bbacked Yes3c606.21$20 inLost-$20128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-87.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b01…a1b7backed Yes3c606.06$20 inLost-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1bf8…ba0dbacked Yes3c571.43$20 inLost-$20714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick7cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes3c569.14$17 inLost-$17.072953.7%11 W · 284 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick6cpaid-73.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe630…1faebacked Yes4c567.86$20 inLost-$20933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-49.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf48d…fe48backed Yes3c444$15 inLost-$15.140%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5387…c91ebacked Yes3c393.3$13 inLost-$12.591227.4%9 W · 113 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-42%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471f…fd87backed Yes3c333$10 inLost-$10.3240%0 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xa518…41e3backed No71c101$72 inWon+$29.29887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.26per pick62cpaid+38.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Yes29c101$29 inLost-$29.29812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick38cpaid-75.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Golf and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.