TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe65f…a749

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Us Politics, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Us Politics at 55 out of 100; worst F1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT3638.9%14 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$630
Will Aryna Sabalenka win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+316.7%+$760
US Open: Felix Auger Aliassime vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$209
US Open: Amanda Anisimova vs Iga Swiatekbacked Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$367Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$366.5
US Open: Emma Navarro vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Navarro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$398.7
US Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Jan Lennard Struffbacked Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$573Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$572.94
US Open: Elena Rybakina vs Emma Raducanubacked Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$101.5
US Open: Cameron Norrie vs Francisco Comesanabacked Norrie · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$470Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+38%+$178.4
US Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jerome Kymbacked Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,095.68
US Open: Novak Djokovic vs Zachary Svajdabacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$120
US Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Jacob Fearnleybacked Fearnley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$58
US Open: Stefanos Tsitsipas vs Alexandre Mullerbacked Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,132Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 26, 2025, EDT+54.7%+$618.5
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:2 against Carlos Alcaraz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$850Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$849.73
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:2 against Jannik Sinner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$588Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$588.33
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:1 against Carlos Alcaraz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$267Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT+366.2%+$977.16
Will Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$3,096Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,096.29
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:1 against Jannik Sinner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$328Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$328.1
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:0 against Jannik Sinner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$354Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$354.37
Will Amanda Anisimova win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$152.5
Wimbledon Final – Anisimova vs. Swiatekbacked Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$142
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:1 against Novak Djokovic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$85
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:0 against Novak Djokovic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$304Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+88%+$267.6
Will Novak Djokovic win Wimbledon 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Will Jannik Sinner win 3:2 against Novak Djokovic?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$91.2
Will Carlos Alcaraz win 3:1 against Taylor Fritz?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+190.5%+$229.5
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST2924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$416Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$416
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+179.8%+$818.55
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+127.3%+$127.27
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$209
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$919Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$919
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT-100%-$309.64
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.49
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Dutch Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$665Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$665
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,100
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,372Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,372
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$615Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$614.7
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$890Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$890.32
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$3,647Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT+157.6%+$5,747.98
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$260
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$66.44
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT+233.9%+$700.54
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Belgian Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.58
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT+325.2%+$269.96
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$321Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$321
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$594Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$594.41
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$52
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+361.2%+$144.48
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick35cpaid-19%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Mexico in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$195.88
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with India in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.28
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Canada in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$384.96
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with China in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$157.82
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with France in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Argentina in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+43.8%+$267.27
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Brazil in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20.97
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with Germany in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.82
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with South Korea in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+65.7%+$158.65
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2025, EDT+97.9%+$247.31
US-EU trade agreement by July 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT+41.2%+$234.75
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Trump say "Israel" or "Iran" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+45.9%+$32.12
Will Trump say "Big Beautiful Bill" during his 4th of July remarks?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
All 15 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2025, EDT140%0 W · 14 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$110
Will Scottie Scheffler win The 2025 Open Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$402Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$402.12
Will Xander Schauffele win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Bryson DeChambeau win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$88.21
Will Sam Burns win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Justin Thomas win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$23
Will Ludvig Aberg win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.08
Will Russell Henley win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Jordan Spieth win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Tommy Fleetwood win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$40
Will Tony Finau win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.99
Will Viktor Hovland win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
Will Patrick Cantlay win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Will Collin Morikawa win The 2025 Open Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2025, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,368Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+26.8%+$366.46
Will Powell say "Tariff" 15+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+212.5%+$170
Will Powell say "Obvious" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$39
Will Powell say "Recession" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$54
Will Powell say "Step/Stepping Down" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Powell say "Inflation" 50+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$224
Will Powell say "Employment / Unemployment" 20+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$73.6
No change in Fed interest rates after July 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$95.85
Will Powell say "Pandemic" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$229Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$228.5
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$24
Will Powell say "Trump" during July Press Conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT+550.9%+$186.2
Will Powell say "Good afternoon" during July Press Conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.75
All 12 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+31%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Sep 10, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Sep 13, 2025, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-32.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin above $105,000 on July 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$26
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.