TailMyPicks
Market

F1 · resolved market

Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,660
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,255

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,660 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2375…e90dbacked Yes35c2,000$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+25%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fa9…2491backed No64c1,625$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.252240.9%9 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-30.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked No73c1,612$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433.5621337.6%80 W · 133 L+0.6wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No67c1,437$965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$471.76866.2%45 W · 23 L+10.7wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+26.2%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x155c…1b09backed Yes30c1,101$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.622020%4 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe07…d839backed Yes31c1,006$311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.826835.3%24 W · 44 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-24.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a45…cf97backed Yes30c784.31$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.795420.4%11 W · 43 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c43…fb9bbacked No69c671.9$465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3911250%56 W · 56 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Yes31c660.05$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205.394027.5%11 W · 29 L+2.1wins+0.05per pick22cpaid+125.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x76dc…17b4backed No64c594.25$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.9312646.8%59 W · 67 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No65c578$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.5712353.7%66 W · 57 L+3.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbad2…994dbacked Yes56c529.36$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.291225%3 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-42.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06dc…af59backed Yes26c500$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1301844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a8…5df3backed Yes24c485.25$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.461723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick37cpaid-42.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf626…8a12backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-71%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee94…2ad7backed Yes59c312.25$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x827b…01cebacked Yes46c302.88$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.77733.8%26 W · 51 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33c9…858bbacked Yes39c259.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003432.4%11 W · 23 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+35.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe937…f91bbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0410…6556backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe65f…a749backed Yes29c181.67$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$522924.1%7 W · 22 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-25.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc774…b6e8backed Yes20c149.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305922%13 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed Yes34c146.1$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c0…0305backed Yes35c135.32$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.8280%0 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab3e…6939backed Yes24c125$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301216.7%2 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick18cpaid+24.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes34c101$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.453766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x08ec…b5fcbacked No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.651560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7420…4567backed Yes26c96.92$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa03…c6c4backed No69c93.45$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes24c85.92$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.623321.2%7 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick14cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes31c79.69$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.6612325.2%31 W · 92 L-0.1wins0.00per pick25cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No66c59.89$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.417944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x54a0…4134backed Yes35c56.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201816.7%3 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick15cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfae5…f940backed No70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153565.7%23 W · 12 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+12.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1737…381ebacked Yes28c50$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141030%3 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick47cpaid-54.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8292…0d5bbacked Yes30c49.9$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1ca4…81c3backed Yes32c46.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151450%7 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+20.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Yes60c46.87$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.128939.3%35 W · 54 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5825…4ffbbacked No54c39.18$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.836966.7%46 W · 23 L+8.9wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+20.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc8ac…2461backed Yes32c34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.8840%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x60a3…f5e8backed Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101435.7%5 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3bac…5d2bbacked Yes32c31.25$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1040%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa009…ab48backed No78c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.62536%9 W · 16 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-43.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x51f7…ae1fbacked No64c29.75$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.7111266.1%74 W · 38 L+8.3wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+8.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1ca7…ed82backed No76c21.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.161369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5543…4195backed No72c20.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.972653.8%14 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+45.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.