F1 · resolved market
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8bb190b9c6cfb8f1cb75dc13d66f2c893efbf9c20580813741e98f368faff4c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,603
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,603 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 60c | 12,889$7,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,128.02 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe5d6…f957backed Yes | 0c | 12,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb747…b050backed Yes | 41c | 8,632$3,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,501.89 | 57 | 33.3%19 W · 38 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 70c | 2,252$1,565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.21 | 68 | 66.2%45 W · 23 L | +10.7wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…2491backed No | 59c | 1,909$1,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$789.74 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 29c | 1,500$439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$439.01 | 125 | 23.2%29 W · 96 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd4…ce48backed Yes | 34c | 1,471$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec01…6592backed Yes | 2c | 1,149$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.59 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x727b…d1a2backed Yes | 46c | 1,100$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.23 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…d327backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe07…d839backed Yes | 40c | 910.57$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.12 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c43…fb9bbacked No | 63c | 750.44$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.27 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x155c…1b09backed Yes | 32c | 635.88$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.95 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa01b…bc1dbacked Yes | 37c | 628.49$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 11c | 627.07$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.32 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe65f…a749backed Yes | 37c | 592.08$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 34c | 571.89$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.81 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +125.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbc…a89cbacked No | 64c | 527.78$338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…af59backed Yes | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.95 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f71…a368backed Yes | 37c | 463.16$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 34c | 441.8$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c7…2216backed Yes | 47c | 411.4$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.33 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeec7…08c6backed Yes | 39c | 400$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e25…96d6backed Yes | 38c | 350$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 63c | 333$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.21 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 54c | 328.06$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.01 | 123 | 53.7%66 W · 57 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c8…44fbbacked No | 64c | 326.37$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.49 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd175…bb3abacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0410…6556backed Yes | 32c | 275.31$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x59a2…1f0bbacked Yes | 40c | 250.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 34c | 224.23$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 123 | 25.2%31 W · 92 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…994dbacked Yes | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ed82backed No | 62c | 197.68$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.49 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a45…cf97backed Yes | 33c | 196$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.79 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cad…9372backed No | 67c | 162.57$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.82 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b32…5950backed No | 64c | 123.62$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.5 | 143 | 56.6%81 W · 62 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 65c | 120.62$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.69 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ec…b5fcbacked No | 66c | 104.5$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…0149backed Yes | 39c | 102.78$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x08f4…7700backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab6b…0b3abacked Yes | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 79c | 99.99$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffd2…d7aebacked Yes | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5339…9da3backed Yes | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7732…fa11backed Yes | 42c | 78.53$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.67 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 62c | 63.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.09 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d74…be87backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 63c | 58.24$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked No | 57c | 55.72$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.06 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd123…addfbacked Yes | 40c | 50.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa009…ab48backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed No | 65c | 49.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb60a…91febacked Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked No | 63c | 37.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.98 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbcf…6d9fbacked No | 63c | 31.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.62 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed No | 65c | 30.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.67 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…dd83backed Yes | 40c | 30.2$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked No | 66c | 27.24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7207…b2b8backed Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Esteban Ocon win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Fernando Alonso win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Franco Colapinto win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Isack Hadjar win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Lance Stroll win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Liam Lawson win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?Yes won
- Will Nico Hulkenberg win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Oliver Bearman win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Pierre Gasly win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
- Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.