TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9c65…845d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
210
Categories scored
33
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Premier League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 58 out of 100; worst UFC at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Spain vs. Argentina end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+36.1%+$5.94
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$24.93
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.16
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+42.3%+$6
Will Julián Álvarez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.8
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$6.02
Will Spain vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.89
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.9
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.11
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.9
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$5.88
Lamine Yamal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$10.01
Will Portugal vs. Spain end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.9
Vinícius Júnior: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$11.43
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$5.9
Will Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$11.79
Will Lautaro Martínez score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Kai Havertz score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.2
Will Spain win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Will Portugal win the UEFA Nations League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$136Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+194.1%+$263.42
Will Germany vs. France end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$75.93
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Golden State Warriors make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Will the Philadelphia 76ers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+90.5%+$19
Will Victor Wembanyama lead the NBA in blocks during the 2025–26 NBA season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$7.8
Will the Milwaukee Bucks make the NBA Playoffs?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.8
Will the Indiana Pacers make the NBA Playoffs?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Cavaliers vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 118.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+85.2%+$13.8
Spread: Lakers (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Knicks vs. Mavericksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+36.4%+$8
Hawks vs. Suns: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 17, 2025, EST-100%-$10.9
Spread: Kings (-2.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$13.25
Heat vs. Nuggetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 6, 2025, EST-100%-$28.75
Thunder vs. Pacersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2025, EDT+203%+$59.67
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.99
Pacers vs. Thunderbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT+354.5%+$196.77
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.6
Will Victor Wembanyama win 2024-25 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.5
All 16 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Dec 14, 2025, EST1526.7%4 W · 11 L-4.3wins-0.28per pick55cpaid-59.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
UFC — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Royval (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kape · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+38.9%+$36.89
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+61.3%+$7.6
Garcia vs. Onamabacked Onama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.55
Klein vs. Rebeckibacked Rebecki · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$12.6
Wood vs. Delgadobacked Delgado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.4
Frevola vs. Nelsonbacked Frevola · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.4
Vanderford vs. Brahimajbacked Vanderford · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.52
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirierbacked Poirier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$33.84
UFC 318: Vettori vs. Allen backed Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
UFC 318: Prado vs. Veretennikovbacked Prado · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.07
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeirabacked Teixeira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$153.34
UFC Fight Night: Tafa vs. Tokkosbacked Tafa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.2
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Njokuanibacked Njokuani · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.2
UFC Fight Night: Ramirez vs. Davisbacked Davis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$7
Pena vs. Harrisonbacked Pena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.05
All 15 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Arthur Fery vs James Duckworthbacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.75
Will no player win a Calendar Grand Slam in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
ASB Classic: Fabian Marozsan vs Gael Monfilsbacked Marozsan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST+66.7%+$8
Brisbane International: Nick Kyrgios vs Aleksandar Kovacevicbacked Kovacevic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.2
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$56.74
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Ben Shelton vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$13.51
Rolex Paris Masters: Flavio Cobolli vs Tomas Machacbacked Machac · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.1
Erste Bank Open: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alexander Zverevbacked Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
Will Coco Gauff win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.3
ATP Cincinnati - Zverev vs. Alcaraz backed Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$16.36
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 French Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT+50.9%+$9.26
French Open: Musetti vs. Alcarazbacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$54.64
French Open: Boisson vs. Gauff backed Boisson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.44
All 13 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid+24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
F1 — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$13.68
Will there be a safety car during the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10.6
Will Oscar Piastri get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Max Verstappen get pole position at the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 29, 2025, EST+35.1%+$4.64
Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.02
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Mexican Grand Prix pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.29
F1 Singapore GP: Hamilton vs. Leclercbacked Leclerc · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+100%+$17
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$16
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$14.4
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Italian Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$8.88
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+733.3%+$81.6
Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 British Grand Prix Pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT+76%+$24.06
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Spanish GP pole?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT+25%+$6
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions Leaguelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-2.7wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-50.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.36
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.32
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+122.2%+$94.53
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-11-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 26, 2025, EST-100%-$135.75
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-11-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST-100%-$147.11
Will Barcelona vs. Paris Saint Germain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.25
Will Chelsea beat Fluminense in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$59.35
Will Chelsea beat Palmeiras in regulation time?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$100.49
Will Manchester City beat Juventus?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.75
Will PSG beat Atlético Madrid?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+100%+$98.99
Will Inter Miami CF beat Al Ahly?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$249.71
Will Paris Saint-Germain win the UEFA Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 22, 2026, EST1145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick55cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Avatar: Fire and Ash be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+25%+$4.8
Will "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$13.2
Will "Minnesota" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+46.3%+$9.5
Will "Mention" be said at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$14.6
Will The Pitt win Best Television Series – Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST-100%-$11.8
Will Rhea Seehorn (Pluribus) win Best Actress – Television Drama at the 83rd Golden Globes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 12, 2026, EST+169.3%+$27.45
Will Wicked: For Good be the top grossing movie of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$27.08
Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$18.8
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 90m?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST-100%-$16.53
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" score at least 75 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 22, 2025, EST+66.5%+$19.62
"Nobody 2" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 70–79%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT+300%+$30
All 11 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve remove Mirage from the Map Pool?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$4
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by end of January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+49.6%+$13.62
Will Valve to add first CS2 operation by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+35.1%+$3.9
Vitality Dominates HLTV Awards Parlay backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+70%+$25.6
Will Vitality win the IEM Cologne 2025 tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.8
IEM Cologne: The MongolZ vs. Natus Vincerebacked The MongolZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$84.19
Will Vitality win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournamentbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2025, EDT+94.2%+$9.7
BLAST.tv Austin Major stage 2: FaZe vs. MIBRbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2025, EDT+56.2%+$7.2
Will Falcons win the BLAST.tv Austin Major tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Netanyahu visit NYC by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$4.2
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+96.1%+$10.32
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$15.6
Israel strike on the West Bank by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$10.95
Will Donald Trump say "hostage" 4+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+53.5%+$8.15
Will Donald Trump say "phase two" or "second phase" during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$11.7
Will Donald Trump say "ISIS" during Israel President events on December 29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$10.68
Will Donald Trump say "Gaza" or "Israel" 12+ times during Israel President events on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST+27.3%+$9.81
Will Trump say "Cambodia" during Rwanda and Congo events on December 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+75.4%+$8.6
All 9 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+84%+$62.29
Will Rachida Dati win the Paris mayor election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.36
Will João Cotrim Figueiredo win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35%+$8.28
Nicolas Sarkozy released from custody by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+65.1%+$17.75
Will Bruno Retailleau be the next Prime Minister of France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.72
Bayrou out as French PM by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$19.33
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+63.5%+$15.25
Will George Simion win the Romanian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT+160.7%+$20.46
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-48.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Mamdani say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+26.8%+$22.66
Will Mamdani say "Trump" or "The President" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$11.66
Will Mamdani say "Billionaire" during the next NYC Mayor's Office announcement?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+43.4%+$20.68
Will the Iranian regime fall in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.68
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Mamdani" 3+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$17.48
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Cuomo" 2+ times during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$21.41
Will Zohran Mamdani say "Trump" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+44.9%+$4.65
Will Andrew Cuomo say "Socialism" or "Socialist" during his victory/concession speech?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$14.6
All 8 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+37.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 15, 2026, EST757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump and Machado share the Nobel Peace Prize?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST-100%-$12.07
Will Trump say "Gallon" or "Barrel" during oil executive meetings on Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST+41.2%+$7.3
Will Donald Trump say "CIA" or "FBI" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$11.25
Will Donald Trump say "cocaine" at least five times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Donald Trump say "Minnesota" during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+37%+$5.4
Will Donald Trump say "dictator" at least three times during his Mar-a-Lago press conference on Venezuela on Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+79.5%+$8.1
Will Trump say "Transgender" this week? (December 22 - 28)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 29, 2025, EST-100%-$13.44
All 7 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick70cpaid-52.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jan 8, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+222.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+69.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+121.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another dildo thrown at WNBA game by Friday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2025, EDT+70.4%+$13.35
Fever vs Skybacked Sky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$120.18
Aces vs Valkyriesbacked Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$247.86
Mystics vs Feverbacked Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$65.59
All 4 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2025, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+38%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Golf — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+18.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+103.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+57.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1.8B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$5
Hyperliquid all time high before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$11.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Jun 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Darryn Peterson be the first pick in the 2026 NBA draft?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.17
Oakland Golden Grizzlies vs. Lamar Cardinalsbacked Oakland Golden Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+73.3%+$17.7
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano vs. Valencia end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$14.2
Will Real Madrid win on 2025-10-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$92.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: FUT Esports vs Gentle Mates (BO3)backed Gentle Mates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+100%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2025-11-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST+88.7%+$39.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Los Ratones vs Karmine Corp (BO1)backed Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pelosi vs. S&P - Januarybacked Pelosi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+28.2%+$4.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during December press conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+25.5%+$8.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LA Galaxy beat St. Louis SC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$165.82
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.