F1 · resolved market
Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa91292fec2a01bd433c6e93c6ccf64da1f519bc42204aca330add55181df6cfe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $38,675
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,886
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $38,675 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a05…5c62backed Yes | 14c | 14,843$2,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,765.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +180.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 23c | 6,904$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.34 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 8c | 2,606$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.41 | 132 | 19.7%26 W · 106 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d285backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,124.95 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 72c | 1,909$1,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,374.63 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 23c | 916$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.14 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36f9…cec7backed Yes | 30c | 553.33$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.55 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd9…bd75backed No | 71c | 457.34$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c53…c9b0backed Yes | 19c | 310.33$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.82 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 9c | 278$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.98 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked Yes | 22c | 229.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.39 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e9…7cd4backed No | 78c | 219.68$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.04 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x825f…0997backed Yes | 34c | 176.47$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.47 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 77c | 144.62$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 83 | 38.6%32 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 38c | 130$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.1 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked No | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f43…4914backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 24cpaid | +77.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 19c | 105.18$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.37 | 376 | 6.9%26 W · 350 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed Yes | 10c | 104$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.6 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d79…7181backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +35%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Yes | 27c | 91.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.69 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f4…c23fbacked Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb472…9436backed Yes | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.91 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…a73bbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.96 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 63c | 80.86$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf98a…99b1backed Yes | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.65 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b0d…1744backed Yes | 23c | 73$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.44 | 84 | 27.4%23 W · 61 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +91.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76dc…17b4backed Yes | 67c | 72.73$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.77 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…54a8backed Yes | 21c | 71.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +137.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…4230backed Yes | 29c | 69.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…0d5bbacked Yes | 22c | 66.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.82 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa8…026dbacked Yes | 34c | 61.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4698…54ddbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.66per pick | 34cpaid | +194.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x995c…8770backed Yes | 37c | 58.54$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.71 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24f…804cbacked Yes | 31c | 55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…6faebacked Yes | 39c | 50.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.65 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed Yes | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddcc…05d9backed Yes | 25c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf2…fbd0backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e37…03d2backed Yes | 28c | 46$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.12 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 37cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1eca…3a06backed Yes | 25c | 44.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 78c | 43.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67dc…9543backed Yes | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfae5…f940backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…832fbacked No | 75c | 29.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.2wins | -0.22per pick | 48cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked No | 75c | 28.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.05 | 112 | 66.1%74 W · 38 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe239…14eabacked No | 71c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c65…845dbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked No | 75c | 19.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +8.9wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7740…cbcdbacked No | 63c | 16$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.