F1 · resolved market
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5b18bf44a9c5ea37f8f649251ed97e68259841b2b08743e0f848de7b5b58578
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- F1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,853
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,090
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,853 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in F1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 76c | 8,588$6,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,040.17 | 213 | 37.6%80 W · 133 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…6b6abacked Yes | 24c | 6,076$1,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.19 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8834…d285backed Yes | 22c | 2,784$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$609.91 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 24cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5159…d7aebacked No | 79c | 872.38$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.2 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf30…6194backed Yes | 21c | 761.9$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…4db9backed No | 74c | 507.82$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.14 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 18c | 446.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.43 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8d…f78abacked Yes | 23c | 434.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Yes | 24c | 405$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.97 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -51.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf7…65d9backed No | 73c | 313.33$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.22 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33c9…858bbacked Yes | 33c | 305.79$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b16…a4fcbacked No | 76c | 278.29$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.22 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.17per pick | 39cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 73c | 274.76$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.17 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 6c | 253.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 72 | 33.3%24 W · 48 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c79…15dbbacked Yes | 23c | 232$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b7a…4817backed No | 71c | 221.99$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed No | 75c | 221.99$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 122 | 46.7%57 W · 65 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d17…b1fdbacked No | 79c | 170.99$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.76 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 77cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 20c | 148.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3baa…13b6backed Yes | 21c | 139.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa3d…c19fbacked No | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +116.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec76…f9f1backed No | 73c | 129$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.6 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 71cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a1…d31fbacked Yes | 20c | 106.53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad3…915abacked Yes | 29c | 104.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7272…7135backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 41cpaid | +55.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…dd83backed Yes | 25c | 86.92$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 77c | 79.76$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…a73bbacked Yes | 26c | 77.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38e…397bbacked Yes | 27c | 74.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09a2…eb8abacked Yes | 29c | 69.76$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -66.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x22b0…6faebacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d84…2a04backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c8…e4f7backed No | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddcc…05d9backed Yes | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3147…7667backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -6.9wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1848…e3dcbacked Yes | 31c | 52.39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 77c | 33.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.75 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?this page
- Will Andrea Kimi Antonelli win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Carlos Sainz win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will George Russell win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Lando Norris win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
- Will Max Verstappen win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?Yes won
- Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Azerbaijan Grand Prix pole?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.