TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbdd1…0c4f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
890
Categories scored
34
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Us Midterms, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Us Midterms at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT9237%34 W · 58 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 92 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Starmer officially leave office by July 17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$145.69
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+89.4%+$450.34
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.81
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+89.6%+$1,062.99
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$217Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+43%+$93.2
Will a province schedule a referendum to leave Canada before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.81
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.48
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$419Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$418.66
U.S. anti-cartel ground operation in Mexico by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$361Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$361.36
Will Rob Jetten become the next Prime Minister of the Netherlands?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+136.4%+$17.31
Will Yoon be sentenced to prison in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$552.75
Another Canada election called in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.5
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+82.2%+$36.1
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Salvador Nasralla win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$297.67
Will Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 24, 2025, EST-100%-$40.15
Will Kast win by 20% to 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$33.6
Will Kast win by 10% to 15%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$18
Will Kast win by 15% to 20%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST+316.7%+$91.2
Will Kast win by at least 25%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 15, 2025, EST-100%-$14.4
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$348Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+85%+$295.8
Will Jeannette Jara win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST-100%-$50.18
Will UP hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2025 Argentina election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$517Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+58.6%+$302.83
Showing 25 of 92 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST9136.3%33 W · 58 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 91 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the 2026 Bad Bunny Super Bowl halftime show video get between 50M and 75M views in its first 7 days?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$22.38
Will Cardi B perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+455.6%+$82
Kenneth Walker III: Rushing Yards O/U 80.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will J Balvin perform during the Super Bowl LX halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$69.35
Will Sam Darnold win the Super Bowl LX MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$91
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$36.85
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the NFC West?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+51.5%+$102.45
Will the team that wins the 2025-26 Super Bowl play in the AFC East?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.4%+$178.28
Will the Seattle Seahawks win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+46.6%+$60.42
Will Seattle beat New England in Super Bowl LX?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+49.3%+$39.58
Seahawks vs. Patriots: O/U 46.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+83.3%+$30.98
Seahawks vs. Patriotsbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$323Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+30.9%+$99.78
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$72.48
Seahawks vs. Patriots: 1H O/U 22.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+96.1%+$88.31
Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,861Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+57.5%+$1,070.48
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+194.2%+$234.99
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$80.36
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+79.1%+$360.66
Spread: Seahawks (-3.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$277Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+128.9%+$356.79
Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)backed Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST+77.4%+$337.78
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$41.14
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,109Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+36%+$399.3
Rams vs. Bearsbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,169Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+39%+$455.54
Texans vs. Patriotsbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,074Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+30.8%+$330.83
Will the San Francisco 49ers win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$85.35
Showing 25 of 91 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT8929.2%26 W · 63 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-31.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 89 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Golden State Warriors in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$430Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.47
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$2,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,007.4
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$684.51
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+30.6%+$20.61
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$1,010Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+592.9%+$5,989.81
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$223Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+55.9%+$124.6
Will Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+69.3%+$249.76
Will Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals 4-2 be the exact series outcome?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.56
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+210.1%+$135.5
Spread: Spurs (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+195.1%+$118.99
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$375Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$374.69
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.97
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$230
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.39
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.86
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.02
Will the Philadelphia 76ers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.67
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.7
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.78
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.48
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.29
Showing 25 of 89 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT7233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 72 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.1
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Will Lewis Hamilton get pole position at the 2026 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.6
Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+59.2%+$22.3
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.88
Will Lewis Hamilton achieve pole position in Sprint Qualifying at the 2026 F1 British Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+123.7%+$64.08
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Austrian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Max Verstappen achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.68
Will Kimi Antonelli achieve the fastest lap at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+50.5%+$27.84
Will Max Verstappen finish on the podium at the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$279Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+44.4%+$123.79
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.03
Will George Russell win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.58
Will Max Verstappen leave Red Bull before 2026? backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,188Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+39.7%+$1,266.77
Will Oscar Piastri be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$4,074Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$4,073.85
Will Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$5,116Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$5,115.84
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$17,371Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+69.2%+$12,025.14
Will Max Verstappen finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+1,437.2%+$678.68
Will Red Bull Racing finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$108.49
Will Max Verstappen finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$16.8
Will Oscar Piastri finish third in the 2025 F1 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+311.9%+$42.43
Will Mercedes finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,607Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST+91.1%+$1,464.42
Will Lando Norris finish second in the 2025 Drivers Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$82.09
Will Ferrari finish second in the 2025 Constructors' Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$872Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$871.62
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Qatar Grand Prix?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$396Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST+54.9%+$217.34
Showing 25 of 72 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT7041.4%29 W · 41 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 70 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$467Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+27.2%+$127.27
New York Yankees vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,085Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$546.69
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$798Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$361.02
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Yankeesbacked New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$139
Will Aaron Judge win the 2025 AL MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+45.4%+$47.58
Will AL East win the 2025 MLB World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$19
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,206Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$1,205.63
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,271Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST+186.1%+$2,364.09
Dodgers vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Blue Jays vs. Dodgersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+59.8%+$104.75
Will the Toronto Blue Jays win the 2025 American League Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.39
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$315.22
Will the Seattle Mariners be eliminated in the League Championship Series?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$113.46
Will the Seattle Mariners win the 2025 American League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$323.11
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.41
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 World Series?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.02
Will the Los Angeles Dodgers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$148.9
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2025 National League Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$35.65
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT+33.7%+$30.9
Blue Jays vs. Marinersbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+130.2%+$168.43
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+31.8%+$106.26
Cubs vs. Brewersbacked Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 12, 2025, EDT+33.3%+$25
Mariners vs. Tigers Series Winnerbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+254%+$43.05
Tigers vs. Marinersbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 11, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$46
Phillies vs. Dodgers Series Winnerbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT+63.5%+$23.3
Showing 25 of 70 picks, newest first.
UFClast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT6657.6%38 W · 28 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 66 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Kennedy Nzechukwu vs. Shamil Gaziev (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Shamil Gaziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$164Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$139.47
UFC 330: Islam Makhachev vs. Ian Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Islam Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$78.5
UFC 330: Mackenzie Dern vs. Gillian Robertson (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Gillian Robertson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Bruno Lopes vs. Diyar Nurgozhay (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Diyar Nurgozhay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$66
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Max Holloway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
UFC Freedom 250: Ciryl Gane vs. Alex Pereira (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Alex Pereira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$76
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Pimblett · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$1,018Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,017.74
Will Sean O'Malley win by KO or TKO?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$20
UFC 324: Yadong vs. O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed O'Malley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$569Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+76.7%+$436.15
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+53.8%+$15
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 7, 2025, EST-100%-$176.99
UFC 322: Makhachev vs. Della Maddalena (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Makhachev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+36%+$79.15
UFC 322: Shevchenko vs. Weili (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Shevchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+76.5%+$116.42
UFC 322: Edwards vs. Prates (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Edwards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$68
UFC 322: Dariush vs. Saint Denis (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Saint Denis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+47%+$9.86
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$190.17
Dvalishvili vs. Sandhagenbacked Dvalishvili · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+25.5%+$56.07
Procházka vs. Rountree Jr.backed Procházka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$11.09
Magomedov vs. Pyferbacked Magomedov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.5
UFC Fight Night: Ulberg vs. Reyesbacked Ulberg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$345Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+47.1%+$162.52
UFC Fight Night: Crute vs. Erslanbacked Crute · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+46.6%+$41.3
UFC Fight Night: Jenkins vs. Taverasbacked Jenkins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$134Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+34.2%+$45.9
UFC Fight Night: Matthews vs. Magnybacked Matthews · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$201Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$200.5
UFC Fight Night: Stirling vs. Bellatobacked Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+36.8%+$114.3
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaevbacked Du Plessis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.26
Showing 25 of 66 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5740.4%23 W · 34 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+27.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.18
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+613.8%+$859.9
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$381Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$380.67
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.22
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$19.49
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.57
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.22
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$80.25
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.32
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.78
Will Norway vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$172Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$151.61
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+25.4%+$40.5
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$118
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$297Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+129%+$383.12
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$385Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$384.5
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+37%+$27
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+147.8%+$232.6
Will Paraguay win on 2026-07-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$71
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$330.16
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,114Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,114.21
Belgium vs. Senegal: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$2,467Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,466.55
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST5527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US government shutdown Saturday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$6,036Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+56.7%+$3,419.77
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$88Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+174.4%+$153.6
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+93.1%+$241
Will no government funding bill be passed by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$232Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+33.9%+$78.49
Epstein blackmail evidence released by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,418Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+34.5%+$1,522.47
US forces in Venezuela by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$74.95
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Argentina"?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$121
Will Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+26.6%+$41.57
Congress passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+122.7%+$18.33
Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$18.04
Will Curtis Sliwa drop out?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$7,021Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 4, 2025, EST+27.1%+$1,903.42
Will John Fetterman vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.6
Will Angus King vote "Yea" on the next funding bill?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.1
Trump pause or remove 100k H-1B policy by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$287.52
Will the federal government be shut down for 30 or more days in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$1,045Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,045.3
Will the federal government be shut down for 10–29 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$239Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$239.42
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$464.86
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$131.3
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$43.16
Will Hamas release all Israeli hostages by October 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,626Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+41.1%+$667.56
Will the federal government be shut down for 4–9 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$404.73
Will the federal government be shut down for 1–3 days in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$138.41
Will the federal government not be shut down in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$18
Will Eric Adams drop out by September 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$173.97
Will Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+31.2%+$90.66
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT5028%14 W · 36 L-6.7wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-49.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
Middle East — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20,085Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$20,084.93
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11,429Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,429.28
US x Iran ceasefire by April 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.99
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.45
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.8
Will the US conduct a cyberattack on Iran by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.32
Military action against Iran continues through March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$349Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+43.3%+$151
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$293.25
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,689Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$1,725.43
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,677Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$1,733.25
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.71
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,981Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$3,980.79
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$504Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$503.78
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$234Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$234.1
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$107.75
US strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$459Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$459
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$249.98
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$244
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,647Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$1,646.85
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$9,775Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$9,775.28
Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$386Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+32.4%+$125
Will Trump establish a Gaza “Board of Peace” by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 15, 2026, EST+49%+$34.55
Will Israeli troops enter Suwayda in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14.9
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT3619.4%7 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 36 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+115.2%+$629.52
Will the 2026 Men's NCAA basketball National Champion come from the Big Ten conference?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+145.8%+$115.27
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$264.79
Will Illinois win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.35
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-1.5)backed Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$2,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,161.81
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$44
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Purdue Boilermakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$1,626Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,625.68
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Iowa Hawkeyesbacked Illinois Fighting Illini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$688Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$357.06
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-7.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.98
Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-6.5)backed Iowa Hawkeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.3
Will Florida win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$534Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$533.95
Will Florida win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$140.34
Will Houston win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$143.41
Florida vs. Houstonbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$122.7
Will Duke win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+49.5%+$415.48
Houston vs. Dukebacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT+2,572.5%+$307.05
Will Auburn win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$289.69
Florida vs. Auburn combine for 161+ points?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2025, EDT+87.3%+$349.5
Will Alabama win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.22
Alabama vs. Dukebacked Alabama · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$101.5
Will Texas Tech win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$30.76
Will Purdue win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will Kentucky win the 2025 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$10.92
Showing 25 of 36 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT3548.6%17 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick39cpaid+7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 35 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Francesca Hong win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,669.84
Will David Crowley win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$1,473Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,473.21
Will Haley Stevens win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,051Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050.59
Will Abdul El-Sayed win Wayne County in the Michigan Senate Democratic primary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$1,348Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,347.91
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$58.1
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$80
Will voter turnout in the next New York City mayoral election be 36% or higher?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$186Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+43.3%+$80.35
Will Andrew Cuomo get between 30% and 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$34.3
Will Andrew Cuomo get more than 35% of the vote in 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+97.2%+$54.7
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 50% and 55% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$839Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+41%+$343.88
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 45% and 50% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$225.05
Will Zohran Mamdani get between 55% and 60% of the vote in the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$55
Zohran Mamdani Parlaybacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST-100%-$76.96
Will Andrew Cuomo win Staten Island?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 2, 2025, EST+156.4%+$122
Will Katie Wilson win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$5,104Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$5,104.08
Will Bruce Harrell win the 2025 Seattle mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$4,356Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$4,356.43
Democratic sweep?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$504Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST+25.2%+$127.27
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$278Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$278.1
Will reconciliation bill be passed by July 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2025, EDT+170.3%+$63
Bernie Sanders votes to confirm RFK Jr?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2025, EST-100%-$23.6
Will John Fetterman vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST-100%-$42.2
Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$477Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+54.7%+$260.97
RFK Jr. confirmed as Health & Human Services Secretary?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,058Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+25.8%+$273.32
Will Lisa Murkowski vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2025, EST+49.3%+$128.16
Will 52 Senators vote to confirm Tulsi Gabbard as as Director of National Intelligence?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2025, EST+803%+$499.89
Showing 25 of 35 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.47
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$3,149Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$807.17
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$263.72
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+40.8%+$5.8
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$495Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+157.1%+$777.7
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$37.14
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.95
Will no one dissent October Fed decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
No change in Fed interest rates after October 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$36.2
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.52
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$70.6
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$639Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+27.2%+$173.98
Will three people dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+59.7%+$23.81
Will two people dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$126Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT+70.6%+$88.75
Will one person dissent the September Fed decision?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$82.25
Will Trump try to fire Powell by August 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$637Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$636.83
No change in Fed interest rates after June 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after May 2025 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,255Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2025, EDT+27.3%+$888.09
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2025, EST-100%-$34.12
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$248Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$247.97
Will Fed cut interest rates 3 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$57.77
Will Fed cut interest rates 4 times in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST-100%-$136.51
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2024 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$437Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+31.5%+$137.63
Will Fed cut interest rates 5 times in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2024, EST+57.5%+$212.27
Will Fed cut interest rates 2 times in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2024, EST-100%-$62.46
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT2626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-54.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.7%+$37.5
Will Apple acquire Perplexity in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$10.34
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST-100%-$40.65
Will Google Gemini be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,904Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST-100%-$1,903.9
Will ChatGPT be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on December 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$820Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 5, 2025, EST+87.3%+$716.09
Will Sydney Sweeney be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Actors?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$104
Will Donald Trump rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 4, 2025, EST-100%-$45
Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.8
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$24.12
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$23.48
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$13.48
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 30, 2025, EST-100%-$39.06
OpenAI becomes a for-profit in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$337Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$337.1
OpenAI browser in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$380Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+34.8%+$132.25
OpenAI browser by October 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,151Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+36.9%+$424.47
Will Microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on September 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+111.9%+$26.4
OpenAI social app in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 30, 2025, EDT+73.2%+$16.48
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service in 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$194.85
Apple Siri partnership with OpenAI/Anthropic before September?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$23.96
Will Tesla launch a driverless Robotaxi service before August?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$1,872Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,872.02
Will GPT-5 be released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.65
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$25.48
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$90.52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$56.22
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2025, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick19cpaid-64.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$34.09
Will Mohamed Salah be the top goalscorer in the EPL?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.9
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT+39.6%+$31.2
Will Newcastle United finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$189Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$188.83
Will Nottingham Forest finish in the top 4 of EPL?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$49.9
Will Newcastle finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$25.49
Will Newcastle win on 2025-05-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will Nottingham Forest finish in 2nd place for the 2024-25 EPL season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.96
Newcastle United wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2025, EDT-100%-$17.8
Manchester City wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$21.6
Nottingham Forest wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Aston Villa wins the Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$38.98
Will Nottingham Forest win on 2025-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2025, EST-100%-$17.4
Argentina wins Copa America 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2024, EDT+72.1%+$18.82
Will Spain win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT+194.1%+$66
Will England win the 2024 Euros?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2024, EDT-100%-$51.61
Spain vs. France - Who will advance?backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2024, EDT-100%-$10.04
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1650%8 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$599.75
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$12.21
Will Bitcoin reach $94,000 December 29-January 4?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$138.5
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16,003Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16,003.41
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$128.34
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,527Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+43.9%+$670.35
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$303Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$303.36
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$893Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+55.8%+$498.37
Will Bitcoin reach $125k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$31.7
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+32.3%+$40.93
Will Bitcoin reach $110k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$62
Bitcoin all time high before 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$11.1
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$7
Will Bitcoin reach $105k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2025, EDT+42.4%+$65.5
Will Bitcoin reach $100k in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2025, EDT+38.6%+$171.88
Bitcoin all time high by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$64.49
All 16 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.1wins0.00per pick9cpaid-81.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sinners win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.87
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+126.7%+$53.86
Will 'Joker 2' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$45.96
Will 'Deadpool 3' gross most in 2024?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$605.32
Will 'Inside Out 2' gross most in 2024?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2025, EST-100%-$159.73
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $48-54m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$330Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$330.06
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross less than $48m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$162.74
Will 'Joker: Folie à Deux' gross between $54-60m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2024, EDT-100%-$16.4
Deadpool & Wolverine' over $200m opening weekend?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2024, EDT-100%-$18.85
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross more than $300m by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$125.86
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $250m-300m by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2024, EDT-100%-$118.09
Will 'Dune: Part Two' gross between $90m-100m opening weekend?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2024, EST-100%-$12
All 12 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-46.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Miami Florida win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+34.6%+$36.01
Will Indiana win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+37.5%+$44.34
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the ACC?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$179Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+32.4%+$58.05
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the Big 10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$516Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+30.5%+$157.6
Will Oregon win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$21.7
Will the 2025-26 College Football Champion come from the SEC?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 9, 2026, EST-100%-$43
Will Georgia win the 2026 College Football National Championship?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$382Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$382.24
Ole Miss vs. Georgiabacked Georgia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,181Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,181.34
Will Nebraska beat Illinois by 8 or more points?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$50.74
Will there be 43 or more combined points scored?backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2024, EDT-100%-$17.85
All 10 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-52.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Trump release a new Russia x Ukraine peace plan by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.4
Trump x Putin Meeting in Hungary by Dec 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+50.9%+$13.5
Trump meets Xi, Putin, and Kim by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.65
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025? backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$23
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$42
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$9,045Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+43.9%+$3,972.2
Will Trump meet with Putin in Saudi Arabia before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$11.5
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10,259Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2025, EDT+35.8%+$3,670.66
All 9 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick28cpaid-83.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$507Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$506.52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$5,324Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,323.66
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,595Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$1,356.45
Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?backed Bitcoin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$52.47
Will Gold close between $3800 and $3900 at the end of 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11.19
Will Gold hit $3,600 before June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$106.14
All 9 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-53.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Sep 14, 2025, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+24%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Boxing — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 3, 2026, EST742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Sep 18, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick17cpaid-78.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Sep 19, 2025, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-55.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Music Inactivelast resolved Feb 2, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+211.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+149.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Space — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+34.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump x Xi talk before July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$253Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2025, EDT+36.2%+$91.75
TikTok removed from App Store by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$433Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2025, EST+32.3%+$139.8
All 2 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 14, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Earnings — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.67per pick33cpaid+199.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympic Basketball: USA vs. Serbiabacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2024, EDT+199.3%+$50.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bitcoin outperforms S&P 500 in December?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+96.9%+$24.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025 Chess.com Classic tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$22.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain win on 2026-08-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$129
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will India win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$31.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa win the UEFA Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$13.24
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.