TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

F1 · resolved market

Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Belgian Grand Prix?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
F1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,463
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$146,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,463 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 127 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in F1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in F1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes15c15,244$2,324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,324.386235.5%22 W · 40 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes11c13,778$1,457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,457.057944.3%35 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x814d…b842backed Yes17c5,322$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900.949333.3%31 W · 62 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes16c3,870$617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$617.274332.6%14 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdc…fe61backed Yes19c2,689$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes8c2,434$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.895317%9 W · 44 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc8d8…e72dbacked Yes7c2,376$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.075619.6%11 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-21.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xee67…67a6backed Yes2c2,096$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.45591.7%1 W · 58 L-0.3wins0.00per pick2cpaid-59.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd29d…b038backed Yes11c1,956$219 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.4210020%20 W · 80 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Yes18c1,900$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$349.67739%30 W · 47 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37a1…6691backed Yes2c1,631$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes18c1,591$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.891926.3%5 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick33cpaid-48.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc9da…5f42backed Yes19c1,560$293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$293.42742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6d…8f37backed Yes1c1,507$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.72250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.23per pick27cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf1e2…1f9abacked Yes5c1,460$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.624720.6%51 W · 196 L-0.5wins0.00per pick21cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Yes18c1,429$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.11714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-71.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes4c1,373$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.722842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2b9…51dcbacked Yes16c1,291$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.22728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ce9…0cf5backed Yes9c1,274$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.1611836.4%43 W · 75 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+14.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32c9…a2ebbacked Yes19c1,250$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1096…0332backed Yes2c1,119$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.78666.7%4 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.36per pick31cpaid+159.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Yes18c1,089$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.892334.8%8 W · 15 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-22.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Yes18c1,080$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.632227.3%6 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Yes8c1,079$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.964136.6%15 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61ca…a1b4backed Yes19c1,075$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick22cpaid-52.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Yes13c1,012$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.937643.4%33 W · 43 L-5.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1824…fda1backed Yes7c999.96$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70348.8%3 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick7cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x332a…c9a2backed Yes17c928.67$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.747715.6%12 W · 65 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-45.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2480…a04bbacked Yes2c898.97$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+17.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2163…1f5ebacked Yes13c791.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-35.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f56…348abacked Yes10c787.95$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.41361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes15c765$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.969935.4%35 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-24.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x20d4…c753backed Yes2c752.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Yes12c685$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.7910837%40 W · 68 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Yes15c676$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.162920.7%6 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick17cpaid+50.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x40c6…2941backed Yes4c630.87$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.711020%2 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick15cpaid-34%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x828b…fe53backed Yes18c549.45$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick11cpaid+18.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x237d…5feebacked Yes6c540.94$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0fa…f8c9backed Yes18c540.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc209…3357backed Yes9c526$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.27333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-41.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb263…6275backed Yes18c519.41$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9910%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b33…9b98backed Yes20c500.1$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+51.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8a…2953backed Yes19c500$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.53023.3%7 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d18…c3d6backed Yes11c486.31$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.5570%0 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Yes4c461.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.2514429.9%43 W · 101 L+14.2wins+0.10per pick20cpaid+69.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xac60…4c8fbacked Yes14c461.59$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.281050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68cc…78e0backed Yes10c450.76$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.13922.2%2 W · 7 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick9cpaid+249%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe700…3614backed Yes21c449.47$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.44333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick26cpaid-38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x25e3…9f8cbacked Yes10c448.09$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476819.1%13 W · 55 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick12cpaid+20.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Yes13c443.33$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.146829.4%20 W · 48 L+0.3wins0.00per pick29cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Yes14c418.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-48.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc82e…de2abacked Yes4c415.25$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.65333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick8cpaid+112.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x819f…f3e7backed Yes18c409.58$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.225635.7%20 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick37cpaid+4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb11…9845backed Yes4c402.17$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8830%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc768…d748backed Yes17c400$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.26250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc02b…80f3backed Yes16c400$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6440%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Yes16c393$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.27812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-61.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes13c384.62$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Yes22c365.6$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.97100%0 W · 10 L-1.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8105…955abacked Yes18c362.29$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.851625%4 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Yes7c359.49$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.52812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick14cpaid+181.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1abe…f19fbacked Yes18c358.32$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.57250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-23.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0af…bfd0backed Yes5c352.48$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5130%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Yes18c338.82$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61.89425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-67.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x949c…ab2cbacked Yes18c337.08$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603129%9 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-43.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes15c312.28$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.6610128.7%29 W · 72 L-0.4wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b82…9ed2backed Yes9c304.64$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1840%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes8c304$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.943766.9%26 W · 350 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick8cpaid-67.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x43cc…4426backed Yes7c296.45$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes11c295.94$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.551936.8%7 W · 12 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick40cpaid+30.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed Yes11c294.76$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.478127.2%22 W · 59 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick35cpaid-32.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes19c275.34$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.415418.5%10 W · 44 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f88…ca51backed Yes10c275$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278027.5%22 W · 58 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-12%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d6b…aaa3backed Yes10c260$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13e4…8b89backed Yes10c250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick23cpaid-83.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5968…6f99backed Yes20c211.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes10c204.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.887233.3%24 W · 48 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3aa1…473cbacked Yes10c202.54$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf20…1881backed Yes6c201.52$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5540%2 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xde7d…499ebacked Yes18c200$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.2911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick35cpaid-74.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a1d…10d8backed Yes17c199.63$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3d…bbcabacked Yes14c184.74$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Yes16c180$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa313…eb44backed Yes15c178$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.991643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick42cpaid-18.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked Yes12c172.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick25cpaid-38.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe379…d124backed Yes6c170$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5130%0 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe891…4b25backed Yes18c167.97$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.37944.4%4 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick21cpaid+154.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb135…b9febacked Yes13c167.88$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4120…f424backed Yes13c163.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.0910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x624b…56f8backed Yes9c160.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.83825%2 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+240.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e82…a06cbacked Yes19c157.27$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-59.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dc5…5e53backed Yes16c154.1$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251833.3%6 W · 12 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+73.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb116…c4e1backed Yes19c143.59$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d49…5ecebacked Yes11c142$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.19248.3%2 W · 22 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick14cpaid-80.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x02b5…8136backed Yes15c136.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2070%0 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e6…6400backed Yes18c131.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+90.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7719backed Yes10c116.95$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.11752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7668…bc8fbacked Yes18c111.73$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf545…1c68backed Yes18c110.4$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x171f…7dd0backed Yes18c109.29$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201811.1%2 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick18cpaid-68.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in F1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.