TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9d6b…aaa3

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
157
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: La Liga, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 53 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
South American Leagueslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT5234.6%18 W · 34 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 52 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Santos FC win on 2026-08-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+91.9%+$11.6
Will Cruzeiro EC vs. CR Flamengo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.33
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$34.52
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+102%+$25.25
Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Will EC Bahia win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.85
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.2
Will Mirassol FC win on 2026-07-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$19.64
Will CS Cristal vs. Red Bull Bragantino end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$14.48
Independiente Medellín vs. CR Vasco da Gama: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-07-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Botafogo FR vs. Santos FC: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.3%+$56.09
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+87.9%+$13.19
Will CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$62.93
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+125%+$32.5
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will CS Cienciano win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.76
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.7
Will Red Bull Bragantino win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+190.8%+$57.25
Showing 25 of 52 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT3441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 34 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
France vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+180.8%+$35.84
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
France vs. Spain: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Norway vs. England: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.33
Spain vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$21.59
Mikel Oyarzabal: 1+ goalsbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$16
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+63.3%+$9.49
Will France vs. Morocco end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+67.4%+$16.84
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
United States vs. Belgium: Draw at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$20.41
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+103.4%+$20.69
Spain vs. Austria: Spain O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$13.33
Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advancebacked Senegal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will England win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+126.8%+$19.01
Showing 25 of 34 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+18.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+299%+$52.31
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+218.1%+$70.13
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+285.5%+$59.25
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+297%+$59.85
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$18.98
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Knicksbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.48
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+185.2%+$36.46
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.99
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.42
Spread: Thunder (-16.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.58
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.26
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Nuggets vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.81
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$10.84
All 21 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-44.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.73
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.13
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.4
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.72
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.16
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.54
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+180.6%+$38.21
All 12 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-61.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
F1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.3
Kings vs. Krakenbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$9.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Roma win on 2026-05-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs MOUZ (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$5.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Chess Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Chess — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Magnus Carlsen win Norway Chess 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+45.5%+$12.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rio Ave FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.