TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$182,419
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$184,872

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $182,419 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 165 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6ade…f5b0backed Over51c79,518$40,823 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,694.271,55652.8%822 W · 734 L+40.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Under49c48,806$23,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,914.9832653.1%173 W · 153 L+19.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under48c21,555$10,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,297.229,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over53c18,464$9,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,748.7884443%363 W · 481 L-40.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over52c16,711$8,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,103.161,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Under48c15,000$7,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,199.9366250.8%336 W · 326 L+15.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbedb…3b26backed Over51c9,356$4,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,584.4916346.6%76 W · 87 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under45c7,209$3,226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,226.493,66841.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L-70.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over52c7,081$3,676 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,405.4990650.2%455 W · 451 L-0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under47c6,094$2,864 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,864.141,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c4,943$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.74,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Under49c4,452$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,175.121350.7%108 W · 105 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc37…2f65backed Under49c4,352$2,133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,132.6841649.8%207 W · 209 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6bd…3096backed Under49c4,161$2,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,039.097852.6%41 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Under49c4,075$1,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,996.9638946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…e8c1backed Under49c3,356$1,644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,644.499447.9%45 W · 49 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47a6…69e0backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,469.9938750.4%195 W · 192 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a66…ae5ebacked Under49c2,968$1,454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,454.114251.4%73 W · 69 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under48c2,733$1,312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.832,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Under45c2,590$1,171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,171.322,94951.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L+119.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under35c2,016$706 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705.9568838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x57f9…bcd9backed Over70c1,974$1,374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.914841.7%20 W · 28 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Under48c1,875$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9002,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under48c1,600$770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$770.061,90148.7%925 W · 976 L+6.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Under49c1,529$754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753.764,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under46c1,500$696 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$695.891,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb43e…78bfbacked Under50c1,419$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.67742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd100…853dbacked Over53c1,339$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$630.3132351.1%165 W · 158 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78bb…591fbacked Under48c1,293$621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$620.6430446.7%142 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c87…bb1abacked Over55c1,226$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$549.762759.3%16 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over56c1,121$624 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.082,63036.7%966 W · 1,664 L-119.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over51c1,032$527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.9963746.6%297 W · 340 L-16.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over51c993.23$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$486.4525155%138 W · 113 L+9.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Under49c971.34$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.9670246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb307…be4abacked Under49c969.4$475 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.0118842.6%80 W · 108 L-4.9wins-0.03per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8180…208bbacked Over55c924.17$508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415.889652.1%50 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x001a…1fb9backed Under49c912.21$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.9831643.4%137 W · 179 L-18.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe962…663abacked Over50c800$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40084342.9%362 W · 481 L-39.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over51c761.25$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.0165349.9%326 W · 327 L+20.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8988…0251backed Over52c747.08$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.6875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+42.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over52c740.39$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.7929848%143 W · 155 L+6.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under48c653$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.4419745.2%89 W · 108 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Under48c650$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31268645.5%312 W · 374 L-22.9wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa465…81ccbacked Over51c499.97$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.981758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Under4c466.9$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7210239.2%40 W · 62 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick37cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under48c446.29$215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.33,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2c39…56dcbacked Under12c442.89$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.155425.9%14 W · 40 L-3.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c424.6$208 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.051,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed Under48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20021147.4%100 W · 111 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under49c398.96$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.271,04851.7%542 W · 506 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Over52c394.43$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$187.3749852.6%262 W · 236 L+15.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8372…b075backed Over53c388.72$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.71650%8 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over64c388.22$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.241,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f73…6d1cbacked Over51c380.63$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.511560%9 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9857…a505backed Over53c366.72$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.365633.9%19 W · 37 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-27.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under48c361.87$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5162051.1%317 W · 303 L+14.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Over57c358.92$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.3311242%47 W · 65 L-13.8wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-22.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xd4ac…5e19backed Over65c348.11$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.7738453.4%205 W · 179 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Over52c338.05$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.2758953.7%316 W · 273 L+15.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c320.2$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.91,08450%542 W · 542 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over51c320.2$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.937647.3%178 W · 198 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c320.2$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.91,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed Over51c320.2$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.919254.7%105 W · 87 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked Over52c314.34$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.9410447.1%49 W · 55 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over52c314.24$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.8371654.1%387 W · 329 L+21.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under48c309.37$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.514940.9%61 W · 88 L-11.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-16.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under46c305.96$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.742,20846.6%1,030 W · 1,178 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under48c300$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1445,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd226…38b4backed Over52c291.5$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.9239448.7%192 W · 202 L-1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under47c290.75$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.651,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f5d…6974backed Over51c279.57$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+95.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b0f…1456backed Under50c277.41$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.530%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x49d3…4b2bbacked Over51c275.94$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.211741.2%7 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.18per pick23cpaid+82.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x556c…93cebacked Under48c266.42$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.8824949%122 W · 127 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89f0…1e62backed Over50c265$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.55547.3%26 W · 29 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcab…b9bbbacked Under24c261.01$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.073633.3%12 W · 24 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-29.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under48c250$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1192,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over53c212.72$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.9946258.2%269 W · 193 L-0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x22d2…82d7backed Under6c207.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.717233.3%24 W · 48 L-4.1wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under48c202$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.966,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1004748.9%23 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.16per pick33cpaid+82%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under49c199.7$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.8577549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Under49c195.92$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.9766046.4%306 W · 354 L-21.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x86f3…685cbacked Over69c193.96$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.4812558.4%73 W · 52 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2561151.4%314 W · 297 L+17.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71f6…8804backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.255151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.2523445.7%107 W · 127 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878c…2f83backed Over51c190.31$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.253056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea8d…89b1backed Over52c186.77$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6513153.4%70 W · 61 L+6.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under50c178.48$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.2424849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under15c175.21$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.241,22637.4%458 W · 768 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-21.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Over50c157.99$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x12b1…092ebacked Over78c126.51$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.83666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under47c124.93$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3989850.9%457 W · 441 L+19.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d1…6b2cbacked Over52c112.06$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.797149.3%35 W · 36 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca2b…e77abacked Under49c108.57$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.23053.3%16 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8138…1052backed Over52c107.58$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.299454.3%51 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Under49c98.92$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4720146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under49c98.88$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.451,71544.5%764 W · 951 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b87…9414backed Over51c98.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.0497049.5%480 W · 490 L-11.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.