NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30ae960982b44883167343398152cb5b2cd60a9048cead389460bdced0ad6421
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,991
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,303
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,991 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Suns | 45c | 8,261$3,717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,543.39 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Thunder | 54c | 8,258$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.42 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Suns | 47c | 4,394$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,328.81 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,465$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.39 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Suns | 46c | 2,026$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.19 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Suns | 52c | 1,859$959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900.21 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder | 49c | 1,287$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630.86 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Suns | 49c | 1,091$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.4 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Thunder | 53c | 1,020$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.81 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 52c | 1,012$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 54c | 999.83$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.91 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Suns | 51c | 936$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.64 | 167 | 43.7%73 W · 94 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc5b…5443backed Thunder | 48c | 807.33$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.52 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -11.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Suns | 53c | 767.34$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.65 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Suns | 52c | 749.41$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.72 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Suns | 49c | 711.54$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.89 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 10c | 615.34$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.28 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Suns | 50c | 553.05$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.52 | 378 | 42.9%162 W · 216 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 53c | 504.68$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.67 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked Thunder | 48c | 504.58$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.2 | 187 | 48.1%90 W · 97 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Suns | 52c | 464.54$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.55 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Thunder | 47c | 436.41$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.11 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 54c | 396.16$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.92 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 12c | 395.82$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.09 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Suns | 46c | 338.22$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.64 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e4…d947backed Thunder | 10c | 318.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.74 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…656dbacked Thunder | 48c | 280.95$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.86 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -7.6wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Thunder | 53c | 277.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Thunder | 53c | 277.79$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.23 | 220 | 47.3%104 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f61…f488backed Thunder | 53c | 275.04$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.77 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked Thunder | 54c | 273.05$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.31 | 376 | 47.3%178 W · 198 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Thunder | 54c | 272.81$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.32 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x835c…8e3bbacked Suns | 46c | 262.51$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.76 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Suns | 49c | 247.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.07 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 49c | 245.06$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.08 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Suns | 53c | 198.29$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.18 | 935 | 43.6%408 W · 527 L | -32.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 53c | 187.61$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.44 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb69…c773backed Suns | 54c | 180.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.69 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x938e…9b66backed Thunder | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 267 | 55.1%147 W · 120 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Thunder | 50c | 176.33$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.17 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Suns | 71c | 154.81$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Thunder | 13c | 153.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,283 | 23.4%300 W · 983 L | -178.2wins | -0.14per pick | 37cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xe05f…1fe3backed Thunder | 48c | 153.07$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.47 | 200 | 40%80 W · 120 L | -15.3wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Thunder | 10c | 145.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa21b…9e94backed Thunder | 55c | 132.68$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 150 | 55.3%83 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Thunder | 47c | 126.14$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.29 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1259backed Suns | 46c | 108.81$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.76 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e8f…4374backed Thunder | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.44 | 201 | 46.8%94 W · 107 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae94…7efbbacked Suns | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 587 | 54.7%321 W · 266 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Suns | 49c | 96.1$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Thunder | 15c | 94.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Suns | 46c | 93.21$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.33 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Suns | 49c | 90.17$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.99 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a0c…3d4dbacked Thunder | 54c | 90.04$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.62 | 118 | 50.8%60 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x382d…b9e9backed Thunder | 55c | 89.52$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.23 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72b2…1c91backed Suns | 46c | 89.02$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.07 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Thunder | 48c | 79.44$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c6b…340bbacked Suns | 46c | 79.34$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.85 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Suns | 51c | 75.71$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.1 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3f6…f0d9backed Thunder | 55c | 70.76$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.92 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Thunder | 55c | 61.92$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.06 | 158 | 46.8%74 W · 84 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Thunder | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48aa…2eeebacked Suns | 46c | 57.4$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8941…83d7backed Suns | 54c | 57.37$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.39 | 205 | 58.5%120 W · 85 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b52…22cbbacked Suns | 53c | 57.21$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.89 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Thunder | 47c | 55.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.31 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Thunder | 45c | 47.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.06 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Thunder | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 533 | 48.4%258 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Thunder | 53c | 45.84$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Suns | 49c | 44.69$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 775 | 49.2%381 W · 394 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Suns | 47c | 44.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed Suns | 49c | 43.62$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 270 | 50%135 W · 135 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed Thunder | 48c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 147 | 53.1%78 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed Thunder | 48c | 42.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.46 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cf7…cb5bbacked Suns | 46c | 42.07$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Thunder | 54c | 41.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.41 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Suns | 49c | 39.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.18 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5367…dfc1backed Suns | 48c | 39.36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Thunder | 53c | 38.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Suns | 58c | 37.03$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Suns | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f98…ec35backed Suns | 53c | 31.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.63 | 100 | 46%46 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Thunder | 55c | 28.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 46c | 27.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Suns | 48c | 25.42$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Suns | 46c | 24.72$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.35 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Suns | 53c | 21.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.17 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Thunder | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Thunder | 53c | 19.8$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2f…1b25backed Suns | 54c | 19.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17a3…8cb3backed Thunder | 53c | 19.06$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. ThunderSuns won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.