TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Thunder (-5.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sunsof Thunder, Suns
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$82,328
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$81,549

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $82,328 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder60c45,537$27,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,328.4642348%203 W · 220 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Suns40c23,982$9,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,410.369,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Thunder15c17,702$2,568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,567.71,28243.4%557 W · 725 L-51.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Suns40c6,894$2,734 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,159.56,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Suns40c6,545$2,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,914.085,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Suns42c5,170$2,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.944,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Suns42c3,728$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,162.391,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b78…9992backed Suns44c1,098$483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$614.8820051.5%103 W · 97 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4e3…d5f4backed Thunder55c888.74$486 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$486.4913547.4%64 W · 71 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc249…8a61backed Suns42c771.78$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$450.3579650.9%405 W · 391 L+63.2wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+21.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Thunder52c770.49$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400.661,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Suns67c751.62$505 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.851,31747.8%629 W · 688 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder54c728.16$393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3934,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd70b…dcb1backed Thunder52c703.63$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.948333.7%28 W · 55 L-12.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-30%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Suns39c700$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42720537.1%76 W · 129 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Thunder7c695.11$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6668838.5%265 W · 423 L-26.5wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Thunder56c686.52$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$383.832,04548.4%990 W · 1,055 L-30.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Suns42c482.6$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9135942.1%151 W · 208 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Thunder51c444.22$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.5544345.1%200 W · 243 L+2.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Thunder53c431.44$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.6637355%205 W · 168 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7cfa…9743backed Suns44c424$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.444045%18 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64db…325bbacked Suns48c400$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2081,25948.7%613 W · 646 L+1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3989…27b1backed Thunder59c390.16$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.1930641.8%128 W · 178 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x57e5…e51ebacked Thunder48c387.52$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.7333360.4%201 W · 132 L+17.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Suns77c365.57$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.617946.4%83 W · 96 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4e4…d947backed Thunder20c302.52$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.442123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-31.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Thunder52c291.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5121653.7%116 W · 100 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x87ec…0d44backed Thunder52c291.36$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d0d…25a2backed Suns49c285$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Suns40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502,65749.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L+42.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x272d…9e36backed Suns48c230.24$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.728652.3%45 W · 41 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb390…642bbacked Thunder57c224.71$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.621,66150.3%836 W · 825 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2fe…7558backed Suns49c216.31$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.3214946.3%69 W · 80 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8180…f4dabacked Thunder48c213$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.2443352.2%226 W · 207 L+19.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Suns48c210$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.235849.7%178 W · 180 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Suns48c201.82$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.941,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Suns48c201.65$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.023,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e8f…4374backed Suns49c196.63$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.6720146.8%94 W · 107 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Suns49c182.01$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.8224849.6%123 W · 125 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Suns39c179$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.192,75350.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L+47.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa02…8094backed Thunder52c178.22$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.671471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Thunder59c166.52$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.511,38954.9%762 W · 627 L+16.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe414…c341backed Suns50c160$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8081349.4%402 W · 411 L+5.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Thunder50c153.54$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.778348.2%40 W · 43 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x323c…2fa4backed Suns49c139.43$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$718154.3%44 W · 37 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1015…c873backed Thunder52c136.72$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.0962744.5%279 W · 348 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d49…e00abacked Suns69c115.47$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51,53242.5%651 W · 881 L-17.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda16…6da2backed Thunder49c102.18$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0447045.1%212 W · 258 L-10.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-8.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10cf…1cfbbacked Thunder58c99.16$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5123549.4%116 W · 119 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…0a5cbacked Thunder51c95.16$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.5336842.4%156 W · 212 L-8.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71f6…8804backed Thunder57c88.87$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.655151%26 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Thunder58c84.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.7429046.9%136 W · 154 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5aa…4464backed Suns49c75.61$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.5620154.2%109 W · 92 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Suns46c62.95$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.992846.4%13 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bd9…084fbacked Thunder44c60$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.437753.8%203 W · 174 L+12.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Suns50c58.2$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.120558.5%120 W · 85 L+7.9wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f65…38bfbacked Suns43c56.15$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.012962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Suns46c55.76$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.1137842.9%162 W · 216 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad4…fa20backed Suns43c53.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.61258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+20.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Suns48c49.25$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.3993543.6%408 W · 527 L-32.6wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e6b…8a98backed Suns46c48.02$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8634641%142 W · 204 L-9.5wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Suns49c46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4638947.6%185 W · 204 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x648d…0ebdbacked Thunder56c43.63$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.342564%16 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+10.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d1e…522fbacked Suns46c42.98$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.211838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7690…dfcebacked Suns45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6423644.1%104 W · 132 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8a4…78a2backed Suns42c39.87$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.135152.9%27 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf86c…ba99backed Suns49c39.57$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1814560.7%88 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Suns42c38.88$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.661,63341.2%672 W · 961 L+26.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50fd…ee77backed Thunder52c37.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.4213852.2%72 W · 66 L+5.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd281…d824backed Suns49c34.07$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.375560%33 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+20.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x99bf…7b22backed Suns42c31.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.44850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2be5…603dbacked Suns52c31.67$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.161346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Thunder57c31.41$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.91,27747.2%603 W · 674 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Suns43c29.05$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.611,19748.9%585 W · 612 L-14.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Suns46c27.68$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.952,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9260…1068backed Suns43c26.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.343522.9%8 W · 27 L-10.1wins-0.29per pick52cpaid-59%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xd875…ad68backed Thunder58c25.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.628167.9%55 W · 26 L+5.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Suns51c24$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.7671752%373 W · 344 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c86…456bbacked Suns46c23.87$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.9618548.1%89 W · 96 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Thunder49c23.27$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.46636.4%24 W · 42 L-6.9wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x17a3…8cb3backed Thunder56c19.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.694254.8%23 W · 19 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.