NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-7.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf0a7a8069e2385173901cc7bc2f15c70a59ef1f2ecf1ad9187e046133ae936a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Thunder, Suns
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $183,363
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $179,035
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $183,363 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Suns | 50c | 58,583$29,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,291.57 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Suns | 50c | 56,172$28,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,086.11 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Thunder | 50c | 48,500$24,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,250 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd38a…8d26backed Thunder | 50c | 20,660$10,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,272.57 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Suns | 53c | 11,830$6,281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,549.4 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Thunder | 51c | 9,997$5,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,098.4 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 50c | 9,848$4,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,923.86 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Suns | 51c | 9,777$4,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,790.52 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd4b…fab0backed Thunder | 50c | 9,700$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Thunder | 50c | 7,386$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692.89 | 323 | 51.1%165 W · 158 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Thunder | 50c | 7,386$3,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,692.89 | 906 | 50.2%455 W · 451 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6551…e043backed Suns | 50c | 7,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Thunder | 50c | 5,432$2,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,716 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Thunder | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa676…a4c5backed Thunder | 28c | 4,336$1,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.16 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Thunder | 48c | 3,602$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,729.14 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d5c…4f26backed Suns | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 209 | 45.5%95 W · 114 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Suns | 52c | 2,428$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.44 | 461 | 45.6%210 W · 251 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,158$1,078 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,077.51 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Thunder | 50c | 2,150$1,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,074.76 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Thunder | 49c | 2,084$1,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,021.26 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Thunder | 50c | 1,961$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.63 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Suns | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.78 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 45c | 1,949$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.35 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Thunder | 48c | 1,807$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.48 | 443 | 45.1%200 W · 243 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 11c | 1,698$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.79 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Thunder | 50c | 1,485$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$742.54 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Suns | 51c | 1,405$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.45 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +6.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ce…791cbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,358$679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec54…e8c1backed Suns | 52c | 1,264$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.14 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3673…2d13backed Thunder | 50c | 1,232$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.95 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Thunder | 50c | 1,111$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.5 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b39…3234backed Suns | 57c | 1,082$617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.21 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…325bbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,023$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$511.37 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 50c | 980.52$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Suns | 50c | 958.83$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.15 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 7c | 768.21$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.77 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 46c | 710.09$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.55 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Thunder | 28c | 685.46$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.58 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Thunder | 49c | 679$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.71 | 568 | 43.8%249 W · 319 L | -25.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Thunder | 50c | 613.04$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.52 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Thunder | 50c | 582$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 298 | 48%143 W · 155 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed6…e517backed Suns | 51c | 570.94$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.76 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e2…8863backed Suns | 51c | 513.85$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.79 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Thunder | 48c | 499.94$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.97 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Suns | 51c | 460$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.4 | 620 | 51.1%317 W · 303 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Thunder | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Thunder | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 362 | 48.1%174 W · 188 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9857…a505backed Thunder | 50c | 388$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194 | 56 | 33.9%19 W · 37 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Thunder | 49c | 387.76$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Suns | 51c | 380.63$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.51 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbe…e45bbacked Thunder | 47c | 290.62$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.52 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb43e…78bfbacked Suns | 51c | 287.87$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.06 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Thunder | 52c | 280.15$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.68 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Thunder | 29c | 272.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 46c | 252.02$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.72 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Thunder | 50c | 250$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.75 | 1,399 | 46.4%649 W · 750 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Suns | 51c | 234.07$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.69 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 52c | 226.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.95 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Suns | 55c | 206$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.7 | 1,433 | 47.2%676 W · 757 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Thunder | 49c | 195.92$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.97 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Suns | 52c | 195.27$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.73 | 685 | 42.6%292 W · 393 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Thunder | 50c | 194$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 498 | 52.6%262 W · 236 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d36…f4cbbacked Suns | 52c | 186.71$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd17a…0373backed Thunder | 50c | 169.75$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.88 | 428 | 53%227 W · 201 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ecd…ea91backed Suns | 51c | 164.53$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.62 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8c…686fbacked Thunder | 13c | 163.92$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.53 | 244 | 9.4%23 W · 221 L | -27.5wins | -0.11per pick | 21cpaid | -72.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Thunder | 50c | 162.92$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.46 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Thunder | 28c | 138.74$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x983c…dd56backed Thunder | 11c | 129.08$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 115 | 51.3%59 W · 56 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e24…24fbbacked Thunder | 40c | 127.74$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.68 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf50…b426backed Thunder | 14c | 124.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Thunder | 43c | 116.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5741…fb99backed Suns | 78c | 111.03$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.18 | 109 | 45.9%50 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Suns | 50c | 107.3$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.77 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 282 | 43.3%122 W · 160 L | -13.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Suns | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Thunder | 49c | 99.69$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6c47…7a9fbacked Thunder | 51c | 97.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +7.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Thunder | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 970 | 49.5%480 W · 490 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4ac…5e19backed Thunder | 50c | 97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 384 | 53.4%205 W · 179 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf2e…0d9ebacked Suns | 52c | 93.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.82 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Thunder | 49c | 89.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.95 | 1,277 | 47.2%603 W · 674 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8138…1052backed Thunder | 50c | 83.42$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.71 | 94 | 54.3%51 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9a7…8b73backed Suns | 68c | 81.62$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbaff…eaf6backed Suns | 51c | 79.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.14 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +13.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Thunder | 50c | 79.15$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.58 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5674…ad22backed Thunder | 49c | 77.62$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.79 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Suns | 52c | 61.19$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aae…16e6backed Thunder | 50c | 60.14$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 124 | 58.9%73 W · 51 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc6…b20dbacked Thunder | 50c | 59.08$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 452 | 51.1%231 W · 221 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Suns | 52c | 58.44$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.05 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c68…0888backed Thunder | 50c | 58.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Thunder | 49c | 58.16$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 852 | 48.9%417 W · 435 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Suns | 55c | 57.31$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb20f…5737backed Thunder | 50c | 55.85$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Thunder | 50c | 55.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.59 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef77…f853backed Thunder | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05d…b831backed Suns | 51c | 46.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Suns | 69c | 43.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.4 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. ThunderSuns won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.