NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x01eff9fa8069fd6046d63a74af69af3ddbc8acfcfcdf5c4494fed19cadbd1d18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sunsof Suns, Thunder
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,201,945
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,162,018
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,201,945 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 821 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Thunder | 33c | 72,340$23,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,997.6 | 423 | 48%203 W · 220 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c15…9a45backed Suns | 29c | 39,868$11,409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,458.53 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…5040backed Suns | 72c | 37,648$27,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,541.43 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x575a…bba6backed Suns | 42c | 28,421$11,970 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,450.91 | 125 | 29.6%37 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Thunder | 26c | 26,124$6,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,669.82 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae1…9fadbacked Suns | 26c | 22,969$5,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,979.35 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +6.4wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 32c | 21,338$6,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,739.34 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Suns | 73c | 21,028$15,427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,600.74 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Thunder | 61c | 20,956$12,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,751.66 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ff…0facbacked Thunder | 74c | 17,478$12,934 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,934.03 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Suns | 27c | 17,434$4,729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,704.12 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Thunder | 71c | 17,042$12,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,133.43 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Thunder | 42c | 17,039$7,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,156.55 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4900…4a72backed Suns | 76c | 15,520$11,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,740.13 | 59 | 40.7%24 W · 35 L | -12.5wins | -0.21per pick | 62cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Suns | 27c | 14,964$3,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,996.97 | 275 | 46.2%127 W · 148 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14cc…7c02backed Suns | 27c | 13,886$3,813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,073.17 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Thunder | 70c | 13,490$9,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,421.48 | 1,271 | 38.3%487 W · 784 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Suns | 26c | 10,942$2,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,130.66 | 618 | 51.6%319 W · 299 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Suns | 51c | 10,854$5,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.6 | 196 | 50.5%99 W · 97 L | +8.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Thunder | 26c | 10,665$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.36 | 360 | 23.1%83 W · 277 L | -15.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…fb60backed Thunder | 70c | 10,000$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.93 | 53 | 79.2%42 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.13per pick | 67cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 39c | 9,950$3,923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,923.49 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Thunder | 42c | 9,819$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.16 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf62d…2a10backed Thunder | 33c | 9,642$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196.49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x410d…d831backed Thunder | 30c | 9,255$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,776.5 | 113 | 35.4%40 W · 73 L | -8.0wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Thunder | 29c | 9,221$2,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,672.07 | 189 | 41.8%79 W · 110 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Thunder | 28c | 9,032$2,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,528.98 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Thunder | 30c | 8,970$2,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,718.44 | 1,003 | 34.7%348 W · 655 L | -44.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 48c | 8,040$3,883 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,883.09 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c5f…7a4ebacked Thunder | 71c | 7,615$5,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,406.37 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 50cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3829…137ebacked Suns | 72c | 7,511$5,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,102.96 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Suns | 29c | 7,240$2,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,125.17 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…b380backed Suns | 70c | 6,751$4,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,025.44 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Thunder | 72c | 6,657$4,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,793.13 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…0f2bbacked Suns | 34c | 6,638$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,381.03 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Suns | 27c | 5,899$1,573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,325.93 | 866 | 41.5%359 W · 507 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Thunder | 8c | 5,128$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.16 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Thunder | 1c | 4,531$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.19 | 721 | 1%7 W · 714 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd577…2bb7backed Thunder | 73c | 4,401$3,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,212.39 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Suns | 25c | 4,309$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,214.07 | 434 | 38.5%167 W · 267 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Thunder | 68c | 4,283$2,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,912.27 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7988…a671backed Suns | 79c | 4,078$3,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.11 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…d994backed Suns | 33c | 4,051$1,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.78 | 374 | 48.7%182 W · 192 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661a…e9e8backed Suns | 29c | 4,047$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,892.1 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 28cpaid | +214.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Suns | 30c | 3,953$1,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.98 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f2…09a5backed Thunder | 55c | 3,946$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.44 | 127 | 56.7%72 W · 55 L | +8.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7200…9299backed Suns | 30c | 3,832$1,146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,685.7 | 369 | 54.7%202 W · 167 L | +28.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdab7…24ecbacked Suns | 62c | 3,763$2,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.85 | 160 | 65%104 W · 56 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Suns | 26c | 3,670$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,715.7 | 174 | 41.4%72 W · 102 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Suns | 68c | 3,608$2,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,143.14 | 1,190 | 32%381 W · 809 L | -58.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Suns | 31c | 3,525$1,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,432.51 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Suns | 69c | 3,458$2,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,081.61 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Suns | 25c | 3,138$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,338.44 | 724 | 50.7%367 W · 357 L | +13.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Thunder | 32c | 3,088$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.31 | 621 | 44%273 W · 348 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x093e…54c1backed Thunder | 60c | 3,021$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.27 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41c7…c8fbbacked Suns | 29c | 3,000$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 42cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Thunder | 1c | 3,000$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 882 | 0%0 W · 882 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ca…9f73backed Suns | 50c | 3,000$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,512.14 | 325 | 40.3%131 W · 194 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 72c | 2,943$2,119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,118.75 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Thunder | 50c | 2,885$1,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,456.5 | 121 | 42.1%51 W · 70 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Suns | 78c | 2,879$2,239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.91 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Suns | 27c | 2,825$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,062.51 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd307…f4d1backed Suns | 73c | 2,737$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.32 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 60cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d43…ce68backed Suns | 74c | 2,661$1,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$691.74 | 172 | 47.7%82 W · 90 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Thunder | 68c | 2,606$1,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,774.56 | 83 | 44.6%37 W · 46 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Thunder | 23c | 2,535$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.17 | 637 | 46.6%297 W · 340 L | -16.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x354b…4744backed Suns | 27c | 2,510$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,832.4 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0440…a03fbacked Suns | 79c | 2,455$1,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.79 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Suns | 27c | 2,451$669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,782.36 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Thunder | 29c | 2,438$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.88 | 301 | 57.1%172 W · 129 L | +14.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Thunder | 73c | 2,428$1,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,770.84 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…e0eebacked Thunder | 20c | 2,380$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x822d…66d5backed Thunder | 69c | 2,314$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,596.66 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.3wins | -0.45per pick | 65cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed Suns | 29c | 2,301$667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,633.85 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Thunder | 16c | 2,290$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.03 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Suns | 30c | 2,248$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.67 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Suns | 36c | 2,109$759 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.77 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Suns | 31c | 2,100$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,453.99 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed Thunder | 57c | 2,051$1,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,169.04 | 143 | 55.9%80 W · 63 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Suns | 27c | 2,026$541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,484.69 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Thunder | 2c | 2,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 521 | 3.8%20 W · 501 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Thunder | 73c | 2,000$1,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,460 | 256 | 41.4%106 W · 150 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12a0…3c0ebacked Thunder | 74c | 1,995$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.6 | 158 | 53.8%85 W · 73 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9916…bcb2backed Suns | 32c | 1,993$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.04 | 187 | 43.3%81 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ba4…fd40backed Thunder | 71c | 1,992$1,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,414.19 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fba…26dcbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,963$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,364.57 | 93 | 61.3%57 W · 36 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6abc…bd1bbacked Thunder | 39c | 1,959$773 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$772.64 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3539…0b08backed Suns | 31c | 1,956$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,349.62 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 51cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32bf…ec60backed Thunder | 3c | 1,897$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked Thunder | 2c | 1,882$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.66 | 125 | 8%10 W · 115 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Suns | 27c | 1,870$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,360.39 | 609 | 44.8%273 W · 336 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Thunder | 17c | 1,833$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.28 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26eb…22d0backed Suns | 29c | 1,824$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.31 | 277 | 35%97 W · 180 L | -30.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Thunder | 17c | 1,809$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.68 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Thunder | 70c | 1,805$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,263.69 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7656…67bbbacked Thunder | 69c | 1,778$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.19per pick | 70cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Thunder | 67c | 1,662$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111.19 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…7e3dbacked Thunder | 40c | 1,642$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$654.81 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | +5.9wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Thunder | 21c | 1,628$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.81 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd750…e32cbacked Thunder | 67c | 1,600$1,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunderthis page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.