NBA · resolved market
Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb0b7c05de206edd9218e8f1b4db86c31825c686002708a59d0c917b7fc064b18
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,098
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,098 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 56c | 982.07$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.28 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 52c | 731.92$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$349.79 | 1,317 | 47.8%629 W · 688 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x116c…e162backed Over | 44c | 730.1$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.85 | 213 | 50.7%108 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Over | 79c | 356.97$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.46 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Under | 6c | 277.8$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 102 | 39.2%40 W · 62 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 33c | 260.83$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf48a…3594backed Over | 45c | 214.89$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 49c | 210.79$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 898 | 50.9%457 W · 441 L | +19.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Under | 51c | 197.06$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.5 | 275 | 49.5%136 W · 139 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Under | 34c | 172.91$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.02 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Under | 58c | 165.19$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.52 | 625 | 46.9%293 W · 332 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 9c | 130.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 57c | 124.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.62 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdae3…cf78backed Over | 45c | 107.97$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.62 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 9c | 106.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 49c | 103.65$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 1,282 | 43.4%557 W · 725 L | -51.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.5 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2c…dac5backed Under | 57c | 97.42$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.53 | 423 | 48.5%205 W · 218 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Under | 52c | 84.86$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.13 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 42c | 83.83$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Under | 43c | 79.99$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 1,425 | 47.7%680 W · 745 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7663…c9aabacked Over | 45c | 64.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 22 | 77.3%17 W · 5 L | +6.7wins | +0.31per pick | 47cpaid | +64%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Under | 64c | 61.54$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.34 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 62c | 60.38$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 58.64$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.45 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Under | 48c | 48.57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c71…3414backed Over | 44c | 43.93$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Under | 50c | 42.23$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 58c | 42.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b2c…5e10backed Under | 58c | 42.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.37 | 257 | 52.5%135 W · 122 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Over | 43c | 41.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 796 | 50.9%405 W · 391 L | +63.2wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Under | 47c | 40.88$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x130b…0e07backed Over | 45c | 38.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +36%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…2c88backed Under | 55c | 37.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.43 | 57 | 61.4%35 W · 22 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 64c | 35.78$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.94 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed2…ad97backed Under | 57c | 34.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Over | 52c | 32.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.62 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…a7b7backed Over | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Over | 50c | 26.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…2c0abacked Under | 50c | 25.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.61 | 39 | 51.3%20 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Under | 42c | 25.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Under | 42c | 25.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.46 | 253 | 48.6%123 W · 130 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Under | 56c | 25.07$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 360 | 51.7%186 W · 174 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Over | 44c | 23.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 570 | 51.9%296 W · 274 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Over | 44c | 23.61$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 378 | 53.4%202 W · 176 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbc0…749abacked Under | 64c | 22.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -3.7wins | -0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…38b4backed Under | 57c | 22.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 394 | 48.7%192 W · 202 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7d…7862backed Under | 57c | 22.38$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 218 | 43.6%95 W · 123 L | -15.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…2092backed Under | 55c | 21.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 65c | 20.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.38 | 377 | 53.8%203 W · 174 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c86…456bbacked Under | 57c | 20.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 185 | 48.1%89 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 57c | 19.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 1,048 | 51.7%542 W · 506 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f47…6397backed Under | 60c | 18.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.38 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Under | 62c | 18.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85b8…9d57backed Over | 75c | 16.73$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.18 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 215.5this page
- 1H Spread: Thunder (-2.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-4.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-5.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-6.5)Suns won
- Spread: Thunder (-7.5)Suns won
- Suns vs. ThunderSuns won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineSuns won
- Suns vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 109.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 212.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5Over won
- Suns vs. Thunder: O/U 214.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.