TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7ec3…2c88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
125
Categories scored
17
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Lol at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT5761.4%35 W · 22 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
NBA — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.7
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$8.12
Spread: Rockets (-9.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9.16
Lakers vs. Rockets: O/U 206.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.63
Spread: Rockets (-4.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+93.6%+$11.82
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$19.58
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.7
Trail Blazers vs. Spurs: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.48
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$14.84
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.56
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.35
Rockets vs. Lakers: O/U 208.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$10.47
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Hawks vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.64
Spread: Suns (-3.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.68
Warriors vs. Suns: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10.96
Spread: Hornets (-3.5)backed Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$9.41
Warriors vs. Clippers: O/U 220.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.82
Magic vs. 76ers: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$16.63
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.28
Trail Blazers vs. Suns: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.46
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Heat vs. Hornets: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.28
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Arsenal FC vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.65
Spread: FC Bayern München (-2.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$7.28
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Sporting CP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$8.26
FC Bayern München vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.51
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$7.24
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.69
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. FC Barcelona: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.31
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$18.1
FC Barcelona vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+100%+$15.52
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.53
Sporting CP vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$8.65
All 13 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 144.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.56
Will Arizona win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arizona Wildcats vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.78
Connecticut Huskies vs. Illinois Fighting Illinibacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$18.06
Connecticut Huskies vs. Duke Blue Devilsbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$28.89
Purdue Boilermakers vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.76
Michigan State Spartans vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$20.28
Will Houston win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Arkansas Razorbacks vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Arizona Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.42
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. Houston Cougarsbacked Houston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.83
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$10.68
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+43%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+108.2%+$22.96
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.88
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+454.7%+$46
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$170
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick50cpaid-74.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Chess Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Chess — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Chess, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+106.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick54cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+5.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+15.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+37.6%+$37.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$6.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $660b and $670b on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group Omegabacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.