Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6fa31390b1a484c759c841ec3cd2042753d53c70c6e27d781b8fb26eb2ee0388
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,697
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,463
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,697 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbd6d…ed0bbacked Yes | 24c | 796.53$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6845…c125backed Yes | 10c | 705.22$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 846 | 16.4%139 W · 707 L | +24.6wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…90e7backed Yes | 72c | 700.77$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.38 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 18c | 678.64$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.18 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa128…541ebacked Yes | 27c | 440$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.2 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 8cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…e04bbacked No | 69c | 247.67$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.83 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc9e…6693backed Yes | 49c | 206.54$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.22 | 66 | 31.8%21 W · 45 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 9c | 156.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 16c | 137.34$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.41 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed No | 61c | 129.94$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.82 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -11.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa547…95ebbacked Yes | 17c | 121.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 30 | 80%24 W · 6 L | +4.1wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 16c | 120.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.91 | 996 | 19.8%197 W · 799 L | -15.9wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes | 67c | 117.05$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.23 | 625 | 39.5%247 W · 378 L | +48.1wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e43…b356backed Yes | 22c | 104.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.57 | 178 | 18.5%33 W · 145 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa37a…bc60backed No | 71c | 102.21$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.58 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 50c | 87.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.28 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4616…a910backed No | 71c | 77.59$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.51 | 336 | 70.2%236 W · 100 L | +22.5wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 59c | 67.6$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.87 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 32c | 65.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.19 | 797 | 35.9%286 W · 511 L | -34.4wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 34c | 59.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 112 | 8%9 W · 103 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 14cpaid | -80%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 41c | 57.41$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 395 | 18.7%74 W · 321 L | -57.0wins | -0.14per pick | 33cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5c87…967abacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de4…9f53backed Yes | 63c | 48.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.33 | 97 | 46.4%45 W · 52 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked No | 42c | 47.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.46 | 131 | 19.1%25 W · 106 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 21cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked No | 32c | 46.57$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c07…bb31backed Yes | 47c | 46.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d14…ee01backed Yes | 26c | 46.32$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 55c | 44.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb23b…503fbacked No | 62c | 41.9$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…a827backed No | 66c | 39.16$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97f8…7483backed No | 66c | 38.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.22 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d0…e8c6backed Yes | 69c | 34.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 132 | 59.8%79 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked No | 41c | 33$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3f…f038backed No | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x907c…23c1backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ab…2048backed No | 72c | 27.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64f3…aa71backed No | 63c | 25.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +8.5wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdb94…bffebacked No | 76c | 23.93$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1919…8f92backed Yes | 67c | 21.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 62c | 20.41$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 261 | 67%175 W · 86 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 61c | 19.36$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.81 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e5…2231backed Yes | 61c | 18.59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.34 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 36cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec3…2c88backed Yes | 62c | 17.07$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59fe…14fdbacked Yes | 76c | 14.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -7.3wins | -0.30per pick | 51cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x4a41…a88cbacked No | 77c | 13.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.16 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?Yes won
- Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.