Tweets · resolved market
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0f5c205d1229711dea7f5e87a377b3db3c4a296d88a1b72c865cf4f8f7e74972
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,670
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,850
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,670 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8168…90e7backed Yes | 12c | 1,026$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$904.88 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…bcbfbacked No | 75c | 390.57$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5f…b380backed Yes | 16c | 340.82$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.27 | 430 | 27%116 W · 314 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50bd…d20fbacked Yes | 79c | 292.27$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.13 | 99 | 11.1%11 W · 88 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…38e2backed Yes | 25c | 205.63$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.22 | 191 | 18.8%36 W · 155 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fdc…a29abacked No | 32c | 202.65$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1408…b4f8backed No | 51c | 196.14$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.51 | 249 | 32.9%82 W · 167 L | -33.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x817f…bf28backed Yes | 21c | 142.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.09 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +4.7wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67f…dac8backed Yes | 40c | 110.42$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.58 | 62 | 22.6%14 W · 48 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc70…e75dbacked Yes | 13c | 103.15$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.87per pick | 13cpaid | +697.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 25c | 97.71$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.01 | 503 | 19.5%98 W · 405 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…a827backed Yes | 21c | 67.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 39cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 76c | 64.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 264 | 61.7%163 W · 101 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…631bbacked No | 79c | 31.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.97 | 340 | 39.7%135 W · 205 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9955…85afbacked No | 74c | 26.24$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.49 | 183 | 57.9%106 W · 77 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92aa…0341backed Yes | 54c | 26.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.02 | 130 | 31.5%41 W · 89 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ef…d98abacked No | 47c | 24.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.37 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0603…8f62backed No | 79c | 23.7$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.81 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 73c | 16.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?this page
- Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
- Will CZ post 60-79 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.