TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc67f…dac8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
310
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Mls, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Mls at 52 out of 100; worst South American Leagues at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT6222.6%14 W · 48 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-27.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 62 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.52
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+1,087%+$165.76
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.8
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+102.6%+$46.89
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 9 to April 11, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.93
Will CZ post 40-59 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+151.9%+$66.58
Will CZ post 20-39 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.87
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.61
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 6 to April 8, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+56.1%+$42.37
Will CZ post 0-19 posts from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.81
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+99.7%+$24.35
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.47
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+132.3%+$111.05
Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.76
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.25
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.51
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+277.8%+$84.56
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 21 to March 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.05
Will Donald Trump post 60-79 Truth Social posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.37
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$254Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+301.9%+$766.21
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 19 to March 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.9
Showing 25 of 62 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Silver (SI) settle at $80-$90 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.48
Will Silver (SI) settle at $50-$60 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+1,051.4%+$200.89
Will Silver (SI) settle at $60-$70 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.47
Will Silver (SI) settle at $90-$100 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.25
Will Silver (SI) settle at $70-$80 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.72
Will Silver (SI) settle at <$50 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.85
Will Silver (SI) settle at $100-$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.22
Will Silver (SI) settle at >$115 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.28
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.55
Will there be between 40 and 50 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.33
Will there be between 30 and 40 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.8
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+164.1%+$130.47
Will 50-59 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.35
Will 40-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+551.3%+$253.94
Will 30-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.16
Will 60 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 6-April 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$146.68
Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.03
Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.14
Will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.63
Will there be between 0 and 10 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$109.15
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.19
Will 45 or more ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+109.6%+$24.05
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $75-$80 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.89
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick32cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$83.75
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+302.4%+$225.44
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.75
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.92
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$67.22
Will Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.94
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+183%+$19.4
FC Bayern München leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+98.1%+$9.9
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.79
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+71%+$43.6
Will Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.05
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.9
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.45
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$173.85
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.65
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+105.6%+$38.52
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.15
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.6%+$87.62
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.29
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+74%+$65.94
Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.32
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT2630.8%8 W · 18 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 75% and 80%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.2
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 80% and 85%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.85
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be less than 70%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election be between 70% and 75%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+645%+$225.1
Will a different combination of candidates advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+46.7%+$195.92
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.99
Will Rafael López Aliaga and Roberto Sánchez Palomino advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.47
Will Alfonso López Chau and Keiko Fujimori advance to the runoff?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.32
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+424.6%+$263.05
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the May meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$259.02
Bank of England increases interest rates after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.53
No change in the Selic rate after Bank of Brazil’s April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.88
Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.88
Will Tisza win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$865Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$333.12
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.5
Will voter turnout be 74–77% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.75
Will voter turnout be 71–74% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will Fidesz-KDNP win <70 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+190.3%+$29.5
Will Fidesz-KDNP win 70-84 seats in the Hungarian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will the Slovenian Democratic Party (SDS) win <30 seats in the Slovenian National Assembly in this election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+30.7%+$9.4
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,115Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+82.9%+$923.82
Will the Bank of Mexico announce no change at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$888Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$888.42
Will the Bank of Mexico announce an increase at the March meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.33
Will Liberal Alliance win 15-19 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+83.5%+$13.65
Will Liberal Alliance win 20-24 seats in the Danish Folketing in the 2026 Danish general election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.87
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick29cpaid-36.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$203.84
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 180m and 190m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$413Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$412.63
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 160m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.67
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 170m and 180m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.89
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 160m and 170m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.93
Will "Project Hail Mary" 3rd Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$10.1
Will "The Super Mario Galaxy Movie" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 190m and 200m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$777Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT+93%+$722.17
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 18m and 19.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.13
Will "Hoppers" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 16.5m and 18m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$165Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+54.2%+$89.63
Will "Ready or Not 2: Here I Come" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.86
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 75m and 80m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$126.14
Will "Project Hail Mary" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 80m and 85m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+76.6%+$149.62
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 7m and 8m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.99
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$213.33
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.2
Will "Undertone" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 9m and 10m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$404Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+70.6%+$285.38
Will "Hoppers" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 29m and 32m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.82
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.13
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8.5m and 9m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$64Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$92.04
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 22m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.59
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 13m and 16m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.8
Will "Scream 7" 3rd Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 8.5m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.06
Will "Reminders of Him" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+274.8%+$103.38
All 23 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+119.1%+$39.97
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.76
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+73.5%+$10.38
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 21°C or below on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+46.6%+$6.26
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 18°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+203.3%+$45.81
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.75
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.3
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C or higher on April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.2%+$9.74
Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.9
Will global temperature increase by between 1.25ºC and 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+34.5%+$88.05
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.29
Will global temperature increase by more than 1.29ºC in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.46
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$85.18
Will Seattle have between 6 and 7 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.29
Will Seattle have more than 8 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.58
Will Seattle have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.05
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+44.3%+$15.35
All 19 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$677Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+46.5%+$314.74
Will Arsenal finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.19
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$435Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$435.04
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,203Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$482.75
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+55.2%+$12.45
Will Manchester United finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.73
Will Aston Villa finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Will Southampton FC win on 2026-04-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.61
Will Southampton FC vs. Ipswich Town FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+228.5%+$34.78
Will Chelsea finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.07
Will Brentford finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.18
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$46.35
Will Coventry City FC vs. Sheffield Wednesday FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+236.2%+$49.18
Will West Ham United FC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$148.2
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.85
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$110.16
All 17 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+37.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$11.5
Will FC Midtjylland win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$270Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+567.2%+$1,530.23
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,150.74
Will Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Midtjylland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$377Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.12
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.3
Will VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.46
Will FC Porto win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$113.1
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.49
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.25
Will Panathinaikós AO vs. Real Betis Balompié end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.45
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+285.4%+$77.75
Will Lille OSC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.12
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.2
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$46.4
Will Bologna FC 1909 vs. AS Roma end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+214.1%+$98.83
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.39
All 16 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-45.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.0% and 4.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.55
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 4.5% and 5.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$318Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$317.54
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.5% and 6.0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.54
Will China GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 5.0% and 5.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+125.5%+$364.6
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.1% and 3.3%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.8
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.25–2.50 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$88
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.00–2.25 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.58
Will a dozen eggs cost between $2.50–2.75 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.3
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.6% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.36
Will monthly inflation increase by 0.7% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.57
Will annual inflation increase by ≥3.4% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.14
Will annual inflation increase by 3.2% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.65
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+274.9%+$248.27
Will annual inflation increase by 3.1% in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.58
All 14 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-68.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$532Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+28.8%+$153.11
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.77
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.6
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.58
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+54.5%+$15.87
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.3
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.22
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.09
All 9 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Waymo operate in 12 or more cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.88
Will Waymo operate in 6 cities on June 30 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.01
Will Claude go down 12+ times in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+56.5%+$74.03
Will Claude go down 9-11 times in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.84
Will Claude go down 6-8 times in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.27
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.4
Will Tesla deliver less than 350000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$258.15
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+428.5%+$347.01
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q1 2026backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.17
All 9 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick26cpaid-74.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the May decision?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.85
Will Israel strike 3 countries in April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.34
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.54
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+106.9%+$333.26
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Qatar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.47
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.53
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.26
All 8 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-19.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-72.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-40.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+66.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.35per pick66cpaid+52.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+52.7%+$6.9
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.