Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa0bd6b70b5db5e7a830ddfcbf33ba6e78d0a025857b061bea1d8fea4c494739e

Rebuilt 5 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 14, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,110,020
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $792,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,110,020 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 827 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xba8b…62fdbacked No	46c	35,404$16,155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,248.88	21	71.4%15 W · 6 L	+2.4wins	+0.11per pick	60cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	2c	25,724$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.62	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5567…6178backed Yes	41c	15,524$6,303 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,303.42	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	16c	14,345$2,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,229.07	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	26c	13,158$3,486 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,485.95	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	25c	12,540$3,094 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,094.2	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb06a…52f5backed Yes	56c	12,291$6,824 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,823.84	229	26.6%61 W · 168 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-48.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58cd…775abacked Yes	4c	11,865$433 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$432.83	386	14.2%55 W · 331 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	48c	9,187$4,367 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,367.25	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	22c	8,517$1,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,843.73	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	55c	8,345$4,624 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,623.76	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	30c	7,681$2,285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,285.29	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	19c	7,416$1,378 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,378.03	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	26c	7,082$1,861 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,860.96	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	53c	6,926$3,671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,670.72	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	20c	6,756$1,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.77	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	45c	6,752$3,027 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,026.97	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	4c	6,641$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.13	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	43c	6,607$2,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,829.34	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	10c	6,591$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$687.24	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	41c	6,334$2,568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,568.34	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	3c	6,051$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.82	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8907…d8e6backed Yes	0c	6,000$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	8	0%0 W · 8 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	46c	5,798$2,668 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,130.45	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98cf…2cc1backed Yes	72c	5,313$3,833 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,832.94	4	50%2 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	55cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x878a…a429backed Yes	56c	5,259$2,947 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,947.1	317	22.4%71 W · 246 L	-4.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	5,095$639 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$638.69	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	25c	5,055$1,264 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,263.93	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	45c	4,987$2,221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,220.73	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e87…4f64backed Yes	55c	4,918$2,698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,697.85	23	47.8%11 W · 12 L	+1.6wins	+0.07per pick	41cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5725…7571backed Yes	35c	4,896$1,714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,713.58	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.7wins	-0.29per pick	62cpaid	-54.3%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x555c…c64dbacked Yes	41c	4,604$1,882 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,881.74	143	32.9%47 W · 96 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	20c	4,442$903 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$903.39	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ae0…302dbacked No	65c	4,403$2,840 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,562.89	138	44.2%61 W · 77 L	+4.2wins	+0.03per pick	41cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	2c	4,280$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.44	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	5c	4,271$218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.51	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	4c	4,195$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.51	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa638…1d87backed Yes	53c	4,173$2,191 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,191.49	293	31.7%93 W · 200 L	+5.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	14c	4,163$566 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$565.92	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	4c	3,969$171 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170.9	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe9dc…6900backed Yes	7c	3,886$271 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.71	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	26cpaid	-29%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	11c	3,838$423 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$422.91	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf9ee…6b9bbacked Yes	9c	3,833$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.97	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	3,728$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.22	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	3,544$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.41	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	29c	3,455$1,004 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,003.62	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeeb9…6f7abacked No	64c	3,141$2,021 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,120.06	56	53.6%30 W · 26 L	-4.7wins	-0.08per pick	62cpaid	-19.5%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	40c	3,118$1,257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,257.18	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	22c	3,027$661 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$661.1	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7766…b7f6backed Yes	7c	3,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	321	10%32 W · 289 L	+4.9wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	+17.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Yes	3c	2,986$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.04	87	5.7%5 W · 82 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-65.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6d4…6d35backed Yes	63c	2,963$1,874 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,873.94	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	28cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x670d…ff9bbacked Yes	8c	2,936$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.3	57	17.5%10 W · 47 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	+38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	24c	2,821$671 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$671.47	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	39c	2,759$1,086 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,085.72	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa43e…ec90backed No	45c	2,744$1,240 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,503.92	37	45.9%17 W · 20 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	9c	2,641$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.89	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	28c	2,514$697 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$696.78	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	30c	2,504$748 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$748.08	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	16c	2,453$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$402.9	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	56c	2,447$1,374 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,373.69	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	24c	2,429$578 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$578	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa68f…5f55backed Yes	73c	2,403$1,765 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,764.93	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+91.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	41c	2,388$987 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$987.46	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	13c	2,382$301 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$301.29	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	44c	2,264$986 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$985.81	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	9c	2,238$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.08	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	73c	2,147$1,558 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$588.87	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	22c	2,115$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.89	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x102b…a7acbacked Yes	45c	2,098$934 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$933.93	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c3c…8f25backed Yes	58c	2,078$1,207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,206.85	29	34.5%10 W · 19 L	+1.6wins	+0.06per pick	29cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1d4…a31ebacked Yes	4c	2,071$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.04	109	17.4%19 W · 90 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	7c	2,069$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.16	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	10c	2,039$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.32	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	3c	2,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…d4febacked Yes	55c	1,971$1,079 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,078.96	59	30.5%18 W · 41 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	6c	1,926$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.79	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x038b…afc4backed Yes	53c	1,754$932 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$931.52	335	27.8%93 W · 242 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	27cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	7c	1,712$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.61	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a67…00f7backed No	47c	1,665$790 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$875.27	66	34.8%23 W · 43 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	+57%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed No	18c	1,656$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,356.25	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	7c	1,641$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.47	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	4c	1,628$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.28	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	7c	1,601$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.26	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	62c	1,563$963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$962.66	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x154b…49ebbacked Yes	34c	1,553$532 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$532.21	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.07per pick	26cpaid	+196%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	14c	1,510$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.57	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	1c	1,500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	27c	1,476$397 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$396.8	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…ed3ebacked Yes	72c	1,467$1,060 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,060.19	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.7wins	-0.05per pick	31cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	2c	1,440$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.83	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a70…76b5backed Yes	51c	1,434$725 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$725.42	42	31%13 W · 29 L	+2.6wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+124%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeae1…65ecbacked Yes	3c	1,387$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.19	93	17.2%16 W · 77 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1030…3e3abacked No	47c	1,345$627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$718.34	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.19per pick	68cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8bc2…7ed7backed Yes	74c	1,319$974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$973.82	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	58c	1,305$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$554.49	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x387c…2423backed Yes	59c	1,300$767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$767.34	176	28.4%50 W · 126 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb831…892bbacked Yes	15c	1,297$197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$196.54	179	17.9%32 W · 147 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-40%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	18c	1,253$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event