Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6abcf92fb4ec34e08ebdea9df09e57a9f0569c0631631f4d435ddd5aeeaa2ecf

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 13, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $613,997
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $366,399

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $613,997 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 520 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	49,989$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.99	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	30c	21,116$6,282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,281.57	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfafe…2e34backed Yes	23c	12,691$2,974 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,974.18	41	29.3%12 W · 29 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	35cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	19c	11,877$2,248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,247.9	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	2c	10,639$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.09	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	16c	7,856$1,218 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,218.49	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	3c	7,503$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225.32	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7579…94c6backed No	71c	7,274$5,189 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,084.83	16	75%12 W · 4 L	+1.8wins	+0.11per pick	64cpaid	+11.6%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66f0…ac16backed Yes	36c	7,026$2,522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,522.42	42	26.2%11 W · 31 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	27cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	7,000$570 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$570	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xaa43…d992backed Yes	0c	6,365$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.43	134	8.2%11 W · 123 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9994…03ddbacked Yes	1c	6,086$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.48	112	4.5%5 W · 107 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-67.9%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	64c	5,569$3,589 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,979.91	542	74.9%406 W · 136 L	+34.0wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	35c	5,332$1,879 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,878.9	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	5,217$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.91	1,060	8.4%89 W · 971 L	+29.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabb3…0519backed Yes	3c	4,705$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.61	64	17.2%11 W · 53 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-14%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7500…12bdbacked Yes	19c	4,647$865 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$864.65	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7091…af26backed Yes	29c	4,637$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,347.12	138	17.4%24 W · 114 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Yes	1c	4,546$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.3	143	8.4%12 W · 131 L	+4.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8007…a8f4backed No	77c	4,431$3,411 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,020.02	156	49.4%77 W · 79 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe488…f2c0backed Yes	15c	4,315$640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$640.39	73	19.2%14 W · 59 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	16cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f63…310dbacked Yes	38c	4,299$1,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,633.61	24	41.7%10 W · 14 L	+2.2wins	+0.09per pick	33cpaid	+34.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	74c	3,928$2,925 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,002.32	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c6…0ea8backed Yes	39c	3,445$1,344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,343.65	62	24.2%15 W · 47 L	-1.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-40.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb313…1ce7backed Yes	30c	3,382$1,023 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,022.82	17	17.6%3 W · 14 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	20cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	7c	3,379$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.79	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	1c	3,365$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.73	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xea1e…2858backed Yes	35c	3,276$1,143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,142.77	117	29.1%34 W · 83 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	11c	3,178$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.07	563	29.8%168 W · 395 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	18c	3,079$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$558.55	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	1c	3,075$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.02	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked No	63c	3,064$1,945 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,118.72	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa471…8b84backed Yes	32c	3,049$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.96	114	24.6%28 W · 86 L	+5.0wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	-2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed No	77c	2,974$2,299 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$674.94	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	28c	2,960$816 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$815.69	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a23…fd22backed Yes	27c	2,930$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$802.39	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.07per pick	19cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	10c	2,858$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.42	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	30c	2,839$852 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$851.65	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	24c	2,776$657 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.06	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	21c	2,277$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.98	1,036	11.1%115 W · 921 L	+4.8wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	21c	2,193$457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$456.59	2,545	13.2%335 W · 2,210 L	+4.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed No	70c	2,155$1,515 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$640.12	518	45.9%238 W · 280 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-15%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	20c	2,153$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$434.99	574	20.9%120 W · 454 L	+9.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdab8…bfbebacked Yes	36c	2,075$739 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$738.89	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed No	72c	2,062$1,476 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$586.14	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	22c	2,033$439 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$439.29	882	10.3%91 W · 791 L	-4.0wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	22c	2,000$440 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$440	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked No	77c	1,857$1,425 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$431.79	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	18c	1,836$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.48	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd84b…0df3backed Yes	23c	1,835$421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420.81	117	25.6%30 W · 87 L	-7.3wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6eb6…19bebacked Yes	18c	1,806$321 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$321.44	97	14.4%14 W · 83 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-21.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	20c	1,682$332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$331.91	876	18.4%161 W · 715 L	+9.5wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	19c	1,673$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.51	879	17.2%151 W · 728 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	1,662$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.3	1,190	8.7%104 W · 1,086 L	+31.1wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	40c	1,654$668 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$667.7	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	8c	1,626$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.6	781	8.7%68 W · 713 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	8c	1,601$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.03	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	77c	1,600$1,237 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$362.99	246	72.8%179 W · 67 L	+15.5wins	+0.06per pick	66cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5567…6178backed No	77c	1,518$1,167 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$350.95	37	40.5%15 W · 22 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc78b…2ca5backed Yes	34c	1,507$509 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$509.01	101	25.7%26 W · 75 L	-3.1wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	80c	1,500$1,197 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$302.99	186	76.9%143 W · 43 L	+11.9wins	+0.06per pick	70cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	19c	1,491$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$281.94	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked No	63c	1,491$932 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$558.98	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7a28…1df7backed Yes	7c	1,489$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.75	180	24.4%44 W · 136 L	+6.4wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	+28.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	35c	1,471$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$514.4	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x587d…e8cdbacked Yes	20c	1,359$276 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$276.1	41	19.5%8 W · 33 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-21.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc9c7…5d81backed Yes	36c	1,349$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.62	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	37cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8187…ff6abacked Yes	1c	1,323$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.61	133	14.3%19 W · 114 L	-3.7wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x091a…bfc9backed Yes	38c	1,234$469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$469	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+0.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	9c	1,225$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.4	1,040	13.7%142 W · 898 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xacb9…0754backed Yes	41c	1,180$484 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$483.67	96	36.5%35 W · 61 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked No	70c	1,114$776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$338.46	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5bae…ae53backed Yes	40c	1,093$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.21	36	25%9 W · 27 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6e6…e0bbbacked Yes	22c	1,078$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.4	187	26.7%50 W · 137 L	-1.6wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba3…33e0backed Yes	26c	1,060$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.9	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+5.7wins	+0.14per pick	32cpaid	+21.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x5034…3f34backed Yes	3c	1,026$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.46	91	14.3%13 W · 78 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	16cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	33c	1,020$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.99	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed No	68c	999.97$680 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.99	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	22c	986.71$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.83	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5b1…fca1backed Yes	30c	900$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x977b…40f6backed Yes	23c	883.06$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206	64	23.4%15 W · 49 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-34.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a3…450abacked No	74c	870$641 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$229	50	68%34 W · 16 L	+6.0wins	+0.12per pick	56cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	16c	864.72$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.27	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4d0a…c96fbacked Yes	19c	860.81$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.33	285	26.7%76 W · 209 L	-11.5wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x55b4…a846backed Yes	30c	800.87$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.82	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9856…8d02backed Yes	39c	800$312 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$312	39	33.3%13 W · 26 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0603…8f62backed No	63c	796.91$500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$296.99	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc1c…a37fbacked No	67c	788.84$527 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$261.91	119	31.1%37 W · 82 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbeab…d961backed Yes	7c	780.35$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.72	148	29.1%43 W · 105 L	+6.6wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-3.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5b67…60aabacked Yes	38c	769.16$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.28	141	37.6%53 W · 88 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64cc…0da1backed Yes	26c	755.43$194 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$194.48	111	18.9%21 W · 90 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked No	65c	750$488 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.5	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7535…33f5backed Yes	16c	737.32$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.01	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+1.8wins	+0.14per pick	25cpaid	+61.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	16c	720.78$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.08	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	20c	700$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141	826	14.9%123 W · 703 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa13f…1e76backed Yes	23c	693.45$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159.49	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	17cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	2c	690.49$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.22	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1907…8174backed Yes	16c	660$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.6	51	29.4%15 W · 36 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	29cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xe329…6d5ebacked Yes	5c	650.1$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.1	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	+3.1wins	+0.08per pick	15cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	41c	639.76$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.39	532	22.7%121 W · 411 L	-19.0wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event