Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d5b78defb0b25dc601d1ea6e643cfcce5ce980b6288c4e57915b524249d3965

Rebuilt 1 hour ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Apr 12, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $546,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $202,184

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $546,411 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	32,608$2,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,016.47	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7312…a168backed Yes	0c	23,268$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.28	73	1.4%1 W · 72 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	17,062$1,049 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,048.52	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	1c	14,565$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.13	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x682c…17aebacked Yes	6c	12,955$772 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$771.7	40	7.5%3 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	6c	12,461$802 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$801.52	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	7c	9,795$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.87	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	5c	9,660$504 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.59	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	4c	9,240$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.24	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	4c	8,928$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.82	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x907d…20c4backed Yes	0c	8,354$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.04	71	0%0 W · 71 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	8,344$403 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$403.37	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	5c	7,702$386 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$386.46	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…5ab4backed Yes	4c	6,370$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.37	80	2.5%2 W · 78 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-80.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	6,124$398 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.11	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	5c	6,008$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302.03	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	4c	5,641$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.55	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	4c	5,042$223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$222.56	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70be…044dbacked Yes	5c	5,000$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	79	12.7%10 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd0f…2154backed Yes	6c	4,906$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$294.92	344	25.6%88 W · 256 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-29.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	1c	4,802$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.21	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	5c	4,030$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.26	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	4c	3,952$155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.79	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x67da…440ebacked Yes	4c	3,867$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.91	211	6.6%14 W · 197 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	5c	3,573$174 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.53	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	6c	3,503$208 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$208.46	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	1c	3,500$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.5	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4e9…f380backed Yes	8c	3,479$261 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.43	176	31.8%56 W · 120 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2de4…c8e6backed Yes	7c	3,192$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.05	301	10.3%31 W · 270 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	4c	2,872$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.81	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	5c	2,791$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.85	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	6c	2,700$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.4	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7871…2917backed Yes	5c	2,546$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.8	108	29.6%32 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc194…c49cbacked Yes	5c	2,422$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.76	83	7.2%6 W · 77 L	-1.7wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	5c	2,374$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.74	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbced…7f66backed Yes	6c	2,312$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.29	197	26.9%53 W · 144 L	+4.7wins	+0.02per pick	25cpaid	+7.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	5c	2,293$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$108.3	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf06d…26f7backed Yes	4c	2,111$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.71	110	11.8%13 W · 97 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	9cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	2,091$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.14	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaa01…f1dfbacked Yes	2c	2,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	246	6.1%15 W · 231 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-53.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	4c	2,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	3c	1,964$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.67	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x11d1…0b41backed Yes	4c	1,918$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.5	76	10.5%8 W · 68 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	16cpaid	-44.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed Yes	5c	1,915$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.08	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x238f…3015backed Yes	4c	1,915$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.3	182	4.4%8 W · 174 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	3cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ca6…0ae3backed Yes	1c	1,789$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.22	189	39.2%74 W · 115 L	+15.8wins	+0.08per pick	31cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xdff3…7737backed Yes	5c	1,751$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.52	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	4c	1,737$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.27	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes	6c	1,667$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.52	122	13.9%17 W · 105 L	-4.5wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec4…bfe9backed Yes	5c	1,621$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.08	165	6.7%11 W · 154 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc30e…4bf0backed Yes	4c	1,559$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.56	57	15.8%9 W · 48 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-43.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	7c	1,519$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.88	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	5c	1,504$72 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.48	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e51…e4f7backed Yes	7c	1,480$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.99	388	28.6%111 W · 277 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-39.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0472…fc04backed Yes	6c	1,350$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.38	38	23.7%9 W · 29 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-30.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	5c	1,288$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.89	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe343…23fdbacked Yes	1c	1,281$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.02	154	35.1%54 W · 100 L	+6.7wins	+0.04per pick	31cpaid	-9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	5c	1,250$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.3	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	6c	1,175$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.03	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe197…5667backed Yes	5c	1,174$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.03	67	20.9%14 W · 53 L	+2.0wins	+0.03per pick	18cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	9c	1,159$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.87	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2cc4…9d29backed Yes	8c	1,142$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.79	10	30%3 W · 7 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	20cpaid	+8.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf92d…a225backed Yes	5c	1,140$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.29	233	8.2%19 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	+15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	2c	1,086$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.71	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x062d…500fbacked Yes	5c	1,064$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.1	114	8.8%10 W · 104 L	+1.6wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e99…72a0backed Yes	4c	1,054$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.21	145	7.6%11 W · 134 L	-6.0wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-37.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df5…1267backed Yes	6c	1,033$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.24	14	21.4%3 W · 11 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	12cpaid	+203.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x453a…fdb8backed Yes	6c	1,013$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.46	398	6.8%27 W · 371 L	+9.8wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe46…8b21backed Yes	6c	1,011$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.48	218	16.1%35 W · 183 L	+6.1wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa14a…df2abacked Yes	4c	1,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.25	562	8.9%50 W · 512 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdab8…bfbebacked Yes	6c	999.99$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-0.5wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf00a…65e8backed Yes	6c	975.12$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.4	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fb7…65b6backed Yes	5c	969.32$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.79	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-37.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9142…3536backed Yes	9c	961.28$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.51	13	7.7%1 W · 12 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	19cpaid	-48.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd5c…6d2abacked Yes	7c	838.02$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.47	625	39.5%247 W · 378 L	+48.1wins	+0.08per pick	32cpaid	+19.5%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x974d…a1efbacked Yes	5c	757.46$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.19	51	31.4%16 W · 35 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	3c	756.39$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.4	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8164…0813backed Yes	4c	706.52$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.67	277	7.9%22 W · 255 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	+35.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes	5c	684.96$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.93	996	19.8%197 W · 799 L	-15.9wins	-0.02per pick	21cpaid	-43.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db2…be55backed Yes	7c	683.04$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.33	58	22.4%13 W · 45 L	-2.5wins	-0.04per pick	27cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2559…460bbacked Yes	7c	677.19$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.38	264	18.6%49 W · 215 L	+8.7wins	+0.03per pick	15cpaid	+6.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb015…42c3backed Yes	3c	667$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.01	71	14.1%10 W · 61 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	+67.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6868…5198backed Yes	6c	600$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.7	36	16.7%6 W · 30 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	18cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a03…d5cebacked Yes	4c	598.3$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.59	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e7…06c1backed Yes	6c	591.16$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.43	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-0.8wins	-0.05per pick	12cpaid	-88.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c9c…6824backed Yes	3c	579.42$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.22	75	6.7%5 W · 70 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	7cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3f64…5e9cbacked Yes	6c	574.33$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.25	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2280…4ef5backed Yes	5c	561.45$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.15	82	15.9%13 W · 69 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-1.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	5c	557.33$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.08	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6054…3628backed Yes	7c	538.65$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.26	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.5wins	+0.07per pick	22cpaid	+67.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e83…30dabacked Yes	8c	537.68$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$44.31	94	23.4%22 W · 72 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1498…9f8ebacked Yes	4c	500$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.75	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-79.5%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	6c	496.32$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.27	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…599ebacked Yes	7c	489.85$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.67	142	8.5%12 W · 130 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-47.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcbec…b6a5backed Yes	7c	485.09$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.02	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.7wins	-0.22per pick	22cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7187…4859backed Yes	8c	463.19$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.31	233	14.2%33 W · 200 L	-4.7wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3b…88eabacked Yes	6c	450.99$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.18	204	13.2%27 W · 177 L	-9.4wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5830…f928backed Yes	6c	443.17$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.37	166	11.4%19 W · 147 L	+2.8wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+26.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa623…384fbacked Yes	7c	427.64$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.76	421	10%42 W · 379 L	+1.5wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4a43…71afbacked Yes	5c	424.99$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.96	128	8.6%11 W · 117 L	-4.9wins	-0.04per pick	12cpaid	-62.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event