TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x6e99…72a0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
219
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Tweets at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT1457.6%11 W · 134 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick12cpaid-37.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 145 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+2,264.3%+$339.64
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.63
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.66
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.45
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.47
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.81
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.05
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.62
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 27 to April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.5
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.85
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.25
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+300%+$55.5
Showing 25 of 145 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-34.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Middle East — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit Pakistan by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.22
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+496.5%+$496.47
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21.72
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.58
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Nasir Hosseini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 14 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick24cpaid-43.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$821Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$820.75
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.24
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$55.37
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$86.63
Will Galatasaray win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick14cpaid-34.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$1,205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,205
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+506.1%+$354.24
World Cup: Goalkeeper to Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$449Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$448.86
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$461Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$460.54
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
World Cup: Ronaldo to Score a Free Kick?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
World Cup Goals H2H: Messi vs. Ronaldobacked Messi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$15.71
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-60%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 10?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+300%+$75
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
All 10 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+17.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+193.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$85.48
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fact Check: Maduro capture staged?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Congress passes Iran war powers resolution by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.