TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$979,628

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $979,628 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 545 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4d30…a42dbacked No40c153,175$62,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62,0003342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd9…1ef0backed No39c110,010$42,904 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42,903.7510450%52 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes60c36,854$22,268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,586.181,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes74c35,633$26,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,383.490843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes60c32,228$19,259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,968.5850149.5%248 W · 253 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No39c26,765$10,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,471.2216740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed No40c26,185$10,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,6004445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes66c20,975$13,749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,226.164,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No25c20,331$5,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.87455.4%41 W · 33 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+19.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x306e…3a7cbacked Yes60c19,865$11,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,041.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+31.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes61c18,966$11,538 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,428.0150243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Yes59c18,888$11,144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,744.046127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes62c18,611$11,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,124.092,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes61c13,032$7,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,082.4850249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes61c11,549$7,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,512.8311146.8%52 W · 59 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2809…b26abacked No39c10,981$4,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,306.811723.5%4 W · 13 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-68.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x974f…2ab9backed Yes70c10,910$7,601 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,309.18333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-52.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No40c10,000$3,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,979.956640.9%27 W · 39 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+26.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed Yes60c9,000$5,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,60019255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Yes61c8,755$5,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,428.7764046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No41c8,400$3,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,4443240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+274.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes65c7,863$5,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,714.651,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Yes80c7,809$6,234 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,574.4212553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3355…14e0backed Yes61c7,710$4,703 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,006.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes60c7,421$4,466 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,954.6720449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No41c7,180$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.836243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9707…1861backed No37c6,679$2,484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,483.651330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-45.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked Yes60c5,555$3,344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,210.893145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Yes59c5,000$2,950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,049.947349.3%36 W · 37 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43b6…9a9bbacked No41c4,880$2,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000.751233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Yes60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,60015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6002532%8 W · 17 L-4.0wins-0.16per pick48cpaid-45.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes61c3,800$2,303 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4975253.8%28 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked No41c3,752$1,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5257439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes60c3,500$2,115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3851861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Yes59c3,390$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.833857.9%22 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes60c3,333$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,333.331353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Yes61c3,333$2,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,299.877443.2%32 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Yes61c3,266$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,266.31662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No41c3,195$1,310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,310.082646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd03…0ab3backed Yes79c2,935$2,331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604.131100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+25.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26f2…65d8backed No38c2,871$1,091 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,090.9850%0 W · 5 L-2.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1c98…186dbacked No41c2,781$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.061020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Yes61c2,628$1,590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.9426550.9%135 W · 130 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x56c2…17bfbacked Yes58c2,603$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,093.053627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes59c2,542$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,042.374025%10 W · 30 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes60c2,510$1,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9941,03547.9%496 W · 539 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d0c…bcebbacked No42c2,500$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0509058.9%53 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+30.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No5c2,500$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Yes59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,02510848.1%52 W · 56 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Yes63c2,473$1,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$925.860147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes60c2,289$1,384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$904.6689050%445 W · 445 L+24.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea9…484fbacked Yes61c2,116$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$828.861338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-40.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes61c2,062$1,252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$809.6632545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a4…8441backed Yes58c2,000$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8401844.4%8 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Yes59c2,000$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8137553.3%40 W · 35 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No41c2,000$820 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82030446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No20c2,000$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408.5411336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes61c1,975$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.4149447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3497…812bbacked Yes58c1,724$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.141154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.342441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick54cpaid-33.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.3415646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d39…a4fbbacked No20c1,501$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.83330.3%10 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-21.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Yes63c1,500$945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes60c1,473$887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$586.3453242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Yes62c1,384$858 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.872828.6%8 W · 20 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-52.5%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Yes59c1,344$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$555.016460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1333…173bbacked No38c1,316$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.98825%2 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes61c1,309$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508.887550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No40c1,275$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.8792254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes60c1,267$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.471,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x363e…ae45backed No16c1,084$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.111915.8%3 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick26cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No19c1,065$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.7360732.5%197 W · 410 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a5…64ffbacked Yes63c1,035$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$384.843100%3 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+41.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbb85…bf3ebacked No18c1,010$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Yes60c1,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4004040%16 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc443…359bbacked No44c952.09$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.5621641.7%90 W · 126 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Yes61c942$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.384259.5%25 W · 17 L+3.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+15.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc70d…a6f9backed Yes61c901.64$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.642040%8 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-31%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfcb3…9dfdbacked Yes59c847.46$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.462100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+47.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Yes59c833.9$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$341.91450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5176…9712backed Yes60c820$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+27.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Yes62c806.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.451464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+21.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb84e…f1dbbacked No41c800$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick50cpaid-68.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes59c800$472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3289751.5%50 W · 47 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f1…3a05backed No33c788.5$261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.2913728.5%39 W · 98 L-5.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-32.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8ef…e9fabacked No41c780$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$319.830%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6882…762bbacked Yes60c770$462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16ec…ae94backed Yes75c756.02$570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.021877.8%14 W · 4 L+4.0wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+43.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1997…0d61backed No41c740$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.4450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x11f8…d897backed Yes60c730$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick59cpaid+71.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8ed…0c39backed Yes63c723.27$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.273100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+78.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No26c717.56$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.983,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0438…9d98backed No42c714.29$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004235.7%15 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes58c713.11$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.5169142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes61c700$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27426853%142 W · 126 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No13c683.12$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.571,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c80…77b7backed Yes74c670$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.24854.2%26 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes61c655.74$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.7410250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes58c653.42$379 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.4424145.2%109 W · 132 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.