La Liga · resolved market
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x846ef9aab48d585330d135d94c810c025b5f3825809ba4184793ae195e34bc10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $193,512
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $193,512 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x974f…2ab9backed Yes | 3c | 16,671$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 9c | 10,914$956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.33 | 908 | 43.6%396 W · 512 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c23…f642backed Yes | 13c | 7,000$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 14c | 3,393$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$474.52 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b93…e941backed Yes | 13c | 3,271$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.28 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 36cpaid | -80.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 3,183$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.15 | 213 | 22.1%47 W · 166 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 12c | 2,233$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.68 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17f1…af18backed Yes | 4c | 2,222$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 14c | 2,143$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…b084backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 1c | 1,960$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yes | 14c | 1,814$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -74%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 15c | 1,667$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +4.1wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Yes | 13c | 1,482$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.13 | 265 | 50.9%135 W · 130 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 4c | 1,416$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.99 | 137 | 28.5%39 W · 98 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…abe7backed Yes | 2c | 1,111$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ca…5a71backed Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 74 | 52.7%39 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffbe…77a0backed Yes | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 12c | 416.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.04 | 489 | 34.4%168 W · 321 L | +26.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2f…a3d8backed Yes | 14c | 409.99$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.35 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 36cpaid | -78%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd47a…4e85backed Yes | 13c | 368.53$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.86 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes | 14c | 361.41$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0768…a4d1backed Yes | 14c | 330.07$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5db…f982backed Yes | 14c | 282$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.48 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 12c | 270.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7c…958ebacked Yes | 6c | 244$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 113 | 36.3%41 W · 72 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +450.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Yes | 13c | 230.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 9c | 218.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.69 | 610 | 32.3%197 W · 413 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…621abacked Yes | 13c | 216.62$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 11c | 200$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 140 | 23.6%33 W · 107 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ff…c9ddbacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes | 15c | 133.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 37cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e82…86f6backed Yes | 13c | 117.23$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 62cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xebf6…8644backed Yes | 13c | 115.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…3313backed Yes | 14c | 107.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…58e1backed Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffff…4413backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 36.9%24 W · 41 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5042…f786backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 13c | 98.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1342…7ddebacked Yes | 15c | 93.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 14c | 92.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab4…d09cbacked Yes | 13c | 85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa70c…08d3backed Yes | 14c | 72.08$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Getafe CF win on 2026-03-14?this page
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?No won
- Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.