TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb30c…6cef

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
252
Categories scored
24
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Champions League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 56 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT9632.3%31 W · 65 L+0.1wins0.00per pick32cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 96 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+1,566.7%+$940
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$323.47
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.42
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$130.86
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.21
Knicks vs. Hawksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.35
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.81
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+203.3%+$33.95
Will Jaylen Brown win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.6
Warriors vs. Sunsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.21
Hornets vs. Magicbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+203%+$35.47
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.32
Warriors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+299.9%+$68.18
Timberwolves vs. Rocketsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+312.4%+$33.4
Grizzlies vs. Nuggetsbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Cavaliers vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.77
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.26
Suns vs. Hornetsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Pacers vs. Bullsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$33.34
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$33.27
Pistons vs. Thunder: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.25
Pistons vs. Thunderbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.01
Wizards vs. Lakersbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.5
Cavaliers vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.31
Showing 25 of 96 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT2737%10 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 27 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.79
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$73.81
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.47
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Liverpool FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+192.3%+$23.46
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.29
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$34.05
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$46.14
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$42.5
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.1
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$17.49
Spread: Manchester United FC (-1.5)backed Manchester United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+179.4%+$143.56
Will Everton FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$11.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+156.4%+$37.13
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: AFC Bournemouth (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$19.9
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+80.3%+$12.33
Spread: Aston Villa FC (-1.5)backed Aston Villa FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20.6
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+104.1%+$28.1
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 27 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT2330.4%7 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-04-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.5
Spread: Melbourne Victory FC (-1.5)backed Melbourne Victory FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Melbourne City FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)backed Sydney FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will Brisbane Roar FC vs. Sydney FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+62.4%+$21.22
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+218.3%+$77.48
Will Sydney FC vs. Melbourne City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Sydney FC (-1.5)backed Sydney FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will Melbourne Victory FC win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$51.08
Spread: Western Sydney Wanderers FC (-1.5)backed Western Sydney Wanderers FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+108.3%+$16
Spread: Adelaide United FC (-1.5)backed Adelaide United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Macarthur FC vs. Western Sydney Wanderers FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+85.2%+$17.04
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$17.33
Will Newcastle United Jets FC win on 2026-02-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$39.77
Will Brisbane Roar FC win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Will Sydney FC vs. Brisbane Roar FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Adelaide United FC win on 2026-01-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will Wellington Phoenix FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+455.6%+$95.67
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST-100%-$32.4
All 23 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT1752.9%9 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick39cpaid+74.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.56
Spread: FC Bayern München (-1.5)backed FC Bayern München · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.99
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$45.21
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.53
Spread: Liverpool FC (-1.5)backed Galatasaray SK · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed FC Barcelona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$76.67
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$101.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+89%+$87.25
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.17
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$63.64
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+127.3%+$15.27
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$21.43
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+1,011.1%+$121.33
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+153.4%+$49.09
Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 17 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT1717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-55.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.69
Jiangsu Dragons vs. Fujian Sturgeonsbacked Jiangsu Dragons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.1
Jilin Northeast Tigers vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Jilin Northeast Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.99
Xinjiang Flying Tigers vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Xinjiang Flying Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.19
Beijing Ducks vs. Qingdao Eaglesbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.57
Fujian Sturgeons vs. Zhejiang Golden Bullsbacked Fujian Sturgeons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$28.05
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Shenzhen Leopardsbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.8
Zhejiang Lions vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Guangdong Southern Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$34.19
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Ningbo Rocketsbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.51
Shenzhen Leopards vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Zhejiang Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.92
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Guangzhou Loong Lionsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.72
Nanjing Monkey King vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Nanjing Monkey King · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.53
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shanghai Sharksbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.93
Guangzhou Loong Lions vs. Liaoning Flying Leopardsbacked Guangzhou Loong Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+67.1%+$25.97
Sichuan Blue Whales vs. Zhejiang Lionsbacked Sichuan Blue Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.38
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shandong Hi-Speed Kirin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.6
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 11, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
World Cup game relocated away from Mexico?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Will France win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Georgia win on 2026-03-29?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Mexico vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+172.2%+$19.46
Will Senegal win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)backed Côte d'Ivoire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+203%+$40.61
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Korea Republic: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$8.09
Will England vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+32%+$10.55
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$20.77
Will Denmark win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Türkiye vs. Romania end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.9
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+54.1%+$189.31
Will Türkiye win on 2026-03-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.7
All 13 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: AS Roma (-1.5)backed AS Roma · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$20.42
Will US Cremonese win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.81
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Will AS Roma win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$12.6
Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$14
Spread: ACF Fiorentina (-1.5)backed ACF Fiorentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$35
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-01-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+100%+$10
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.34
All 9 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick34cpaid+64.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Alexa Grasso vs. Maycee Barber (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)backed Alexa Grasso · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$26.05
UFC Fight Night: Movsar Evloev vs. Lerone Murphy (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Movsar Evloev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+163.9%+$267.86
UFC Fight Night: Gillian Robertson vs. Amanda Lemos (Women's Strawweight, Main Card)backed Amanda Lemos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
UFC Fight Night: Brandon Moreno vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Kavanagh · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+170.3%+$33.88
UFC Fight Night: Marlon Vera vs. David Martinez (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Vera · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$26.55
UFC Fight Night: Sean Strickland vs. Anthony Hernandez (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+244.8%+$85.69
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$34
All 7 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-66.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+46.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+77.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-53.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-04-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Will CD Guadalajara win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Olympique de Marseille (-1.5)backed Olympique de Marseille · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Final - Canada vs. USAbacked USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+78.9%+$33.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+29.1%+$287.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
U.S. Government Funding Lapse on January 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia enter Bilytske by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toronto FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Connecticut Huskies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Cirie Fields be voted off Survivor Season 50 this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.