TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,858
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,041

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,858 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Yes15c20,933$3,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,073.922,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No76c6,118$4,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,468.422268.2%15 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+44.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes14c4,405$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$625.1696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97f9…0aebbacked No77c4,334$3,336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$998.23158.1%18 W · 13 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+38.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d99…8c95backed Yes24c2,800$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes25c2,399$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$599.7617744.1%78 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes24c2,044$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.5233148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No76c1,656$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.4641854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0100…9babbacked Yes13c1,546$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick31cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes24c1,500$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36024939.4%98 W · 151 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc686…5a55backed Yes15c1,328$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20016032.5%52 W · 108 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Yes9c1,068$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3416838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked No77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23048144.1%212 W · 269 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…40d5backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2505064%32 W · 18 L+4.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+20.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed No75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2502766.7%18 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0686…ee91backed No76c988.43$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No76c987.93$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.198544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Yes14c958.29$134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.162552%13 W · 12 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+27.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x148e…a431backed Yes7c714.29$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50862.5%5 W · 3 L+2.9wins+0.36per pick27cpaid+225.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcf00…353fbacked Yes10c706$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.64320.9%9 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick29cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd121…b0a5backed Yes4c666.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53f7…2544backed Yes15c666.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes24c625$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503948.7%19 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes25c600$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1504447.7%21 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No77c588.31$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.314553.3%24 W · 21 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2727…eef4backed Yes10c560.9$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.312924.1%7 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick20cpaid+29.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafce…c2f6backed No76c500$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1201060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+118.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7388…2887backed No76c475$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1141100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95a…d895backed Yes15c425$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.756936.2%25 W · 44 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa4…5e77backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.11per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d1f…4965backed Yes12c346.33$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes24c342.89$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.292330.4%7 W · 16 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes13c312.9$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.5151139.1%200 W · 311 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes7c312.29$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.237138%27 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes9c312.11$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.843056.7%17 W · 13 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x814c…7ffabacked Yes24c300$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7226046.9%122 W · 138 L-0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45244.2%1 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-81.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa770…c45cbacked No76c293.09$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.342100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Yes23c255.11$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.6868750.8%349 W · 338 L+3.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes24c237.07$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.921445.8%98 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5019652%102 W · 94 L-0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd094…271bbacked Yes25c185.52$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.384825%12 W · 36 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-18.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Yes25c180$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457237.5%27 W · 45 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-11.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No75c180$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4523353.6%125 W · 108 L+14.7wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf6b1…f8d3backed No76c176$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.24560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+35%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b6…61babacked Yes25c168$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbde3…8e1dbacked Yes24c166.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes24c142$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0841943.9%184 W · 235 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes23c138.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.8793252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes24c135.5$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.525424.1%13 W · 41 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-27.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5404…5e58backed Yes16c129.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.17439.2%29 W · 45 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cd…e951backed No77c129$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.672080%16 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.08per pick72cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes14c105.66$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$158617.4%15 W · 71 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick21cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d97…7d3bbacked Yes24c104.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfccd…02d6backed No75c100$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254379.1%34 W · 9 L+6.7wins+0.16per pick64cpaid+21.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Yes15c100$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1026744.6%119 W · 148 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b43…9e23backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246040%24 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd80f…92febacked Yes25c100$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251625%4 W · 12 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Yes24c100$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2446047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa686…19e0backed Yes24c90.45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.712450%12 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+41.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb30c…6cefbacked Yes16c87.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.18per pick40cpaid-54.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Yes15c84.46$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.6423244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No77c81.87$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8314553.1%77 W · 68 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x29bf…08a1backed Yes16c80$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83243.8%14 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe343…5c31backed Yes13c79.44$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.712626.9%7 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+26.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes25c75$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.7526241.2%108 W · 154 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid-4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Yes15c68.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5324955%137 W · 112 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8f5b…ba31backed Yes25c64$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick33cpaid-36.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f42…7d44backed No77c60.39$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac3…1a9dbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154533.3%15 W · 30 L-4.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-32.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes25c60$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed Yes23c58.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.613237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b89…1069backed No76c57$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.68580%4 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick65cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0547…fb35backed No75c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.55176.5%39 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.10per pick66cpaid+9.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9aaf…8298backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1223245.3%105 W · 127 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125431.5%17 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-24%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd257…d215backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1211619%22 W · 94 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes23c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5524953.8%134 W · 115 L+20.7wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xddd7…1596backed Yes24c49.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1232150.2%161 W · 160 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No76c49.98$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128158%47 W · 34 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3435…a117backed Yes24c43.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick31cpaid-57.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x564b…8348backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-37.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc17e…b39abacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102965.5%19 W · 10 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcc4e…5ee6backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ea8…b084backed Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102948.3%14 W · 15 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+26.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes25c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107740.3%31 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-18.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xa870…2cd1backed No76c38.69$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.299078.9%71 W · 19 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick76cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No77c32.4$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.3452748%253 W · 274 L-35.4wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-18.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe4d8…19c5backed No76c30$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.22673.1%19 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb308…840bbacked No77c22.43$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.162100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x449e…4f8ebacked No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.82166.7%14 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f43…a080backed No76c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.81172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+23%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.