Serie A · resolved market
Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x70db62c272be37a783c009b3de7aef0425a2014ff1d440009dbedd9c575161ad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $94,990
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $91,834
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $94,990 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 4c | 22,964$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.12 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19bc…a66abacked Yes | 8c | 12,092$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa349…81ecbacked Yes | 5c | 4,557$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.86 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585c…f0a7backed Yes | 16c | 3,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.99 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed Yes | 3c | 2,881$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Yes | 2c | 2,512$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.26 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97f9…0aebbacked Yes | 16c | 2,293$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.95 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Yes | 1c | 1,482$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,477$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.38 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520e…ad5ebacked Yes | 16c | 1,290$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 5c | 1,080$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.84 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.45 | 129 | 20.2%26 W · 103 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 2c | 787.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 511 | 39.1%200 W · 311 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 2c | 678.23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.56 | 168 | 19.6%33 W · 135 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a9…30bcbacked Yes | 17c | 671$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Yes | 8c | 634.53$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe4…e51fbacked Yes | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…de5dbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 15c | 511.2$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.68 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 6c | 508.73$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.42 | 308 | 28.9%89 W · 219 L | -10.4wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0531…3770backed Yes | 17c | 500$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f61…ea25backed Yes | 17c | 400$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x469e…d9ccbacked Yes | 17c | 342.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Yes | 17c | 267.78$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.52 | 67 | 44.8%30 W · 37 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 13c | 250.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.38 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe02f…3d4cbacked Yes | 14c | 200$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Yes | 17c | 182.59$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b6…61babacked Yes | 17c | 162.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 16c | 149.61$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 687 | 50.8%349 W · 338 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 17c | 149.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.41 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Yes | 17c | 127.24$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7cb…83a5backed Yes | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 17c | 111.76$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 17c | 105$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…9e23backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d9…0293backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f5b…ba31backed Yes | 17c | 94.12$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7825…89a0backed Yes | 17c | 89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02f4…4effbacked Yes | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Yes | 15c | 83.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.59 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 17c | 83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 262 | 41.2%108 W · 154 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 17c | 69.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc02…8b1cbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 40cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e2…0dcdbacked Yes | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Pisa SC win on 2026-02-23?this page
- Will ACF Fiorentina vs. Pisa SC end in a draw?No won
- Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-02-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.