TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2f61…ea25

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
58
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: La Liga, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 56 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 7, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$231Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$69
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.82
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.72
Pacers vs. Cavaliersbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.08
Knicks vs. Grizzliesbacked Grizzlies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$72.89
Nets vs. Warriorsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$128
Pelicans vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$308Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$92
76ers vs. Nuggetsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$88
Timberwolves vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$88
76ers vs. Pistonsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.45
Pacers vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$435Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$115.5
Mavericks vs. Hornetsbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$144Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$144
Jazz vs. Heatbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+270.4%+$328.5
Spurs vs. Mavericksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST+37%+$67.5
Bulls vs. Raptorsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$87.5
Nets vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST+37%+$81
Nuggets vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+26.6%+$52.5
Pacers vs. Rocketsbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$60
All 20 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick46cpaid+160%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-2.1wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Alabama Crimson Tide vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Alabama Crimson Tide · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.22
Utah State Aggies vs. Arizona Wildcatsbacked Utah State Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.41
Illinois State Redbirds vs. Wake Forest Demon Deaconsbacked Wake Forest Demon Deacons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$298Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$298.03
SMU Mustangs vs. Miami (OH) RedHawksbacked Miami (OH) RedHawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$71.49
All 4 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-55%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2last resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-55%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick50cpaid+175%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadian Open: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Nuno Borgesbacked Nuno Borges · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$87.5
Miami Open: Sebastian Korda vs Martin Landalucebacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$304
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletics vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$280
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 2 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
UFC — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Sharksbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$250
All 1 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Jan 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
College Football — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami vs. Indianabacked Indiana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+35.1%+$91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Qarabağ Ağdam FK win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$162
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jan 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$140
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.