TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Vitalityof Natus Vincere, Vitality
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,593,181
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,629,215

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,593,181 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 926 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere19c122,749$23,536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,535.9442440.3%171 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked Vitality79c46,324$36,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,728.077054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Vitality79c45,960$36,421 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,539.3429858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Natus Vincere20c40,750$8,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,1507147.9%34 W · 37 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef2…79f9backed Natus Vincere24c40,691$9,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,9001020%2 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick28cpaid-50.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba38…e406backed Natus Vincere19c40,000$7,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,599.945156.9%29 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere20c37,978$7,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,595.695,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa69d…509bbacked Vitality68c37,885$25,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,276.819757.4%113 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Natus Vincere18c35,000$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,3009954.5%54 W · 45 L+8.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x8fbb…9a17backed Natus Vincere9c32,368$3,074 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,074.315947.8%76 W · 83 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere40c32,350$12,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,863.1476657.8%443 W · 323 L+3.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e8c…6323backed Natus Vincere21c31,143$6,540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,54040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1e4…4f8abacked Natus Vincere21c29,674$6,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,1009232.6%30 W · 62 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x153a…9d6dbacked Natus Vincere19c28,275$5,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,280.6512847.7%61 W · 67 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed Natus Vincere21c26,147$5,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,3972240.9%9 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cb4…00eabacked Vitality79c25,317$20,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,316.574957.1%28 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick63cpaid-5.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa938…3bc8backed Vitality80c25,300$20,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0603100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8525backed Vitality60c25,000$14,976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,024.441942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf054…eae7backed Natus Vincere21c23,262$4,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,885.056737.3%25 W · 42 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf989…47ccbacked Natus Vincere18c22,619$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,0003020%6 W · 24 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick23cpaid+8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8c…ba13backed Natus Vincere40c22,500$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+47.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere21c22,222$4,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,666.6233343.8%146 W · 187 L-14.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Vitality72c19,479$14,068 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,410.893,25950.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L+98.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere0c19,184$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3757422.5%129 W · 445 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick23cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af1…d739backed Natus Vincere20c18,426$3,685 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,685.277454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere13c18,297$2,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3381,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7128…75a2backed Natus Vincere18c17,348$3,045 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,045.11812.5%1 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee3e…ebb5backed Vitality79c17,000$13,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,613.552100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality61c15,000$9,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,85050254.2%272 W · 230 L-11.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f49…463abacked Natus Vincere20c15,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,00017945.3%81 W · 98 L-0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Natus Vincere14c14,853$2,115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,114.8255343.2%239 W · 314 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5903…d02bbacked Natus Vincere2c14,250$336 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$335.545230.8%16 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick37cpaid+18.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4e7…6a52backed Natus Vincere23c14,141$3,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,187.122055%11 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88d1…18dabacked Vitality80c12,490$9,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,49822654.9%124 W · 102 L-9.8wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere16c12,200$1,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,959.4533232.2%107 W · 225 L-0.8wins0.00per pick32cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Vitality79c11,012$8,720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,292.442341.8%177 W · 246 L-0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41e8…b994backed Vitality79c10,316$8,119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,197.166240.3%25 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44d9…01e3backed Vitality80c10,050$8,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0101050%5 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-27.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1a47…235bbacked Natus Vincere4c10,044$425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$425506%3 W · 47 L-5.5wins-0.11per pick17cpaid-76.5%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed Natus Vincere20c10,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0001533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cbf…0eb4backed Vitality78c10,000$7,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,199.9937157.7%214 W · 157 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Vitality79c10,000$7,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,099.9917837.6%67 W · 111 L-15.3wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-18.9%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8767…237abacked Vitality78c9,733$7,608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125.73366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Natus Vincere19c9,631$1,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,786.166841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Natus Vincere21c8,605$1,766 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,766.136240.3%146 W · 216 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x24de…83cbbacked Vitality80c8,000$6,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,600966.7%6 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc778…8d85backed Vitality71c7,802$5,540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.613151.6%16 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere31c7,783$2,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,449.031,61945.5%737 W · 882 L+31.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecee…a577backed Natus Vincere15c7,650$1,128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,128.498226.8%22 W · 60 L-7.3wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x41dc…9c3dbacked Natus Vincere21c7,591$1,594 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,594.185630.4%17 W · 39 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf2a…5ae1backed Natus Vincere21c6,905$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,450.1512955%71 W · 58 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c3…d0cdbacked Vitality79c6,700$5,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,406.98862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+45.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47b3…039cbacked Natus Vincere9c6,649$568 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$568.245742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.3wins0.00per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc5d5…6caabacked Natus Vincere4c6,400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.19per pick19cpaid+79.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e23…e933backed Vitality80c6,277$5,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,257.7612660.3%76 W · 50 L-0.3wins0.00per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49ac…2f1ebacked Vitality80c6,250$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,25027851.4%143 W · 135 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere5c6,164$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.7261228.9%177 W · 435 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked Natus Vincere19c6,150$1,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,168.510550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x16d6…225ebacked Natus Vincere1c6,137$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.044233.3%14 W · 28 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-22%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd888…3c9fbacked Natus Vincere9c6,107$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.518258.5%48 W · 34 L+9.9wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+28.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere35c6,082$2,105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,104.981,26346.9%592 W · 671 L+18.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere33c6,061$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.1487847.9%421 W · 457 L+16.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc1d…be30backed Vitality79c6,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.99977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick69cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality79c6,000$4,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,259.9939454.3%214 W · 180 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere36c5,994$2,168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,167.6189546.8%419 W · 476 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-15.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66ec…8c18backed Natus Vincere5c5,987$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.958416.7%14 W · 70 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-38.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere39c5,740$2,232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,231.695,34131.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L-390.7wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere35c5,668$1,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,974.351,06049%519 W · 541 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12b…bb4fbacked Natus Vincere0c5,664$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1540%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f25…51f3backed Vitality80c5,590$4,472 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1183966.7%26 W · 13 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e6a…97f2backed Natus Vincere0c5,505$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Natus Vincere11c5,431$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.8231253.5%167 W · 145 L+14.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+13.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1fe4…d0f1backed Vitality80c5,370$4,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,07412252.5%64 W · 58 L+0.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf053…3939backed Vitality64c5,245$3,339 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.185867.2%39 W · 19 L+5.4wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+11.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x510b…795bbacked Vitality80c5,101$4,081 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,020.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere10c5,100$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.781544.4%362 W · 453 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Natus Vincere20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00021924.2%53 W · 166 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d87…a82bbacked Natus Vincere20c5,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0005244.2%23 W · 29 L+0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+16.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdcaf…e271backed Natus Vincere21c5,000$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.9837946.4%176 W · 203 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere19c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.9835254%190 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere34c4,968$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67253737.1%199 W · 338 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked Natus Vincere21c4,900$1,029 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02919529.2%57 W · 138 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-26.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17b0…4041backed Vitality63c4,788$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,787.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+59.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7dd…a02abacked Vitality80c4,785$3,816 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$969.265850%29 W · 29 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34a5…9450backed Natus Vincere21c4,762$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003033.3%10 W · 20 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-17.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8165…59d0backed Vitality78c4,616$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,016.351283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+39.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Natus Vincere15c4,598$680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$680.3915255.3%84 W · 68 L+8.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere36c4,461$1,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,602.351,51357.2%865 W · 648 L+65.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+0.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Vitality79c4,420$3,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$928.21,16748.2%562 W · 605 L+1.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x787f…d40cbacked Vitality80c4,355$3,484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87128440.5%115 W · 169 L-17.0wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x835b…6f16backed Natus Vincere21c4,215$885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.153748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+22.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Natus Vincere12c4,167$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.2wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Natus Vincere24c4,075$970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97018933.9%64 W · 125 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed Vitality80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80088242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80028538.2%109 W · 176 L-10.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality80c4,000$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80018754.5%102 W · 85 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001,42333.6%478 W · 945 L+41.8wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x24a5…b3bbbacked Natus Vincere20c4,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80029127.5%80 W · 211 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick26cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35c8…ce5cbacked Natus Vincere18c3,976$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710.2410837%40 W · 68 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x789b…11f8backed Natus Vincere39c3,914$1,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,526.433865.8%25 W · 13 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.