CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x351a5c6a0437b88fa7997b1232e8b52a30999eb3079a99f5a6481f502e71f1b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Natus Vincere, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,593,181
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,629,215
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,593,181 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 926 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 122,749$23,536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,535.94 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85a4…9aabbacked Vitality | 79c | 46,324$36,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,728.07 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7193…ae51backed Vitality | 79c | 45,960$36,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,539.34 | 298 | 58.4%174 W · 124 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 40,750$8,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,150 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef2…79f9backed Natus Vincere | 24c | 40,691$9,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,900 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 40,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.94 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 37,978$7,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,595.69 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa69d…509bbacked Vitality | 68c | 37,885$25,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,276.8 | 197 | 57.4%113 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc40…89cfbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 35,000$6,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,300 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +8.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Natus Vincere | 9c | 32,368$3,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,074.3 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 32,350$12,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,863.14 | 766 | 57.8%443 W · 323 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…6323backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 31,143$6,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,540 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 29,674$6,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,100 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 28,275$5,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,280.65 | 128 | 47.7%61 W · 67 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 26,147$5,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,397 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb4…00eabacked Vitality | 79c | 25,317$20,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,316.57 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc8backed Vitality | 80c | 25,300$20,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4d…8525backed Vitality | 60c | 25,000$14,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,024.44 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf054…eae7backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 23,262$4,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,885.05 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 22,619$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8c…ba13backed Natus Vincere | 40c | 22,500$9,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,999.96 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 22,222$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.62 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Vitality | 72c | 19,479$14,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,410.89 | 3,259 | 50.3%1,639 W · 1,620 L | +98.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 19,184$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.37 | 574 | 22.5%129 W · 445 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af1…d739backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 18,426$3,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,685.27 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Natus Vincere | 13c | 18,297$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338 | 1,629 | 44.8%730 W · 899 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7128…75a2backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 17,348$3,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,045.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…ebb5backed Vitality | 79c | 17,000$13,387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,613.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 61c | 15,000$9,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,850 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f49…463abacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 15,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 179 | 45.3%81 W · 98 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa35b…60e9backed Natus Vincere | 14c | 14,853$2,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,114.82 | 553 | 43.2%239 W · 314 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5903…d02bbacked Natus Vincere | 2c | 14,250$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.54 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e7…6a52backed Natus Vincere | 23c | 14,141$3,187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,187.12 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88d1…18dabacked Vitality | 80c | 12,490$9,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,498 | 226 | 54.9%124 W · 102 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 12,200$1,959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,959.45 | 332 | 32.2%107 W · 225 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a63…fc03backed Vitality | 79c | 11,012$8,720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,292.4 | 423 | 41.8%177 W · 246 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41e8…b994backed Vitality | 79c | 10,316$8,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,197.16 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44d9…01e3backed Vitality | 80c | 10,050$8,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,010 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…235bbacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 10,044$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 50 | 6%3 W · 47 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 17cpaid | -76.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5a…63f9backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 10,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbf…0eb4backed Vitality | 78c | 10,000$7,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 371 | 57.7%214 W · 157 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5038…6236backed Vitality | 79c | 10,000$7,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,099.99 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -15.3wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8767…237abacked Vitality | 78c | 9,733$7,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125.73 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…7980backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 9,631$1,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.16 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…e1cabacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 8,605$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766.1 | 362 | 40.3%146 W · 216 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked Vitality | 80c | 8,000$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,600 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc778…8d85backed Vitality | 71c | 7,802$5,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,261.61 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 31c | 7,783$2,449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,449.03 | 1,619 | 45.5%737 W · 882 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed Natus Vincere | 15c | 7,650$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.49 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x41dc…9c3dbacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 7,591$1,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.18 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 6,905$1,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,450.15 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c3…d0cdbacked Vitality | 79c | 6,700$5,293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47b3…039cbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 6,649$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.24 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5d5…6caabacked Natus Vincere | 4c | 6,400$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 19cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e23…e933backed Vitality | 80c | 6,277$5,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,257.76 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49ac…2f1ebacked Vitality | 80c | 6,250$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 278 | 51.4%143 W · 135 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere | 5c | 6,164$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.72 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2a5…391cbacked Natus Vincere | 19c | 6,150$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,168.5 | 105 | 50.5%53 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…225ebacked Natus Vincere | 1c | 6,137$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.04 | 42 | 33.3%14 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -22%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd888…3c9fbacked Natus Vincere | 9c | 6,107$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$563.51 | 82 | 58.5%48 W · 34 L | +9.9wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 6,082$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.98 | 1,263 | 46.9%592 W · 671 L | +18.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed Natus Vincere | 33c | 6,061$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.14 | 878 | 47.9%421 W · 457 L | +16.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc1d…be30backed Vitality | 79c | 6,000$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d40…ec52backed Vitality | 79c | 6,000$4,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,259.99 | 394 | 54.3%214 W · 180 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Natus Vincere | 36c | 5,994$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.61 | 895 | 46.8%419 W · 476 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ec…8c18backed Natus Vincere | 5c | 5,987$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.95 | 84 | 16.7%14 W · 70 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 5,740$2,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231.69 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 5,668$1,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.35 | 1,060 | 49%519 W · 541 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd12b…bb4fbacked Natus Vincere | 0c | 5,664$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f25…51f3backed Vitality | 80c | 5,590$4,472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,118 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6a…97f2backed Natus Vincere | 0c | 5,505$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Natus Vincere | 11c | 5,431$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615.82 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe4…d0f1backed Vitality | 80c | 5,370$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,074 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf053…3939backed Vitality | 64c | 5,245$3,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,906.18 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x510b…795bbacked Vitality | 80c | 5,101$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere | 10c | 5,100$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.7 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 219 | 24.2%53 W · 166 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d87…a82bbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 5,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 379 | 46.4%176 W · 203 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Natus Vincere | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.98 | 352 | 54%190 W · 162 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Natus Vincere | 34c | 4,968$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,672 | 537 | 37.1%199 W · 338 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bc…decabacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 4,900$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029 | 195 | 29.2%57 W · 138 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x17b0…4041backed Vitality | 63c | 4,788$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,787.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +59.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7dd…a02abacked Vitality | 80c | 4,785$3,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.26 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34a5…9450backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 4,762$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Vitality | 78c | 4,616$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,016.35 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Natus Vincere | 15c | 4,598$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.39 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Natus Vincere | 36c | 4,461$1,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,602.35 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Vitality | 79c | 4,420$3,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$928.2 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x787f…d40cbacked Vitality | 80c | 4,355$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$871 | 284 | 40.5%115 W · 169 L | -17.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x835b…6f16backed Natus Vincere | 21c | 4,215$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885.15 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e8…4f4bbacked Natus Vincere | 12c | 4,167$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc99…ce7ebacked Natus Vincere | 24c | 4,075$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970 | 189 | 33.9%64 W · 125 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Vitality | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 882 | 42.3%373 W · 509 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63d4…a2f1backed Vitality | 80c | 4,000$3,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 187 | 54.5%102 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed Natus Vincere | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24a5…b3bbbacked Natus Vincere | 20c | 4,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 291 | 27.5%80 W · 211 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 3,976$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710.24 | 108 | 37%40 W · 68 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789b…11f8backed Natus Vincere | 39c | 3,914$1,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,526.43 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
- Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.