CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb4b6896b259e8940de56aa9012a470f13f504f558d7b25baf764631c5c5539e

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Vitalityof Natus Vincere, Vitality
Resolved: May 3, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $843,187
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $931,347

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $843,187 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 557 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Vitality	65c	103,734$67,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35,970.1	424	40.3%171 W · 253 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf49a…8981backed Natus Vincere	0c	92,672$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.67	191	42.4%81 W · 110 L	-3.3wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere	29c	53,628$15,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,340.18	3,256	50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L	+97.8wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere	34c	30,606$10,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,406.03	757	58.3%441 W · 316 L	+5.0wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29e6…3365backed Vitality	77c	23,278$17,825 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,452.33	42	61.9%26 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed Vitality	63c	19,550$12,255 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,294.73	461	49.9%230 W · 231 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Natus Vincere	36c	18,888$6,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,799.68	333	43.8%146 W · 187 L	-14.0wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere	40c	18,639$7,421 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,420.52	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6902…b4cabacked Vitality	67c	16,508$11,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,508.37	257	51.8%133 W · 124 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x880b…c98bbacked Natus Vincere	36c	13,662$4,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,961.08	410	40%164 W · 246 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Natus Vincere	37c	13,630$5,043 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,043.26	123	53.7%66 W · 57 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality	51c	13,625$6,965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,660.41	500	54.4%272 W · 228 L	-9.9wins	-0.02per pick	56cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5038…6236backed Natus Vincere	34c	13,055$4,469 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,469.4	177	37.3%66 W · 111 L	-16.0wins	-0.09per pick	46cpaid	-20.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Natus Vincere	36c	12,445$4,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,480.28	836	52.5%439 W · 397 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc40…89cfbacked Natus Vincere	33c	12,177$4,019 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,018.51	98	55.1%54 W · 44 L	+8.3wins	+0.09per pick	47cpaid	+27.9%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3e53…bf9abacked Natus Vincere	33c	12,160$4,013 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,012.74	69	47.8%33 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44d3…e454backed Vitality	68c	11,262$7,626 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,635.6	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-1.0wins	-0.25per pick	50cpaid	-63.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa113…284ebacked Natus Vincere	28c	11,200$3,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,110.01	209	35.4%74 W · 135 L	-21.5wins	-0.10per pick	46cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9cb0…3c1fbacked Natus Vincere	23c	9,958$2,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,338.13	43	46.5%20 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	+10.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Vitality	67c	8,000$5,360 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,640	276	58%160 W · 116 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d4d…8525backed Vitality	42c	7,577$3,196 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,380.8	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9368…80a3backed Vitality	56c	7,101$4,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,090.32	47	44.7%21 W · 26 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed Natus Vincere	36c	7,000$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,499.99	537	46.2%248 W · 289 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa40a…fa62backed Vitality	78c	6,500$5,090 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,410	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+2.0wins	+0.08per pick	54cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf5e…4189backed Vitality	79c	5,976$4,706 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,270.36	334	52.1%174 W · 160 L	+10.7wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Natus Vincere	42c	5,783$2,452 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,452.42	7,892	50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L	+182.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Vitality	54c	5,599$3,010 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,588.67	1,513	57.2%865 W · 648 L	+65.4wins	+0.04per pick	53cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed Natus Vincere	34c	5,555$1,889 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,888.7	324	25.3%82 W · 242 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54c2…23adbacked Natus Vincere	34c	5,294$1,800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,800	87	48.3%42 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcd5a…63f9backed Natus Vincere	38c	5,137$1,953 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,953.26	15	33.3%5 W · 10 L	+0.3wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality	59c	5,020$2,973 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,046.46	223	58.7%131 W · 92 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	54cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked Vitality	62c	5,000$3,100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,900	212	51.4%109 W · 103 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Vitality	76c	4,257$3,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,021.96	446	57.2%255 W · 191 L	-20.6wins	-0.05per pick	62cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Vitality	69c	4,010$2,779 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,230.64	388	68.3%265 W · 123 L	+25.7wins	+0.07per pick	62cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa27c…ab67backed Natus Vincere	39c	4,000$1,556 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,556.17	450	58.9%265 W · 185 L	-5.7wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8a8…48c0backed Vitality	54c	4,000$2,180 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,819.99	252	51.2%129 W · 123 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f4…7e44backed Vitality	63c	3,700$2,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,369	512	52.3%268 W · 244 L	+16.5wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+5.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb246…8561backed Natus Vincere	33c	3,640$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200.39	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	40cpaid	-44.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x482d…ba5ebacked Natus Vincere	34c	3,529$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	74	41.9%31 W · 43 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc452…7234backed Vitality	65c	3,077$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.92	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	51cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Vitality	74c	3,024$2,226 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$797.56	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	60cpaid	+4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec54…c7b2backed Natus Vincere	34c	3,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	61	47.5%29 W · 32 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Natus Vincere	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$989.99	214	24.8%53 W · 161 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Natus Vincere	40c	2,917$1,156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,156.46	255	55.3%141 W · 114 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77f6…dbd1backed Natus Vincere	34c	2,912$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	172	40.7%70 W · 102 L	-9.3wins	-0.05per pick	46cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Natus Vincere	21c	2,668$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$564.39	617	37.9%234 W · 383 L	-22.2wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere	46c	2,639$1,214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,213.89	818	43.2%353 W · 465 L	+23.0wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x013d…0574backed Natus Vincere	2c	2,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	62	0%0 W · 62 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb829…4f5ebacked Natus Vincere	2c	2,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	90	20%18 W · 72 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	25cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0580…f78bbacked Natus Vincere	2c	2,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	79	20.3%16 W · 63 L	-2.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-54.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x196b…4151backed Natus Vincere	2c	2,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	108	0.9%1 W · 107 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	2cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f2d…318bbacked Natus Vincere	2c	2,500$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45	75	1.3%1 W · 74 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	2cpaid	+33.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0656…4d9bbacked Natus Vincere	2c	2,450$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	194	3.6%7 W · 187 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-48.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Vitality	66c	2,447$1,615 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$831.96	298	58.4%174 W · 124 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	58cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Vitality	54c	2,377$1,273 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,104.07	463	45.6%211 W · 252 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b39…7fbcbacked Natus Vincere	41c	2,300$936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$936.39	102	50%51 W · 51 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x634a…6de3backed Vitality	67c	2,250$1,508 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$742.5	426	51.6%220 W · 206 L	-12.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere	31c	2,194$674 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$673.82	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Vitality	63c	2,113$1,324 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$788.89	173	57.2%99 W · 74 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9ca…6a8bbacked Natus Vincere	25c	2,109$533 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$533.07	751	45.4%341 W · 410 L	-22.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x124e…6802backed Natus Vincere	57c	2,092$1,201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,201.17	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+2.0wins	+0.22per pick	45cpaid	+51.8%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Natus Vincere	39c	2,085$812 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.31	1,259	42.5%535 W · 724 L	+20.6wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Natus Vincere	2c	2,043$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	253	52.2%132 W · 121 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed Natus Vincere	35c	2,040$714 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$713.92	786	39.4%310 W · 476 L	-4.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Natus Vincere	34c	2,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	5,474	46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L	+38.6wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9adf…55e8backed Natus Vincere	34c	2,000$680 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$680	284	53.5%152 W · 132 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbba…c191backed Natus Vincere	33c	1,962$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$647.62	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	+2.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere	39c	1,885$735 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$735	652	50.5%329 W · 323 L	-14.2wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd9d…f409backed Natus Vincere	36c	1,885$673 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$672.93	29	44.8%13 W · 16 L	+2.8wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+15.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Vitality	67c	1,870$1,252 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$617.77	1,393	65.9%918 W · 475 L	+26.8wins	+0.02per pick	64cpaid	+1.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked Natus Vincere	34c	1,860$632 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$632.35	1,054	49%516 W · 538 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8120…54c9backed Natus Vincere	46c	1,789$823 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$823	208	38%79 W · 129 L	-10.4wins	-0.05per pick	43cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4aa0…e20fbacked Vitality	52c	1,738$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$830.29	40	45%18 W · 22 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Natus Vincere	38c	1,724$658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$657.88	2,603	52.6%1,370 W · 1,233 L	+97.5wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Vitality	65c	1,710$1,117 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$592.8	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.15per pick	55cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x09c5…83c6backed Natus Vincere	29c	1,698$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f12…3e35backed Vitality	64c	1,665$1,062 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$603.71	316	42.1%133 W · 183 L	-7.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Natus Vincere	34c	1,647$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	253	44.3%112 W · 141 L	-7.2wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x611a…e171backed Vitality	61c	1,639$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$639.34	174	60.3%105 W · 69 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	60cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Vitality	54c	1,623$874 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$749.59	1,768	59.2%1,047 W · 721 L	+105.5wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe167…03a1backed Natus Vincere	45c	1,586$709 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$709.13	418	50%209 W · 209 L	+9.0wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Natus Vincere	1c	1,500$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	197	3.6%7 W · 190 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-91.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9b…a5ebbacked Vitality	52c	1,500$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$720	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+3.7wins	+0.08per pick	39cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Natus Vincere	22c	1,500$335 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$335	612	28.9%177 W · 435 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x77a3…0e3fbacked Vitality	67c	1,493$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.54	260	45%117 W · 143 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c48…eba9backed Vitality	59c	1,450$852 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$598.5	10	70%7 W · 3 L	+2.3wins	+0.23per pick	47cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90f0…2923backed Natus Vincere	41c	1,448$594 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$593.68	65	43.1%28 W · 37 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc99…ce7ebacked Natus Vincere	40c	1,438$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$575	189	33.9%64 W · 125 L	-8.6wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Vitality	52c	1,433$750 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$682.55	817	51.7%422 W · 395 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…1160backed Natus Vincere	51c	1,373$695 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$694.81	126	51.6%65 W · 61 L	+4.6wins	+0.04per pick	48cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0c71…c0e5backed Natus Vincere	35c	1,351$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.93	361	46.8%169 W · 192 L	+4.8wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x26d8…0175backed Natus Vincere	1c	1,350$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	31	3.2%1 W · 30 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+67.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c70…1d71backed Vitality	75c	1,320$990 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330	49	65.3%32 W · 17 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	67cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3741…517ebacked Vitality	62c	1,310$818 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$492.2	197	41.6%82 W · 115 L	-7.6wins	-0.04per pick	45cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Vitality	67c	1,295$868 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$426.73	6,466	42.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L	-78.0wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality	67c	1,258$843 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$415.14	648	52%337 W · 311 L	+10.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Natus Vincere	32c	1,200$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382	312	53.5%167 W · 145 L	+14.2wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+13.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc6f…f0f0backed Vitality	77c	1,166$900 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$265.62	69	49.3%34 W · 35 L	-3.5wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-12.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Natus Vincere	32c	1,155$368 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$367.91	5,810	37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L	+78.9wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xebe7…ddf5backed Natus Vincere	44c	1,136$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	341	56.6%193 W · 148 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	-1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality (BO5) - BLAST Rivals PlayoffsVitality won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
Map 1: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills?Even won
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Kills?Odd won
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds?Even won
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Vitality won
Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Natus Vincere (+2.5)Vitality won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event